Articles | Volume 17, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8751-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8751-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model evaluation paper
| 
11 Dec 2024
Model evaluation paper |
| 11 Dec 2024
| 11 Dec 2024
Evaluation of global fire simulations in CMIP6 Earth system models
International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China
Xiang Song
International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China
Sandy P. Harrison
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6AB, UK
Jennifer R. Marlon
School of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA
Zhongda Lin
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China
L. Ruby Leung
Atmospheric, Climate, and Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99354, USA
Jörg Schwinger
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, 5838, Norway
Virginie Marécal
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, 31000, France
Shiyu Wang
Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Norrköping, 60176, Sweden
Daniel S. Ward
Karen Clark & Company, Boston, MA 02116, USA
Xiao Dong
International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China
Hanna Lee
Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 7419, Norway
Lars Nieradzik
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, 22362, Sweden
Sam S. Rabin
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80305, USA
Roland Séférian
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, 31000, France
Model code and software
Post-processing scripts for gmd-2024-85 Fang Li et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11185326
Short summary
This study provides the first comprehensive assessment of historical fire simulations from 19 Earth system models in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Most models reproduce global totals, spatial patterns, seasonality, and regional historical changes well but fail to simulate the recent decline in global burned area and underestimate the fire response to climate variability. CMIP6 simulations address three critical issues of phase-5 models.
This study provides the first comprehensive assessment of historical fire simulations from 19...
