Articles | Volume 15, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
The Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment,
Imperial College London, London, UK
Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, UK
Zebedee R. J. Nicholls
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
Climate & Energy College, School of Geography, Earth and
Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Climate Resource, Melbourne, Australia
Climate Resource, Northcote, Australia
Christopher J. Smith
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds,
Leeds, United Kingdom
Jared Lewis
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
Climate & Energy College, School of Geography, Earth and
Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Climate Resource, Melbourne, Australia
Climate Resource, Northcote, Australia
Robin D. Lamboll
The Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment,
Imperial College London, London, UK
Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, UK
Edward Byers
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
Marit Sandstad
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway
Malte Meinshausen
Climate & Energy College, School of Geography, Earth and
Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Climate Resource, Melbourne, Australia
Climate Resource, Northcote, Australia
Matthew J. Gidden
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
Climate Analytics, Berlin, Germany
Joeri Rogelj
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
The Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment,
Imperial College London, London, UK
Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, UK
Elmar Kriegler
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany
Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Potsdam,
Potsdam, Germany
Glen P. Peters
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway
Jan S. Fuglestvedt
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway
Ragnhild B. Skeie
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway
Bjørn H. Samset
CICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway
Laura Wienpahl
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
Detlef P. van Vuuren
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, the
Netherlands
Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst
Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Alaa Al Khourdajie
Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, UK
Piers M. Forster
Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds,
Leeds, United Kingdom
Andy Reisinger
Institute for Climate, Energy and Disaster Solutions, Fenner School of Society & Environment, Australian National University, Canberra,
Australia
Roberto Schaeffer
Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics (CENERGIA), COPPE,
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Keywan Riahi
Energy, Climate and Environment (ECE) Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, 2361, Austria
Institute of Thermal Engineering, Graz University of Technology, Graz, Austria
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Latest update: 21 Nov 2025
Executive editor
This paper provides key insight into the methodology of Working Group III of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report on climate mitigation. The paper will be essential reading for anyone wishing to understand the assessment of climate outcomes of mitigation pathways in the context of the Paris Agreement.
This paper provides key insight into the methodology of Working Group III of the IPCC Sixth...
Short summary
Assessing hundreds or thousands of emission scenarios in terms of their global mean temperature implications requires standardised procedures of infilling, harmonisation, and probabilistic temperature assessments. We here present the open-source
climate-assessmentworkflow that was used in the IPCC AR6 Working Group III report. The paper provides key insight for anyone wishing to understand the assessment of climate outcomes of mitigation pathways in the context of the Paris Agreement.
Assessing hundreds or thousands of emission scenarios in terms of their global mean temperature...