Articles | Volume 17, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8569-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8569-2024
Model description paper
 | 
03 Dec 2024
Model description paper |  | 03 Dec 2024

fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining, and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections

Chris Smith, Donald P. Cummins, Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Zebedee Nicholls, Malte Meinshausen, Myles Allen, Stuart Jenkins, Nicholas Leach, Camilla Mathison, and Antti-Ilari Partanen

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Cited articles

Andrews, T., Gregory, J. M., Paynter, D., Silvers, L. G., Zhou, C., Mauritsen, T., Webb, M. J., Armour, K. C., Forster, P. M., and Titchner, H.: Accounting for Changing Temperature Patterns Increases Historical Estimates of Climate Sensitivity, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 8490–8499, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL078887, 2018. a
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Booth, B. B. B., Harris, G. R., Jones, A., Wilcox, L., Hawcroft, M., and Carslaw, K. S.: Comments on “Rethinking the Lower Bound on Aerosol Radiative Forcing”, J. Climate, 31, 9407–9412, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0369.1, 2018. a
Cummins, D.: donaldcummins/EBM: Optional quadratic penalty, Zenodo [code], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5217975, 2021. a
Cummins, D. P., Stephenson, D. B., and Stott, P. A.: Optimal Estimation of Stochastic Energy Balance Model Parameters, J. Climate, 33, 7909–7926, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0589.1, 2020. a, b, c, d, e
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Short summary
Climate projections are only useful if the underlying models that produce them are well calibrated and can reproduce observed climate change. We formalise a software package that calibrates the open-source FaIR simple climate model to full-complexity Earth system models. Observations, including historical warming, and assessments of key climate variables such as that of climate sensitivity are used to constrain the model output.
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