Articles | Volume 15, issue 20
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 7913–7932, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-7913-2022
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 7913–7932, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-7913-2022
Development and technical paper
28 Oct 2022
Development and technical paper | 28 Oct 2022

A new bootstrap technique to quantify uncertainty in estimates of ground surface temperature and ground heat flux histories from geothermal data

Francisco José Cuesta-Valero et al.

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Short summary
Inversions of subsurface temperature profiles provide past long-term estimates of ground surface temperature histories and ground heat flux histories at timescales of decades to millennia. Theses estimates complement high-frequency proxy temperature reconstructions and are the basis for studying continental heat storage. We develop and release a new bootstrap method to derive meaningful confidence intervals for the average surface temperature and heat flux histories from any number of profiles.