Articles | Volume 13, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4891-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-4891-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model description paper
| 
15 Oct 2020
Model description paper |
| 15 Oct 2020
| 15 Oct 2020
Dynamic Anthropogenic activitieS impacting Heat emissions (DASH v1.0): development and evaluation
Isabella Capel-Timms
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6ET, UK
School of the Built Environment, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6DF, UK
Stefán Thor Smith
School of the Built Environment, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6DF, UK
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6ET, UK
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 6ET, UK
Related authors
No articles found.
Russell H. Glazer, Sue Grimmond, Lewis Blunn, Daniel Fenner, Humphrey Lean, Andreas Christen, Will Morrison, and Dana Looschelders
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2064, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2064, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Weather and Climate Dynamics (WCD).
Short summary
Short summary
In this study we use very high resolution numerical weather prediction model simulations of the Berlin, Germany region along with assessment of field campaign observations to understand better the impact of urban areas on the near-surface boundary layer. We find that there a clear affect of urban areas up to 15 kilometers downwind of the city centre in both the field campaign observations and the high resolution model.
Shuo-Jun Mei, Guanwen Chen, Jian Hang, and Ting Sun
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1485, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1485, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).
Short summary
Short summary
Cities face growing heat challenges due to dense buildings, but predicting surface temperatures is complex because sunlight, airflow, and heat radiation interact. By simulating how sunlight bounces between structures and how heat transfers through materials, we accurately predicted temperatures on roofs, roads, and walls. The model successfully handled intricate city layouts thanks to GPU speed. By revealing which heat matters most, we aim to guide smarter city designs for a warming climate.
William Morrison, Dana Looschelders, Jonnathan Céspedes, Bernie Claxton, Marc-Antoine Drouin, Jean-Charles Dupont, Aurélien Faucheux, Martial Haeffelin, Christopher C. Holst, Simone Kotthaus, Valéry Masson, James McGregor, Jeremy Price, Matthias Zeeman, Sue Grimmond, and Andreas Christen
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-167, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-167, 2025
Preprint under review for ESSD
Short summary
Short summary
We conducted research using sophisticated wind sensors to better understand wind patterns in Paris. By installing these sensors across the city, we gathered detailed data on wind speeds and directions from 2022 to 2024. This information helps improve weather and climate models, making them more accurate for city environments. Our findings offer valuable insights for scientists studying urban air and weather, improving predictions and understanding of city-scale atmospheric processes.
Ruidong Li, Jiapei Liu, Ting Sun, Shao Jian, Fuqiang Tian, and Guangheng Ni
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3780, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3780, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This work presents a new approach to simulate sewer drainage effects for urban flooding with key missing information like flow directions and nodal depths estimated from incomplete information. Tested in Yinchuan, China, our approach exhibits high accuracy in reproducing flood depths and reliably outperforms existing methods in various rainfall scenarios. Our method offers a reliable tool for cities with limited sewer data to improve flood simulation performance.
Matthias Zeeman, Andreas Christen, Sue Grimmond, Daniel Fenner, William Morrison, Gregor Feigel, Markus Sulzer, and Nektarios Chrysoulakis
Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst., 13, 393–424, https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-13-393-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-13-393-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study presents an overview of a data system for documenting, processing, managing, and publishing data streams from research networks of atmospheric and environmental sensors of varying complexity in urban environments. Our solutions aim to deliver resilient, near-time data using freely available software.
Bu Li, Ting Sun, Fuqiang Tian, Mahmut Tudaji, Li Qin, and Guangheng Ni
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 4521–4538, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4521-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4521-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This paper developed hybrid semi-distributed hydrological models by employing a process-based model as the backbone and utilizing deep learning to parameterize and replace internal modules. The main contribution is to provide a high-performance tool enriched with explicit hydrological knowledge for hydrological prediction and to improve understanding about the hydrological sensitivities to climate change in large alpine basins.
Nimra Iqbal, Marvin Ravan, Zina Mitraka, Joern Birkmann, Sue Grimmond, Denise Hertwig, Nektarios Chrysoulakis, Giorgos Somarakis, and Angela Wendnagel-Beck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1907, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1907, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This work deepens the understanding of how perceived heat stress, human vulnerability (e.g. age, income) and adaptive capacities (e.g. green, shaded spaces) are coupled with urban structures. The results show that perceived heat stress decreases with distance from urban center, however, human vulnerability and adaptive capacities depend stronger on inner-variations and differences between urban structures. Planning policies and adaptation strategies should account for these differences.
Ting Sun, Hamidreza Omidvar, Zhenkun Li, Ning Zhang, Wenjuan Huang, Simone Kotthaus, Helen C. Ward, Zhiwen Luo, and Sue Grimmond
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 91–116, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-91-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-91-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
For the first time, we coupled a state-of-the-art urban land surface model – Surface Urban Energy and Water Scheme (SUEWS) – with the widely-used Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, creating an open-source tool that may benefit multiple applications. We tested our new system at two UK sites and demonstrated its potential by examining how human activities in various areas of Greater London influence local weather conditions.
Megan A. Stretton, William Morrison, Robin J. Hogan, and Sue Grimmond
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 5931–5947, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5931-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5931-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Cities' materials and forms impact radiative fluxes. We evaluate the SPARTACUS-Urban multi-layer approach to modelling longwave radiation, describing realistic 3D geometry statistically using the explicit DART (Discrete Anisotropic Radiative Transfer) model. The temperature configurations used are derived from thermal camera observations. SPARTACUS-Urban accurately predicts longwave fluxes, with a low computational time (cf. DART), but has larger errors with sunlit/shaded surface temperatures.
Junxia Dou, Sue Grimmond, Shiguang Miao, Bei Huang, Huimin Lei, and Mingshui Liao
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 13143–13166, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-13143-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-13143-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Multi-timescale variations in surface energy fluxes in a suburb of Beijing are analyzed using 16-month observations. Compared to previous suburban areas, this study site has larger seasonal variability in energy partitioning, and summer and winter Bowen ratios are at the lower and higher end of those at other suburban sites, respectively. Our analysis indicates that precipitation, irrigation, crop/vegetation growth activity, and land use/cover all play critical roles in energy partitioning.
Joanna E. Dyson, Lisa K. Whalley, Eloise J. Slater, Robert Woodward-Massey, Chunxiang Ye, James D. Lee, Freya Squires, James R. Hopkins, Rachel E. Dunmore, Marvin Shaw, Jacqueline F. Hamilton, Alastair C. Lewis, Stephen D. Worrall, Asan Bacak, Archit Mehra, Thomas J. Bannan, Hugh Coe, Carl J. Percival, Bin Ouyang, C. Nicholas Hewitt, Roderic L. Jones, Leigh R. Crilley, Louisa J. Kramer, W. Joe F. Acton, William J. Bloss, Supattarachai Saksakulkrai, Jingsha Xu, Zongbo Shi, Roy M. Harrison, Simone Kotthaus, Sue Grimmond, Yele Sun, Weiqi Xu, Siyao Yue, Lianfang Wei, Pingqing Fu, Xinming Wang, Stephen R. Arnold, and Dwayne E. Heard
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 5679–5697, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-5679-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-5679-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
The hydroxyl (OH) and closely coupled hydroperoxyl (HO2) radicals are vital for their role in the removal of atmospheric pollutants. In less polluted regions, atmospheric models over-predict HO2 concentrations. In this modelling study, the impact of heterogeneous uptake of HO2 onto aerosol surfaces on radical concentrations and the ozone production regime in Beijing in the summertime is investigated, and the implications for emissions policies across China are considered.
Ruidong Li, Ting Sun, Fuqiang Tian, and Guang-Heng Ni
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 751–778, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-751-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-751-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We developed SHAFTS (Simultaneous building Height And FootprinT extraction from Sentinel imagery), a multi-task deep-learning-based Python package, to estimate average building height and footprint from Sentinel imagery. Evaluation in 46 cities worldwide shows that SHAFTS achieves significant improvement over existing machine-learning-based methods.
Mathew Lipson, Sue Grimmond, Martin Best, Winston T. L. Chow, Andreas Christen, Nektarios Chrysoulakis, Andrew Coutts, Ben Crawford, Stevan Earl, Jonathan Evans, Krzysztof Fortuniak, Bert G. Heusinkveld, Je-Woo Hong, Jinkyu Hong, Leena Järvi, Sungsoo Jo, Yeon-Hee Kim, Simone Kotthaus, Keunmin Lee, Valéry Masson, Joseph P. McFadden, Oliver Michels, Wlodzimierz Pawlak, Matthias Roth, Hirofumi Sugawara, Nigel Tapper, Erik Velasco, and Helen Claire Ward
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 5157–5178, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-5157-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-5157-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We describe a new openly accessible collection of atmospheric observations from 20 cities around the world, capturing 50 site years. The observations capture local meteorology (temperature, humidity, wind, etc.) and the energy fluxes between the land and atmosphere (e.g. radiation and sensible and latent heat fluxes). These observations can be used to improve our understanding of urban climate processes and to test the accuracy of urban climate models.
Will S. Drysdale, Adam R. Vaughan, Freya A. Squires, Sam J. Cliff, Stefan Metzger, David Durden, Natchaya Pingintha-Durden, Carole Helfter, Eiko Nemitz, C. Sue B. Grimmond, Janet Barlow, Sean Beevers, Gregor Stewart, David Dajnak, Ruth M. Purvis, and James D. Lee
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 9413–9433, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-9413-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-9413-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Measurements of NOx emissions are important for a good understanding of air quality. While there are many direct measurements of NOx concentration, there are very few measurements of its emission. Measurements of emissions provide constraints on emissions inventories and air quality models. This article presents measurements of NOx emission from the BT Tower in central London in 2017 and compares them with inventories, finding that they underestimate by a factor of ∼1.48.
Yiqing Liu, Zhiwen Luo, and Sue Grimmond
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 4721–4735, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4721-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-4721-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Anthropogenic heat emission from buildings is important for atmospheric modelling in cities. The current building anthropogenic heat flux is simplified by building energy consumption. Our research proposes a novel approach to determine ‘real’ building anthropogenic heat emission from the changes in energy balance fluxes between occupied and unoccupied buildings. We hope to provide new insights into future parameterisations of building anthropogenic heat flux in urban climate models.
Hamidreza Omidvar, Ting Sun, Sue Grimmond, Dave Bilesbach, Andrew Black, Jiquan Chen, Zexia Duan, Zhiqiu Gao, Hiroki Iwata, and Joseph P. McFadden
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 3041–3078, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-3041-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-3041-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This paper extends the applicability of the SUEWS to extensive pervious areas outside cities. We derived various parameters such as leaf area index, albedo, roughness parameters and surface conductance for non-urban areas. The relation between LAI and albedo is also explored. The methods and parameters discussed can be used for both online and offline simulations. Using appropriate parameters related to non-urban areas is essential for assessing urban–rural differences.
Michael Biggart, Jenny Stocker, Ruth M. Doherty, Oliver Wild, David Carruthers, Sue Grimmond, Yiqun Han, Pingqing Fu, and Simone Kotthaus
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 13687–13711, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13687-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-13687-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Heat-related illnesses are of increasing concern in China given its rapid urbanisation and our ever-warming climate. We examine the relative impacts that land surface properties and anthropogenic heat have on the urban heat island (UHI) in Beijing using ADMS-Urban. Air temperature measurements and satellite-derived land surface temperatures provide valuable means of evaluating modelled spatiotemporal variations. This work provides critical information for urban planners and UHI mitigation.
Claire E. Reeves, Graham P. Mills, Lisa K. Whalley, W. Joe F. Acton, William J. Bloss, