Articles | Volume 17, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8751-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8751-2024
Model evaluation paper
 | 
11 Dec 2024
Model evaluation paper |  | 11 Dec 2024

Evaluation of global fire simulations in CMIP6 Earth system models

Fang Li, Xiang Song, Sandy P. Harrison, Jennifer R. Marlon, Zhongda Lin, L. Ruby Leung, Jörg Schwinger, Virginie Marécal, Shiyu Wang, Daniel S. Ward, Xiao Dong, Hanna Lee, Lars Nieradzik, Sam S. Rabin, and Roland Séférian

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Cited articles

Abatzoglou, J. T. and Kolden, C. A.: Relationships between climate and macroscale area burned in the western United States, Int. J. Wildland Fire, 22, 1003–20, https://doi.org/10.1071/WF13019, 2013. 
Abatzoglou, J. T. and Williams, A. P.: Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 113, 11770–11775, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1607171113, 2016. 
Archibald, S.: Managing the human component of fire regimes: lessons from Africa, Philos. T. R. Soc. B, 371, 20150346, https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2015.0346, 2016. 
Archibald, S., Roy, D. P., van Wilgen, B. W., and Scholes, R. J.: What limits fire? An examination of drivers of burnt area in Southern Africa, Glob. Change Biol., 15, 613–630, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01754.x, 2009. 
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Short summary
This study provides the first comprehensive assessment of historical fire simulations from 19 Earth system models in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Most models reproduce global totals, spatial patterns, seasonality, and regional historical changes well but fail to simulate the recent decline in global burned area and underestimate the fire response to climate variability. CMIP6 simulations address three critical issues of phase-5 models.
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