Articles | Volume 15, issue 16
Model experiment description paper
29 Aug 2022
Model experiment description paper |  | 29 Aug 2022

The Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) prediction system using the Community Earth System Model version 2

Stephen G. Yeager, Nan Rosenbloom, Anne A. Glanville, Xian Wu, Isla Simpson, Hui Li, Maria J. Molina, Kristen Krumhardt, Samuel Mogen, Keith Lindsay, Danica Lombardozzi, Will Wieder, Who M. Kim, Jadwiga H. Richter, Matthew Long, Gokhan Danabasoglu, David Bailey, Marika Holland, Nicole Lovenduski, Warren G. Strand, and Teagan King


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on gmd-2022-60', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Apr 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Stephen Yeager, 21 Jul 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on gmd-2022-60', Anonymous Referee #2, 26 Apr 2022
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Stephen Yeager, 21 Jul 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Stephen Yeager on behalf of the Authors (21 Jul 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (04 Aug 2022) by Sophie Valcke
AR by Stephen Yeager on behalf of the Authors (10 Aug 2022)  Author's response   Manuscript 
Short summary
The Earth system changes over a range of time and space scales, and some of these changes are predictable in advance. Short-term weather forecasts are most familiar, but recent work has shown that it is possible to generate useful predictions several seasons or even a decade in advance. This study focuses on predictions over intermediate timescales (up to 24 months in advance) and shows that there is promising potential to forecast a variety of changes in the natural environment.