The probabilistic hydrological MARCS<sup>HYDRO</sup> (the MARkov Chain System) model: its structure and core version 0.2

Shevnina, Elena; Silaev, Andrey

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2767-2019

Articles | Volume 12, issue 7

https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2767-2019

© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2767-2019

© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 12, issue 7

Model description paper

|

09 Jul 2019

Model description paper |

| 09 Jul 2019

The probabilistic hydrological MARCS^HYDRO (the MARkov Chain System) model: its structure and core version 0.2

Elena Shevnina and Andrey Silaev

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Final revised paper (published on 09 Jul 2019)
Preprint (discussion started on 09 Jul 2018)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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SC1: 'Comments on paper “The probabilistic hydrological model MARCS (MARkov ChainSystem): the theoretical basis for the core version 0.2” by Elena Shevnina and Andrey Silaev', Anatoly Frolov, 05 Aug 2018
- AC1: 'Answers to comments and conclusion given by A. Frolov', Elena Shevnina, 15 Aug 2018
- AC6: 'To the discussion on the limitations of the AFA method', Elena Shevnina, 13 Mar 2019
RC1: 'Potntial reviion', Anonymous Referee #1, 08 Nov 2018
- AC2: 'Answers to the potential review of the Anonymous Referee #1', Elena Shevnina, 29 Nov 2018
RC2: 'Review of the article «The probabilistic hydrological model MARCS (MARkov Chain System): the theoretical basis for the core version 0.2»', Anonymous Referee #2, 22 Feb 2019
- AC3: 'Authors’ comments to Anonymous Referee #2', Elena Shevnina, 01 Mar 2019
AC4: 'To Editor: the text improving and extention for the final sublission by 13 of March, 2019', Elena Shevnina, 02 Mar 2019
SC2: 'Comments on paper “The probabilistic hydrological model MARCS (MARkov ChainSystem): the theoretical basis for the core version 0.2” by Elena Shevnina and Andrey Silaev', Anatoly Frolov, 04 Mar 2019
- AC5: 'Answer for the Interactive comment by A. Frolov', Elena Shevnina, 13 Mar 2019
AC7: 'Authors final comments on the revised the of the manuscript.', Elena Shevnina, 13 Mar 2019

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Elena Shevnina on behalf of the Authors (13 Mar 2019) Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (25 Mar 2019) by Wolfgang Kurtz

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (09 Apr 2019)

RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (22 Apr 2019)

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (24 Apr 2019) by Wolfgang Kurtz

AR by Elena Shevnina on behalf of the Authors (04 May 2019)

ED: Publish as is (28 May 2019) by Wolfgang Kurtz

AR by Elena Shevnina on behalf of the Authors (06 Jun 2019) Manuscript

Short summary

The paper provides a theory and assumptions behind an advance of frequency analysis (AFA) approach in long-term hydrological forecasting. In this paper, a new core of the probabilistic hydrological model MARkov Chain System (MARCS^HYDRO) was introduced, together with the code and an example of a climate-scale prediction of an exceedance probability curve of river runoff with low computational costs.

The probabilistic hydrological MARCSHYDRO (the MARkov Chain System) model: its structure and core version 0.2

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Interactive discussion

Peer-review completion

The probabilistic hydrological MARCS^HYDRO (the MARkov Chain System) model: its structure and core version 0.2