Articles | Volume 14, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4465-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4465-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Impact of Initialized Land Surface Temperature and Snowpack on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project, Phase I (LS4P-I): organization and experimental design
University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
Tandong Yao
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Aaron A. Boone
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Ismaila Diallo
University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
Xubin Zeng
University of Arizona, Tucson, USA
William K. M. Lau
Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, College Park, USA
Shiori Sugimoto
Japan Agency for Marine Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokohama, Japan
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550, USA
Xiaoduo Pan
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Peter J. van Oevelen
International GEWEX Project Office, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA 22030, USA
Daniel Klocke
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 20146, Hamburg, DeutschlandTS4
Myung-Seo Koo
Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, South Korea
Tomonori Sato
Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
Zhaohui Lin
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Yuhei Takaya
Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan
Constantin Ardilouze
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Stefano Materia
Climate Simulation and Prediction (CSP), Fondazione Centro
Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy
Subodh K. Saha
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Pune,
India
Retish Senan
European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, UK
Tetsu Nakamura
Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
Hailan Wang
National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/National Weather
Service/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), College Park, USA
Jing Yang
Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
Hongliang Zhang
National Meteorology Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
Mei Zhao
Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
Xin-Zhong Liang
Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, College Park, USA
J. David Neelin
University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
Frederic Vitart
European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, UK
Xin Li
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Ping Zhao
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Meteorological
Administration, Beijing, China
Chunxiang Shi
National Meteorological Information Center, China Meteorological
Administration, Beijing, China
Weidong Guo
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Jianping Tang
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Yun Qian
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99352, USA
Samuel S. P. Shen
San Diego State University, San Diego, USA
Yang Zhang
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Ruby Leung
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA 99352, USA
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Daniele Peano
Climate Simulation and Prediction (CSP), Fondazione Centro
Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy
Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
Yanling Zhan
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Michael A. Brunke
University of Arizona, Tucson, USA
Sin Chan Chou
National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil
Michael Ek
National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, USA
Tianyi Fan
Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, South Korea
Hong Guan
Systems Research Group Inc at Environment Modeling Center, NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, USA
Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, Canada
Shunlin Liang
University of Maryland, College Park, USA
Helin Wei
National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/National Weather
Service/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), College Park, USA
Shaocheng Xie
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550, USA
Haoran Xu
Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, College Park, USA
Weiping Li
National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
Xueli Shi
National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
Paulo Nobre
National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil
Yan Pan
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Yi Qin
Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550, USA
Jeff Dozier
University of California, Santa Barbara, USA
Craig R. Ferguson
Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, University at Albany, State
University of New York, Albany, NY 12203, USA
Gianpaolo Balsamo
European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, UK
Qing Bao
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese
Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Jinming Feng
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Jinkyu Hong
Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea
Songyou Hong
Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, Seoul, South Korea
Huilin Huang
University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
Duoying Ji
Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
Zhenming Ji
Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China
Shichang Kang
Northwest Institute of Eco-environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of
Sciences, Lanzhou, China
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
Yanluan Lin
Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Weiguang Liu
University of Connecticut, Storrs, USA
Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Ryan Muncaster
Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, Canada
Patricia de Rosnay
European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, UK
Hiroshi G. Takahashi
Tokyo Metropolitan University, Tokyo, Japan
Guiling Wang
University of Connecticut, Storrs, USA
Shuyu Wang
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Pune,
India
Weicai Wang
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Yuejian Zhu
National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)/National Weather
Service/National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), College Park, USA
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- Regional climate model intercomparison over the Tibetan Plateau in the GEWEX/LS4P Phase I J. Tang et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06992-4
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- Uncovering the interannual predictability of the 2003 European summer heatwave linked to the Tibetan Plateau P. Shi et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00782-3
- Understanding the Asian water tower requires a redesigned precipitation observation strategy C. Miao et al. 10.1073/pnas.2403557121
