Articles | Volume 15, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-2239-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-2239-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
GOBLIN version 1.0: a land balance model to identify national agriculture and land use pathways to climate neutrality via backcasting
Bernal Institute, School of Engineering, University of Limerick, Limerick, Ireland
Ecological Sciences, The James Hutton Institute, Dundee, Scotland, UK
Remi Prudhomme
CIRAD Département Environnements et sociétés, Montpellier, Languedoc-Roussillon, France
Brian Duffy
independent researcher
James Gibbons
School of Natural Sciences, Bangor University, Bangor, Wales, UK
Cathal O'Donoghue
National University of Ireland Galway Policy Lab, University Road, Galway, Ireland
Mary Ryan
Rural Economy & Development Programme, Teagasc, Athenry, Co. Galway, Ireland
David Styles
Bernal Institute, School of Engineering, University of Limerick, Limerick, Ireland
Related authors
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Ouadya Tahiri, Damien Beillouin, Patrice Dumas, Rémi Prudhomme, and David Makowski
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3696, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3696, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).
Short summary
Short summary
Agroforestry, integrating trees into farmland, provides socio-economic and environmental benefits, but its global extent remains uncertain. We tested different ways of mapping agroforestry against ground observations. We found that estimates change drastically based on how farmlands are identified. Our results highlight a much more accurate map, showing that existing maps overestimate agroforestry extent by up to 186 % in Europe, while underestimating it by 80 % in the African Sahel region.
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Short summary
The GOBLIN (General Overview for a Backcasting approach of Livestock INtensification) model is a new high-resolution integrated
bottom-upbiophysical land use model capable of identifying broad pathways towards climate neutrality in the agriculture, forestry, and other land use (AFOLU) sector. The model is intended to bridge the gap between hindsight representations of national emissions and much larger globally integrated assessment models.
The GOBLIN (General Overview for a Backcasting approach of Livestock INtensification) model is a...