Articles | Volume 16, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-2477-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-2477-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model description paper
| 
09 May 2023
Model description paper |
| 09 May 2023
| 09 May 2023
ChemicalDrift 1.0: an open-source Lagrangian chemical-fate and transport model for organic aquatic pollutants
Oceanography and Marine Meteorology, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Bergen, Norway
Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
Loris Calgaro
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, University Ca' Foscari of Venice, Venice, Italy
Knut-Frode Dagestad
Oceanography and Marine Meteorology, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Bergen, Norway
Christian Ferrarin
CNR – National Research Council of Italy, ISMAR – Institute of Marine Sciences, Venice, Italy
Antonio Marcomini
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, University Ca' Foscari of Venice, Venice, Italy
Øyvind Breivik
Oceanography and Marine Meteorology, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Bergen, Norway
Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
Lars Robert Hole
Oceanography and Marine Meteorology, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Bergen, Norway
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Gaute Hope, Edwin J. Rainville, Torunn Irene Seldal, Matheus Vieira, Filippo Bergamasco, Øyvind Breivik, Pedro Almeida, Alvise Benetazzo, Trygve Halsne, Cintia Bonanad, and Birgitte R. Furevik
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2778, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2778, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Ocean Science (OS).
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Outside Nazaré, Portugal, some of the largest waves in the world are observed. Swell created by storms in the North-Atlantic propagate towards the coast. There a submarine canyon about half the size of the Grand Canyon cuts through the continental shelf. Ocean waves move faster in deep water, when they reach the canyon they are reflected. We determined that it is the northern edge of the canyon, and the shape of its last hundreds of meters that focus the large waves at Nazaré.
Manuel Vargas-Yáñez, Orens Pasqueron de Fommervault, Emanuela Clementi, Christian Ferrarin, Svitlana Liubertseva, Diego Álvarez-Berastegui, Baptiste Mourre, Salvatore Aronica, Rosa Balbin, Joaquín Ballabrera-Poy, Sana Ben Ismail, Nathaniel Benssousan, Ismail Bessa, Alicia Blanco, Anthony Bosse, Evi Bourma, François Bourrin, Carlo Brandini, Fulvio Capodici, Clara Casals-Baixas, Branko Cermelj, Giuseppe Ciraolo, Pascal Conan, Laurent Coppola, Lorenzo Corgnati, Joaquín del Río, Emilie Diamond Riquier, Lara Diaz-Barroso, Bartolomeo Doronzo, Xavier Durrieu de Madron, Milad Fakhri, Costantine Frangoulis, Claudia Fratianni, Emilio García-Ladona, Jesus García-Lafuente, M. Carmen García-Martínez, Joaquín Garrabou, Josep Gasol, Adam Gauci, Frédéric Gazeau, Gerard Gregory, Abed El Raman Hassoun, Jordi Isern-Fontanet, Dominique Lefevre, Nadia Lo Bue, Guiomar López, Pablo Lorente, Deny Malengros, Ramon Massana, Sinan Mavruk, Stefano Miserocchi, Behzad Mostajir, Laure Mousseau, Francina Moya, Antonio Novellino, Arianna Orasi, Emanuele Organelli, Vicent Ouisse, Tal Ozer, Begoña Pérez-Gómez, Susana Pérez-Rubio, Leonidas Perivoliotis, Georges Petihakis, Anne Petrenko, Sebastien Pinel, Xavier Pitarch, Angela Pomaro, Lucía Quirós-Collazos, Emma Reyes, Simone Sammartino, Anna Sánchez-Vidal, Katrin Schroeder, Stefano Taddei, Elena Tel, Pierre Testor, Marco Torri, Daniela Turk, Laura Ursella, Dimitris Velaoras, Francesca Vidussi, Ivica Vilivić, Enrico Zambiachi, D. Nikolaos Zarokanellos, George Zodiatis, and Vanessa Cardin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2632, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2632, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Ocean Science (OS).
