Articles | Volume 10, issue 12
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4563–4575, 2017
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4563–4575, 2017
Model description paper
15 Dec 2017
Model description paper | 15 Dec 2017

A method to encapsulate model structural uncertainty in ensemble projections of future climate: EPIC v1.0

Jared Lewis et al.

Related authors

A global total column ozone climate data record
Greg E. Bodeker, Jan Nitzbon, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Stefanie Kremser, Alexander Schwertheim, and Jared Lewis
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 13, 3885–3906,,, 2021
Short summary
An updated version of a gap-free monthly mean zonal mean ozone database
Birgit Hassler, Stefanie Kremser, Greg E. Bodeker, Jared Lewis, Kage Nesbit, Sean M. Davis, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Sandip S. Dhomse, and Martin Dameris
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 1473–1490,,, 2018
Estimates of ozone return dates from Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative simulations
Sandip S. Dhomse, Douglas Kinnison, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Ross J. Salawitch, Irene Cionni, Michaela I. Hegglin, N. Luke Abraham, Hideharu Akiyoshi, Alex T. Archibald, Ewa M. Bednarz, Slimane Bekki, Peter Braesicke, Neal Butchart, Martin Dameris, Makoto Deushi, Stacey Frith, Steven C. Hardiman, Birgit Hassler, Larry W. Horowitz, Rong-Ming Hu, Patrick Jöckel, Beatrice Josse, Oliver Kirner, Stefanie Kremser, Ulrike Langematz, Jared Lewis, Marion Marchand, Meiyun Lin, Eva Mancini, Virginie Marécal, Martine Michou, Olaf Morgenstern, Fiona M. O'Connor, Luke Oman, Giovanni Pitari, David A. Plummer, John A. Pyle, Laura E. Revell, Eugene Rozanov, Robyn Schofield, Andrea Stenke, Kane Stone, Kengo Sudo, Simone Tilmes, Daniele Visioni, Yousuke Yamashita, and Guang Zeng
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 8409–8438,,, 2018
Short summary
A comparison of Loon balloon observations and stratospheric reanalysis products
Leon S. Friedrich, Adrian J. McDonald, Gregory E. Bodeker, Kathy E. Cooper, Jared Lewis, and Alexander J. Paterson
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 17, 855–866,,, 2017
Short summary
Validation of merged MSU4 and AMSU9 temperature climate records with a new 2002–2012 vertically resolved temperature record
A. A. Penckwitt, G. E. Bodeker, P. Stoll, J. Lewis, T. von Clarmann, and A. Jones
Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss.,,, 2015
Preprint withdrawn

Related subject area

Climate and Earth system modeling
Classification of tropical cyclone containing images using a convolutional neural network: performance and sensitivity to the learning dataset
Sébastien Gardoll and Olivier Boucher
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 7051–7073,,, 2022
Short summary
The ICON-A model for direct QBO simulations on GPUs (version icon-cscs:baf28a514)
Marco A. Giorgetta, William Sawyer, Xavier Lapillonne, Panagiotis Adamidis, Dmitry Alexeev, Valentin Clément, Remo Dietlicher, Jan Frederik Engels, Monika Esch, Henning Franke, Claudia Frauen, Walter M. Hannah, Benjamin R. Hillman, Luis Kornblueh, Philippe Marti, Matthew R. Norman, Robert Pincus, Sebastian Rast, Daniel Reinert, Reiner Schnur, Uwe Schulzweida, and Bjorn Stevens
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6985–7016,,, 2022
Short summary
Further improvement and evaluation of nudging in the E3SM Atmosphere Model version 1 (EAMv1): simulations of the mean climate, weather events, and anthropogenic aerosol effects
Shixuan Zhang, Kai Zhang, Hui Wan, and Jian Sun
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6787–6816,,, 2022
Short summary
HORAYZON v1.2: an efficient and flexible ray-tracing algorithm to compute horizon and sky view factor
Christian R. Steger, Benjamin Steger, and Christoph Schär
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6817–6840,,, 2022
Short summary
LPJ-GUESS/LSMv1.0: a next-generation land surface model with high ecological realism
David Martín Belda, Peter Anthoni, David Wårlind, Stefan Olin, Guy Schurgers, Jing Tang, Benjamin Smith, and Almut Arneth
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6709–6745,,, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Ackerley, D., Dean, S., Sood, A., and Mullan, A. B.: Regional climate modeling in NZ: comparison to gridded and satellite observations, Wea. Clim., 32, 3–22, 2012.
Bhaskaran, B., Mullan, A. B., and Renwick, J.: Modelling of atmospheric variation at NIWA, Wea. Clim., 19, 23–36, 1999.
Bhaskaran, B., Renwick, J., and Mullan, A. B.: On application of the Unified Model to produce finer scale climate information, Wea. Clim., 22, 19–27, 2002.
Bodeker, G. E. and Kremser, S.: Techniques for analyses of trends in GRUAN data, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 8, 1673–1684,, 2015.
Drost, F., Renwick, J., Bhaskaran, B., Oliver, H., and MacGregor, J. L.: Simulation of New Zealand's climate using a high-resolution nested regional climate model, Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1153–1169, 2007.
Short summary
The Ensemble Projections Incorporating Climate model uncertainty (EPIC) method uses climate pattern scaling to expand a small number of daily maximum and minimum surface temperature projections into an ensemble that captures the structural uncertainty between climate models. The method is useful for providing projections of changes in climate to users wishing to investigate the impacts of climate change in a probabilistic and computationally efficient way.