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- Atmospheric response to cold wintertime Tibetan Plateau conditions over eastern Asia in climate models A. Portal et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-809-2023
- East Asian summer rainfall stimulated by subseasonal Indian monsoonal heating S. Li et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-41644-5
- Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau –– the GEWEX/LS4P first phase experiment Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07210-5
- Understanding the diurnal cycle of land–atmosphere interactions from flux site observations E. Seo & P. Dirmeyer 10.5194/hess-26-5411-2022
- Assessing spatiotemporal characteristics of atmospheric water cycle processes over the Tibetan Plateau using the WRF model and finer box model X. Pan et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-55208-0
- A sub-monthly timescale causality between snow cover and surface air temperature in the Northern Hemisphere inferred by Liang–Kleeman information flow analysis Y. Takaya et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07112-6
- Controlling Factors of Historical Variation of Winter Tibetan Plateau Snow Cover Revealed by Large‐Ensemble Experiments S. Li et al. 10.1029/2021JD035127
30 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Role of Soil Temperature Feedbacks for Summer Air Temperature Variability Under Climate Change Over East Asia K. Li et al. 10.1029/2021EF002377
- Impact of spring land-surface conditions over the Tibetan Plateau on the early summer Asian monsoon using an AGCM large ensemble H. Takahashi et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07077-y
- Subseasonal-to-seasonal predictability of extreme precipitation and land forcing Y. Xue & W. Lau 10.1007/s00382-024-07203-4
- Influence of convective processes on weather research and forecasting model precipitation biases over East Asia S. Sugimoto et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06587-5
- Improved subseasonal-to-seasonal precipitation prediction of climate models with nudging approach for better initialization of Tibetan Plateau-Rocky Mountain Circumglobal wave train and land surface conditions Y. Qin et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07082-1
- Impact of initializing the soil with a thermally and hydrologically balanced state on subseasonal predictability C. Ardilouze & A. Boone 10.1007/s00382-023-07024-x
- Regional climate model intercomparison over the Tibetan Plateau in the GEWEX/LS4P Phase I J. Tang et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06992-4
- A New Approach to Soil Initialization for Studying Subseasonal Land‐Atmosphere Interactions Y. Jiang & G. Wang 10.1029/2023MS003822
- Regional and Teleconnected Impacts of Solar Radiation‐Topography Interaction Over the Tibetan Plateau D. Hao et al. 10.1029/2023GL106293
- Precursory signals of summer precipitation over southern Central Asia: Combined effect of April soil moisture and sea surface temperature X. Wei et al. 10.1002/joc.8451
- Uncovering the interannual predictability of the 2003 European summer heatwave linked to the Tibetan Plateau P. Shi et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00782-3
- Understanding the Asian water tower requires a redesigned precipitation observation strategy C. Miao et al. 10.1073/pnas.2403557121
- Regional climate modeling to understand Tibetan heating remote impacts on East China precipitation H. Xu et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06266-5
- A New Method of Diagnosing the Historical and Projected Changes in Permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau H. Li et al. 10.1029/2023EF003897
- A dominant mode in the first phase of the Asian summer monsoon rainfall: role of antecedent remote land surface temperature S. Saha et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06709-7
- Remote effects of Tibetan Plateau spring land temperature on global subseasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction and comparison with effects of sea surface temperature: the GEWEX/LS4P Phase I experiment Y. Xue et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5
- An extratropical window of opportunity for subseasonal prediction of East Asian summer surface air temperature J. Yang et al. 10.1038/s41612-023-00384-5
- Effects of spring Tibetan Plateau land temperature anomalies on early summer floods/droughts over the monsoon regions of South East Asia I. Diallo et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-06053-8
- The substantial role of May soil temperature over Central Asia for summer surface air temperature variation and prediction over Northeastern China Z. Yang et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06360-8
- Impact of Initial Soil Conditions on Soil Hydrothermal and Surface Energy Fluxes in the Permafrost Region of the Tibetan Plateau S. Luo et al. 10.1007/s00376-023-3100-z
- Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Warm-Season Ground Surface Temperature—Surface Air Temperature Difference over China Mainland Y. Long & G. Ren 10.3390/land12051057
- Some statistical characteristics of “Geothermal Vortex” in China from 1980 to 2017 Y. Zhou et al. 10.1007/s00704-024-04957-z
- Advancements in low-temperature NH3-SCR of NOx using Ba-based catalysts: a critical review of preparation, mechanisms, and challenges P. Ogugua et al. 10.1007/s11356-023-27703-w
- Subseasonal Warming of Surface Soil Enhances Precipitation Over the Eastern Tibetan Plateau in Early Summer X. Qi et al. 10.1029/2022JD037250
- Atmospheric response to cold wintertime Tibetan Plateau conditions over eastern Asia in climate models A. Portal et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-809-2023
- East Asian summer rainfall stimulated by subseasonal Indian monsoonal heating S. Li et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-41644-5
- Near-global summer circulation response to the spring surface temperature anomaly in Tibetan Plateau –– the GEWEX/LS4P first phase experiment Y. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07210-5
- Understanding the diurnal cycle of land–atmosphere interactions from flux site observations E. Seo & P. Dirmeyer 10.5194/hess-26-5411-2022
- Assessing spatiotemporal characteristics of atmospheric water cycle processes over the Tibetan Plateau using the WRF model and finer box model X. Pan et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-55208-0
- A sub-monthly timescale causality between snow cover and surface air temperature in the Northern Hemisphere inferred by Liang–Kleeman information flow analysis Y. Takaya et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07112-6
Latest update: 18 Nov 2024
Short summary
The subseasonal prediction of extreme hydroclimate events such as droughts/floods has remained stubbornly low for years. This paper presents a new international initiative which, for the first time, introduces spring land surface temperature anomalies over high mountains to improve precipitation prediction through remote effects of land–atmosphere interactions. More than 40 institutions worldwide are participating in this effort. The experimental protocol and preliminary results are presented.
The subseasonal prediction of extreme hydroclimate events such as droughts/floods has remained...