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This work compiles current marine observation capabilities in the Mediterranean Sea, making this information accessible to scientists, organizations, stakeholders, and environmental policymakers. It supports initiatives such as Copernicus Marine Service, EMODNet, the European Ocean Pact, and EU directives. It is intended as a living resource to be updated, identifying strengths and gaps in Mediterranean observation systems.
Chiara Favaretto, Francesco Barbariol, Alvise Benetazzo, Luigi Cavaleri, Francesco Marcello Falcieri, Christian Ferrarin, Rossella Ferretti, Stefano Menegon, Matteo Nastasi, Gianluca Redaelli, Antonio Ricchi, and Piero Ruol
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2285, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2285, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).
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Coastal flooding is becoming more frequent and damaging, but warnings often rely on single forecasts that miss important uncertainty. We developed and tested a new early warning approach that uses multiple weather scenarios to better describe possible flood outcomes, while reducing computing costs. Applied to severe storms in northern Italy, the method preserved key information and showed that reliable flood alerts can be produced efficiently, supporting practical early warning systems.
Gaute Hope, Patrik Bohlinger, Trygve Halsne, and Øyvind Breivik
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1198, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1198, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).
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Waves encountering underwater cliffs or harbours are reflected or bent. We describe a model which by calculating the wave field at the borders of a region, can calculate the wave field at any point. The method requires that the water depth is constant on each side of the border. It is open source, and the parameters for common cases are shown, such as the wave field inside the Alexandrian port or around an underwater canyon. It is complementary to other models, and can be run very quickly.
Jean Rabault, Joey Voermans, Takehiko Nose, Graig Sutherland, Alexander Babanin, Takuji Waseda, Tsubasa Kodaira, Atle Jensen, Lars Willas Dreyer, Øyvind Breivik, Gaute Hope, Malte Müller, Zhaohui Cheng, Lichuan Wu, Aleksey Marchenko, Brian Ward, Kai H. Christensen, Petra Heil, and Karsten Trulsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2507.19034, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2507.19034, 2025
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We observe harmonics of the main incoming wave peak in sea ice motion data. These harmonics match non-linear 3-wave interactions predicted from the dispersion relation. This may indicate that wave in ice triads are empirically observed, which suggests that non-linear energy transfers play a role in wave in ice propagation.
Christian Ferrarin, Debora Bellafiore, Alejandro Paladio Hernandez, Irina Dinu, and Adrian Stanica
Ocean Sci., 21, 3291–3310, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-3291-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-3291-2025, 2025
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This paper investigates the hydrodynamic processes among the interconnected water bodies (river branches, lagoons, and the coastal sea) that together form the Danube Delta river-sea continuum. To achieve this, we implemented the SHYFEM (System of HydrodYnamic Finite Element Modules) model across the entire Danube Delta. The model was applied to investigate the distribution of water among river branches, coastal dynamics in front of the delta, the renewal capacity of the lagoons, and the potential impacts of lagoon-sea reconnection solutions.
Jean Rabault, Trygve Halsne, Ana Carrasco, Anton Korosov, Joey Voermans, Patrik Bohlinger, Jens Boldingh Debernard, Malte Müller, Øyvind Breivik, Takehiko Nose, Gaute Hope, Fabrice Collard, Sylvain Herlédan, Tsubasa Kodaira, Nick Hughes, Qin Zhang, Kai Håkon Christensen, Alexander Babanin, Lars Willas Dreyer, Cyril Palerme, Lotfi Aouf, Konstantinos Christakos, Atle Jensen, Johannes Röhrs, Aleksey Marchenko, Graig Sutherland, Trygve Kvåle Løken, and Takuji Waseda
The Cryosphere, 19, 6229–6260, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6229-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6229-2025, 2025
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We observe strongly modulated waves-in-ice significant wave height using buoys deployed East of Svalbard. We show that these observations likely cannot be explained by wave-current interaction or tide-induced modulation alone. We also demonstrate a strong correlation between the waves height modulation, and the rate of sea ice convergence. Therefore, our data suggest that the rate of sea ice convergence and divergence may modulate wave in ice energy dissipation.
