Evaluation of global fire simulations in CMIP6 Earth system models
Fang Li,Xiang Song,Sandy P. Harrison,Jennifer R. Marlon,Zhongda Lin,L. Ruby Leung,Jörg Schwinger,Virginie Marécal,Shiyu Wang,Daniel S. Ward,Xiao Dong,Hanna Lee,Lars Nieradzik,Sam S. Rabin,and Roland Séférian
School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA
Zhongda Lin
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China
This study provides the first comprehensive assessment of historical fire simulations from 19 Earth system models in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Most models reproduce global totals, spatial patterns, seasonality, and regional historical changes well but fail to simulate the recent decline in global burned area and underestimate the fire response to climate variability. CMIP6 simulations address three critical issues of phase-5 models.
This study provides the first comprehensive assessment of historical fire simulations from 19...