Articles | Volume 18, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-9237-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-9237-2025
Model evaluation paper
 | 
28 Nov 2025
Model evaluation paper |  | 28 Nov 2025

Urban heat forecasting in small cities: evaluation of a high-resolution operational numerical weather prediction model

Yuqi Huang, Chenghao Wang, Tyler Danzig, Temple R. Lee, and Sandip Pal

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CEC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3397', Astrid Kerkweg, 31 Jul 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3397', Anonymous Referee #1, 05 Sep 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3397', Anonymous Referee #2, 08 Sep 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Chenghao Wang on behalf of the Authors (13 Oct 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (30 Oct 2025) by Ting Sun
AR by Chenghao Wang on behalf of the Authors (06 Nov 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (07 Nov 2025) by Ting Sun
AR by Chenghao Wang on behalf of the Authors (08 Nov 2025)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
We evaluated a high-resolution numerical weather prediction model in a small, semi-arid U.S. city using dense ground-based measurements. While the forecasts demonstrated good skill for temperature and humidity, they consistently overestimated wind and underestimated nighttime cooling, with inaccurate heat advection predictions. The results highlight the need for improved urban representation in forecast models to better support heat warning systems for small cities.
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