Emmanouil Flaounas, Stavros Dafis, Silvio Davolio, Davide Faranda, Christian Ferrarin, Katharina Hartmuth, Assaf Hochman, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Samira Khodayar, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Florian Pantillon, Platon Patlakas, Michael Sprenger, and Iris Thurnherr
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1515–1538, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1515-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1515-2025, 2025
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Storm Daniel (2023) is one of the most catastrophic storms ever documented in the Mediterranean. Our results highlight the different dynamics and therefore the different predictability skill of precipitation, its extremes and impacts that have been produced in Greece and Libya, the two most affected countries. Our approach concerns an analysis of the storm by articulating dynamics, weather prediction, hydrological and oceanographic implications, climate extremes, and attribution theory.
Roderik van de Wal, Angélique Melet, Debora Bellafiore, Paula Camus, Christian Ferrarin, Gualbert Oude Essink, Ivan D. Haigh, Piero Lionello, Arjen Luijendijk, Alexandra Toimil, Joanna Staneva, and Michalis Vousdoukas
State Planet, 3-slre1, 5, https://doi.org/10.5194/sp-3-slre1-5-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/sp-3-slre1-5-2024, 2024
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Sea level rise has major impacts in Europe, which vary from place to place and in time, depending on the source of the impacts. Flooding, erosion, and saltwater intrusion lead, via different pathways, to various consequences for coastal regions across Europe. This causes damage to assets, the environment, and people for all three categories of impacts discussed in this paper. The paper provides an overview of the various impacts in Europe.
Alvise Benetazzo, Trygve Halsne, Øyvind Breivik, Kjersti Opstad Strand, Adrian H. Callaghan, Francesco Barbariol, Silvio Davison, Filippo Bergamasco, Cristobal Molina, and Mauro Bastianini
Ocean Sci., 20, 639–660, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-639-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-639-2024, 2024
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We investigated the behaviour of air bubble plumes in the upper ocean in various stormy conditions. We conducted a field experiment in the North Adriatic Sea using high-resolution sonar. We found that bubble penetration depths respond rapidly to wind and wave forcings and can be triggered by the cooling of the water masses. We also found a strong connection between bubble depths and theoretical CO2 gas transfer. Our findings have implications for air–sea interaction studies.
Luca Arpaia, Christian Ferrarin, Marco Bajo, and Georg Umgiesser
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 6899–6919, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6899-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6899-2023, 2023
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We propose a discrete multilayer shallow water model based on z-layers which, thanks to the insertion and removal of surface layers, can deal with an arbitrarily large tidal oscillation independently of the vertical resolution. The algorithm is based on a two-step procedure used in numerical simulations with moving boundaries (grid movement followed by a grid topology change, that is, the insertion/removal of surface layers), which avoids the appearance of very thin surface layers.
Trygve Halsne, Kai Håkon Christensen, Gaute Hope, and Øyvind Breivik
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 6515–6530, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6515-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6515-2023, 2023
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Surface waves that propagate in oceanic or coastal environments get influenced by their surroundings. Changes in the ambient current or the depth profile affect the wave propagation path, and the change in wave direction is called refraction. Some analytical solutions to the governing equations exist under ideal conditions, but for realistic situations, the equations must be solved numerically. Here we present such a numerical solver under an open-source license.
Christian Ferrarin, Florian Pantillon, Silvio Davolio, Marco Bajo, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Elenio Avolio, Diego S. Carrió, Ioannis Pytharoulis, Claudio Sanchez, Platon Patlakas, Juan Jesús González-Alemán, and Emmanouil Flaounas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2273–2287, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2273-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2273-2023, 2023
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The combined use of meteorological and ocean models enabled the analysis of extreme sea conditions driven by Medicane Ianos, which hit the western coast of Greece on 18 September 2020, flooding and damaging the coast. The large spread associated with the ensemble highlighted the high model uncertainty in simulating such an extreme weather event. The different simulations have been used for outlining hazard scenarios that represent a fundamental component of the coastal risk assessment.
Marco Bajo, Christian Ferrarin, Georg Umgiesser, Andrea Bonometto, and Elisa Coraci
Ocean Sci., 19, 559–579, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-559-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-559-2023, 2023
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This work uses a hydrodynamic model which assimilates in situ data to reproduce tides, surges, and seiches in the Mediterranean basin. Furthermore, we study the periods of the barotropic modes of the Mediterranean and Adriatic basins. This research aims to improve the forecasting and reanalysis for operational warning and climatological studies. It aims also to reach a better knowledge of these sea level components in this area.
Julius Schlumberger, Christian Ferrarin, Sebastiaan N. Jonkman, Manuel Andres Diaz Loaiza, Alessandro Antonini, and Sandra Fatorić
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2381–2400, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2381-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2381-2022, 2022
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Flooding has serious impacts on the old town of Venice. This paper presents a framework combining a flood model with a flood-impact model to support improving protection against future floods in Venice despite the recently built MOSE barrier. Applying the framework to seven plausible flood scenarios, it was found that individual protection has a significant damage-mediating effect if the MOSE barrier does not operate as anticipated. Contingency planning thus remains important in Venice.
Graig Sutherland, Victor de Aguiar, Lars-Robert Hole, Jean Rabault, Mohammed Dabboor, and Øyvind Breivik
The Cryosphere, 16, 2103–2114, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-2103-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-2103-2022, 2022
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The marginal ice zone (MIZ), which is the transition region between the open ocean and the dense pack ice, is a very dynamic region comprising a mixture of ice and ocean conditions. Using novel drifters deployed in various ice conditions in the MIZ, several material transport models are tested with two operational ice–ocean prediction systems. A new general transport equation, which uses both the ice and ocean solutions, is developed that reduces the error in drift prediction for our case study.
Davide Zanchettin, Sara Bruni, Fabio Raicich, Piero Lionello, Fanny Adloff, Alexey Androsov, Fabrizio Antonioli, Vincenzo Artale, Eugenio Carminati, Christian Ferrarin, Vera Fofonova, Robert J. Nicholls, Sara Rubinetti, Angelo Rubino, Gianmaria Sannino, Giorgio Spada, Rémi Thiéblemont, Michael Tsimplis, Georg Umgiesser, Stefano Vignudelli, Guy Wöppelmann, and Susanna Zerbini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2643–2678, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021, 2021
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Relative sea level in Venice rose by about 2.5 mm/year in the past 150 years due to the combined effect of subsidence and mean sea-level rise. We estimate the likely range of mean sea-level rise in Venice by 2100 due to climate changes to be between about 10 and 110 cm, with an improbable yet possible high-end scenario of about 170 cm. Projections of subsidence are not available, but historical evidence demonstrates that they can increase the hazard posed by climatically induced sea-level rise.
Piero Lionello, David Barriopedro, Christian Ferrarin, Robert J. Nicholls, Mirko Orlić, Fabio Raicich, Marco Reale, Georg Umgiesser, Michalis Vousdoukas, and Davide Zanchettin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2705–2731, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2705-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2705-2021, 2021
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In this review we describe the factors leading to the extreme water heights producing the floods of Venice. We discuss the different contributions, their relative importance, and the resulting compound events. We highlight the role of relative sea level rise and the observed past and very likely future increase in extreme water heights, showing that they might be up to 160 % higher at the end of the 21st century than presently.
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Short summary
The newly developed ChemicalDrift model can simulate the transport and fate of chemicals in the ocean and in coastal regions. The model combines ocean physics, including transport due to currents, turbulence due to surface winds and the sinking of particles to the sea floor, with ocean chemistry, such as the partitioning, the degradation and the evaporation of chemicals. The model will be utilized for risk assessment of ocean and sea-floor contamination from pollutants emitted from shipping.
The newly developed ChemicalDrift model can simulate the transport and fate of chemicals in the...
