Articles | Volume 18, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-671-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-671-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Design, evaluation, and future projections of the NARCliM2.0 CORDEX-CMIP6 Australasia regional climate ensemble
Giovanni Di Virgilio
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Jason P. Evans
Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Fei Ji
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Eugene Tam
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Jatin Kala
Environmental and Conservation Sciences, Harry Butler Institute, Centre for Terrestrial Ecosystem Science and Sustainability, Murdoch University, Murdoch 6150, WA, Australia
Julia Andrys
Environmental and Conservation Sciences, Harry Butler Institute, Centre for Terrestrial Ecosystem Science and Sustainability, Murdoch University, Murdoch 6150, WA, Australia
Christopher Thomas
Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Dipayan Choudhury
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Carlos Rocha
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Stephen White
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Yue Li
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Moutassem El Rafei
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Rishav Goyal
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Matthew L. Riley
Climate and Atmospheric Science, NSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney, Australia
Jyothi Lingala
Environmental and Conservation Sciences, Harry Butler Institute, Centre for Terrestrial Ecosystem Science and Sustainability, Murdoch University, Murdoch 6150, WA, Australia
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Added value analysis of a CMIP6-based downscaling ensemble for Australian climate projections C. Stassen et al.
- Observed and projected increases in short-duration extreme precipitation under climate change over Greater Sydney L. Khadke et al.
- Projected Convective Storm Environment in the Australian Region from Two Downscaling Ensemble Systems Under the SRES-A2/RCP8.5 Scenarios K. Cheung et al.
- Evaluation and projection of extreme rainfall from a large ensemble of high–resolution regional climate models in Australia L. Jayaweera et al.
- Evaluation of an Australian Regional Climate Modeling System for Air Quality Application K. Cheung et al.
- Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models R. Eccles et al.
- Projections of Australian low pressure systems in downscaled CMIP6 models A. Pepler et al.
- Resilience of offshore wind resources in Australia under climate change using CMIP6 CORDEX projections A. Meucci et al.
- Projected sediment supply deficits threaten intertidal wetland resilience to sea-level rise in southeast Australia C. Umeh et al.
- Three generations of NARCliM: future projections of mean and extreme climate over the CORDEX Australasia domain F. Ji et al.
- An intercomparison of climate model bias correction methods across Australia D. Irving et al.
- Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia S. Narsey et al.
- Towards benchmarking the dynamically downscaled CMIP6 CORDEX-Australasia ensemble over Australia X. Jiang et al.
- Gazing into the flames: A guide to assessing the impacts of climate change on landscape fire H. Clarke et al.
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Added value analysis of a CMIP6-based downscaling ensemble for Australian climate projections C. Stassen et al.
- Observed and projected increases in short-duration extreme precipitation under climate change over Greater Sydney L. Khadke et al.
- Projected Convective Storm Environment in the Australian Region from Two Downscaling Ensemble Systems Under the SRES-A2/RCP8.5 Scenarios K. Cheung et al.
- Evaluation and projection of extreme rainfall from a large ensemble of high–resolution regional climate models in Australia L. Jayaweera et al.
- Evaluation of an Australian Regional Climate Modeling System for Air Quality Application K. Cheung et al.
- Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models R. Eccles et al.
- Projections of Australian low pressure systems in downscaled CMIP6 models A. Pepler et al.
- Resilience of offshore wind resources in Australia under climate change using CMIP6 CORDEX projections A. Meucci et al.
- Projected sediment supply deficits threaten intertidal wetland resilience to sea-level rise in southeast Australia C. Umeh et al.
- Three generations of NARCliM: future projections of mean and extreme climate over the CORDEX Australasia domain F. Ji et al.
- An intercomparison of climate model bias correction methods across Australia D. Irving et al.
- Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia S. Narsey et al.
- Towards benchmarking the dynamically downscaled CMIP6 CORDEX-Australasia ensemble over Australia X. Jiang et al.
- Gazing into the flames: A guide to assessing the impacts of climate change on landscape fire H. Clarke et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 24 May 2026
Short summary
We introduce new climate models that simulate Australia’s future climate at regional scales, including at an unprecedented resolution of 4 km for 1950–2100. We describe the model design process used to create these new climate models. We show how the new models perform relative to previous-generation models and compare their climate projections. This work is of national and international relevance as it can help guide climate model design and the use and interpretation of climate projections.
We introduce new climate models that simulate Australia’s future climate at regional scales,...