Articles | Volume 17, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-399-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-399-2024
Model description paper
 | 
16 Jan 2024
Model description paper |  | 16 Jan 2024

GAN-argcPredNet v2.0: a radar echo extrapolation model based on spatiotemporal process enhancement

Kun Zheng, Qiya Tan, Huihua Ruan, Jinbiao Zhang, Cong Luo, Siyu Tang, Yunlei Yi, Yugang Tian, and Jianmei Cheng

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Cited articles

Austin, G. and Bellon, A.: The use of digital weather radar records for short-term precipitation forecasting, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 100, 658–664, 1974. 
Ayzel, G., Scheffer, T., and Heistermann, M.: RainNet v1.0: a convolutional neural network for radar-based precipitation nowcasting, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 2631–2644, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2631-2020, 2020. 
Ballas, N., Yao, L., Pal, C., and Courville, A.: Delving deeper into convolutional networks for learning video representations, arXiv [preprint], https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1511.06432, 2015. 
Bowler, N. E., Pierce, C. E., and Seed, A.: Development of a precipitation nowcasting algorithm based upon optical flow techniques, J. Hydrol., 288, 74–91, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2003.11.011, 2004. 
Chen, H. G., Zhang, X., Liu, Y. T., and Zeng, Q. Y.: Generative Adversarial Networks Capabilities for Super-Resolution Reconstruction of Weather Radar Echo Images, Atmosphere, 10, 555, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10090555, 2019. 
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Short summary
Radar echo extrapolation is the common method in precipitation nowcasting. Deep learning has potential in extrapolation. However, the existing models have low prediction accuracy for heavy rainfall. In this study, the prediction accuracy is improved by suppressing the blurring effect of rain distribution and reducing the negative bias. The results show that our model has better performance, which is useful for urban operation and flood prevention.