Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 19, issue 3
Articles | Volume 19, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-1157-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-1157-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 19, issue 3
Model description paper
 | 
04 Feb 2026
Model description paper |  | 04 Feb 2026

The Western United States Large Forest-Fire Stochastic Simulator (WULFFSS) 1.0: a monthly gridded forest-fire model using interpretable statistics

A. Park Williams, Winslow D. Hansen, Caroline S. Juang, John T. Abatzoglou, Volker C. Radeloff, Bowen Wang, Jazlynn Hall, Jatan Buch, and Gavin D. Madakumbura

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Short summary
The new Western United States Large Forest Fire Stochastic Simulator (WULFFSS) is a monthly gridded model to simulate forest fires across the western United States in response to vegetation, topographic, anthropogenic, and climate factors. The model is highly skillful, accounting for over 80 % of the observed variability in annual forest-fire area and capturing observed spatial, intra-annual variations, and trends.
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