Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 12, issue 7
Articles | Volume 12, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2767-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2767-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 12, issue 7
Model description paper
 | 
09 Jul 2019
Model description paper |  | 09 Jul 2019

The probabilistic hydrological MARCSHYDRO (the MARkov Chain System) model: its structure and core version 0.2

Elena Shevnina and Andrey Silaev

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Short summary
The paper provides a theory and assumptions behind an advance of frequency analysis (AFA) approach in long-term hydrological forecasting. In this paper, a new core of the probabilistic hydrological model MARkov Chain System (MARCSHYDRO) was introduced, together with the code and an example of a climate-scale prediction of an exceedance probability curve of river runoff with low computational costs.
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