Articles | Volume 14, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-6863-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-6863-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model evaluation paper
| 
12 Nov 2021
Model evaluation paper |
| 12 Nov 2021
| 12 Nov 2021
Decadal climate predictions with the Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5)
Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8N 1V8, Canada
William J. Merryfield
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8N 1V8, Canada
George J. Boer
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8N 1V8, Canada
Viatsheslav V. Kharin
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8N 1V8, Canada
Woo-Sung Lee
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8N 1V8, Canada
Christian Seiler
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8N 1V8, Canada
James R. Christian
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8N 1V8, Canada
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Short summary
CanESM5 decadal predictions that started from observed climate states represent the observed evolution of upper-ocean temperatures, surface climate, and the carbon cycle better than ones not started from observed climate states for several years into the forecast. This is due both to better representations of climate internal variability and to corrections of the model response to external forcing including changes in GHG emissions and aerosols.
CanESM5 decadal predictions that started from observed climate states represent the observed...
Special issue