Articles | Volume 14, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-6863-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-6863-2021
Model evaluation paper
 | 
12 Nov 2021
Model evaluation paper |  | 12 Nov 2021

Decadal climate predictions with the Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5)

Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso, William J. Merryfield, George J. Boer, Viatsheslav V. Kharin, Woo-Sung Lee, Christian Seiler, and James R. Christian

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Latest update: 23 May 2024
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Short summary
CanESM5 decadal predictions that started from observed climate states represent the observed evolution of upper-ocean temperatures, surface climate, and the carbon cycle better than ones not started from observed climate states for several years into the forecast. This is due both to better representations of climate internal variability and to corrections of the model response to external forcing including changes in GHG emissions and aerosols.