Articles | Volume 11, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3327-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3327-2018
Development and technical paper
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21 Aug 2018
Development and technical paper | Highlight paper |  | 21 Aug 2018

Developing a global operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS-Seasonal v1.0

Rebecca Emerton, Ervin Zsoter, Louise Arnal, Hannah L. Cloke, Davide Muraro, Christel Prudhomme, Elisabeth M. Stephens, Peter Salamon, and Florian Pappenberger

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Cited articles

Alfieri, L., Burek, P., Dutra, E., Krzeminski, B., Muraro, D., Thielen, J., and Pappenberger, F.: GloFAS – global ensemble streamflow forecasting and flood early warning, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1161–1175, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1161-2013, 2013. 
Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Prudhomme, C., Neumann, J., Krzeminski, B., and Pappenberger, F.: Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2057–2072, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, 2018. 
Bahra, A.: Managing work flows with ecFlow, ECMWF Newsl., 129, 30–32 available from: https://www.ecmwf.int/sites/default/files/elibrary/2011/14594-newsletter-no129-autumn-2011.pdf (last access: 18 April 2018), 2011. 
Balsamo, G., Pappenberger, F., Dutra, E., Viterbo, P., and van den Hurk, B.: A revised land hydrology in the ECMWF model: a step towards daily water flux prediction in a fully-closed water cycle, Hydrol. Process., 25, 1046–1054, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7808, 2011. 
BDHI: Base de Donnees Historiques sur les Inondations, available at: http://bdhi.fr/appli/web/welcome, last access: 23 April 2018. 
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Short summary
Global overviews of upcoming flood and drought events are key for many applications from agriculture to disaster risk reduction. Seasonal forecasts are designed to provide early indications of such events weeks or even months in advance. This paper introduces GloFAS-Seasonal, the first operational global-scale seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system producing openly available forecasts of high and low river flow out to 4 months ahead.