Articles | Volume 10, issue 12
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4563–4575, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4563-2017
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4563–4575, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4563-2017

Model description paper 15 Dec 2017

Model description paper | 15 Dec 2017

A method to encapsulate model structural uncertainty in ensemble projections of future climate: EPIC v1.0

Jared Lewis et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by J. Lewis on behalf of the Authors (10 Jul 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (11 Jul 2017) by Volker Grewe
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (07 Aug 2017) by Volker Grewe
AR by J. Lewis on behalf of the Authors (17 Oct 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (19 Oct 2017) by Volker Grewe
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Short summary
The Ensemble Projections Incorporating Climate model uncertainty (EPIC) method uses climate pattern scaling to expand a small number of daily maximum and minimum surface temperature projections into an ensemble that captures the structural uncertainty between climate models. The method is useful for providing projections of changes in climate to users wishing to investigate the impacts of climate change in a probabilistic and computationally efficient way.