Articles | Volume 14, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7527-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7527-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
SELF v1.0: a minimal physical model for predicting time of freeze-up in lakes
Department of Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Trento, Italy
Luca Cortese
Department of Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Trento, Italy
Department of Surface Waters Research & Management, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Sciences, Kastanienbaum, Switzerland
Department of Surface Waters Research & Management, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Sciences, Kastanienbaum, Switzerland
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Short summary
The time when lakes freeze varies considerably from year to year. A common way to predict it is to use negative degree days, i.e., the sum of air temperatures below 0 °C, a proxy for the heat lost to the atmosphere. Here, we show that this is insufficient as the mixing of the surface layer induced by wind tends to delay the formation of ice. To do so, we developed a minimal model based on a simplified energy balance, which can be used both for large-scale analyses and short-term predictions.
The time when lakes freeze varies considerably from year to year. A common way to predict it is...