Articles | Volume 9, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3933-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-3933-2016
Model experiment description paper
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08 Nov 2016
Model experiment description paper | Highlight paper |  | 08 Nov 2016

Accounting for model error in air quality forecasts: an application of 4DEnVar to the assimilation of atmospheric composition using QG-Chem 1.0

Emanuele Emili, Selime Gürol, and Daniel Cariolle

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Babenhauserheide, A., Basu, S., Houweling, S., Peters, W., and Butz, A.: Comparing the CarbonTracker and TM5-4DVar data assimilation systems for CO2 surface flux inversions, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 9747–9763, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-15-9747-2015, 2015.
Beekmann, M. and Derognat, C.: Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis of a regional-scale transport chemistry model constrained by measurements from the Atmospheric Pollution Over the Paris Area (ESQUIF) campaign, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 8559, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003JD003391, 2003.
Belo Pereira, M. and Berre, L.: The Use of an Ensemble Approach to Study the Background Error Covariances in a Global NWP Model, Mon. Weather Rev., 134, 2466–2489, 2006.
Bocquet, M.: Localization and the iterative ensemble Kalman smoother, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 142, 1075–1089, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2711, 2016.
Bocquet, M. and Sakov, P.: Joint state and parameter estimation with an iterative ensemble Kalman smoother, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 20, 803–818, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-20-803-2013, 2013.
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This paper analyses methods to assimilate chemical measurements in air quality models. We developed a reduced-order atmospheric chemistry model, which was used to compare results from different assimilation algorithms. Using an ensemble variational method (4DEnVar), we exploited the dynamical information provided by hourly measurements of chemical concentrations to diagnose model biases and improve next-day forecasts for several species of interest for air quality.
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