Articles | Volume 12, issue 7
Model description paper
09 Jul 2019
Model description paper |  | 09 Jul 2019

The probabilistic hydrological MARCSHYDRO (the MARkov Chain System) model: its structure and core version 0.2

Elena Shevnina and Andrey Silaev

Data sets

The probabilistic hydrological model MARCS (MARkov Chain System): the core code Elena Shevnina; Alexander Krasikov

Short summary
The paper provides a theory and assumptions behind an advance of frequency analysis (AFA) approach in long-term hydrological forecasting. In this paper, a new core of the probabilistic hydrological model MARkov Chain System (MARCSHYDRO) was introduced, together with the code and an example of a climate-scale prediction of an exceedance probability curve of river runoff with low computational costs.