Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 10, issue 12
Articles | Volume 10, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4563-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4563-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 10, issue 12
Model description paper
 | 
15 Dec 2017
Model description paper |  | 15 Dec 2017

A method to encapsulate model structural uncertainty in ensemble projections of future climate: EPIC v1.0

Jared Lewis, Greg E. Bodeker, Stefanie Kremser, and Andrew Tait

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Latest update: 29 Oct 2025
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Short summary
The Ensemble Projections Incorporating Climate model uncertainty (EPIC) method uses climate pattern scaling to expand a small number of daily maximum and minimum surface temperature projections into an ensemble that captures the structural uncertainty between climate models. The method is useful for providing projections of changes in climate to users wishing to investigate the impacts of climate change in a probabilistic and computationally efficient way.
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