Articles | Volume 15, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-9075-2022
Methods for assessment of models
 | Highlight paper
 | 
20 Dec 2022
Methods for assessment of models | Highlight paper |  | 20 Dec 2022

The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WGIII climate assessment of mitigation pathways: from emissions to global temperatures

Jarmo S. Kikstra, Zebedee R. J. Nicholls, Christopher J. Smith, Jared Lewis, Robin D. Lamboll, Edward Byers, Marit Sandstad, Malte Meinshausen, Matthew J. Gidden, Joeri Rogelj, Elmar Kriegler, Glen P. Peters, Jan S. Fuglestvedt, Ragnhild B. Skeie, Bjørn H. Samset, Laura Wienpahl, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Piers M. Forster, Andy Reisinger, Roberto Schaeffer, and Keywan Riahi

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-471', Richard Rosen, 09 Jul 2022
    • AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Jarmo Kikstra, 21 Sep 2022
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-471', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 Jul 2022
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-471', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Aug 2022
  • AC2: 'Final author comment (AC) on behalf of all co-authors, responding to RC1 and RC2', Jarmo Kikstra, 21 Sep 2022

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Jarmo Kikstra on behalf of the Authors (10 Nov 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (11 Nov 2022) by Sam Rabin
AR by Jarmo Kikstra on behalf of the Authors (15 Nov 2022)  Author's response   Manuscript 
EF by Polina Shvedko (16 Nov 2022)  Author's tracked changes 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (16 Nov 2022) by Sam Rabin
AR by Jarmo Kikstra on behalf of the Authors (26 Nov 2022)  Manuscript 
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Executive editor
This paper provides key insight into the methodology of Working Group III of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report on climate mitigation. The paper will be essential reading for anyone wishing to understand the assessment of climate outcomes of mitigation pathways in the context of the Paris Agreement.
Short summary
Assessing hundreds or thousands of emission scenarios in terms of their global mean temperature implications requires standardised procedures of infilling, harmonisation, and probabilistic temperature assessments. We here present the open-source climate-assessment workflow that was used in the IPCC AR6 Working Group III report. The paper provides key insight for anyone wishing to understand the assessment of climate outcomes of mitigation pathways in the context of the Paris Agreement.