Articles | Volume 18, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-605-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-605-2025
Model description paper
 | 
04 Feb 2025
Model description paper |  | 04 Feb 2025

HIDRA3: a deep-learning model for multipoint ensemble sea level forecasting in the presence of tide gauge sensor failures

Marko Rus, Hrvoje Mihanović, Matjaž Ličer, and Matej Kristan

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Cited articles

Bajo, M., Ferrarin, C., Umgiesser, G., Bonometto, A., and Coraci, E.: Modelling the barotropic sea level in the Mediterranean Sea using data assimilation, Ocean Sci., 19, 559–579, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-559-2023, 2023. a
Barth, A., Alvera-Azcárate, A., Licer, M., and Beckers, J.-M.: DINCAE 1.0: a convolutional neural network with error estimates to reconstruct sea surface temperature satellite observations, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 1609–1622, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-1609-2020, 2020. a
Barzandeh, A., Rus, M., Ličer, M., Maljutenko, I., Elken, J., Lagemaa, P., and Uiboupin, R.: Evaluating the application of deep-learning ensemble sea level and storm surge forecasting in the Baltic Sea, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14–19 Apr 2024, EGU24-17233, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-17233, 2024. a
Bernier, N. B. and Thompson, K. R.: Deterministic and ensemble storm surge prediction for Atlantic Canada with lead times of hours to ten days, Ocean Model., 86, 114–127, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.12.002, 2015. a
Braakmann-Folgmann, A., Roscher, R., Wenzel, S., Uebbing, B., and Kusche, J.: Sea level anomaly prediction using recurrent neural networks, arXiv [preprint], https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1710.07099, 2017. a
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Short summary
HIDRA3 is a deep-learning model for predicting sea levels and storm surges, offering significant improvements over previous models and numerical simulations. It utilizes data from multiple tide gauges, enhancing predictions even with limited historical data and during sensor outages. With its advanced architecture, HIDRA3 outperforms current state-of-the-art models by achieving a mean absolute error of up to 15 % lower, proving effective for coastal flood forecasting under diverse conditions.
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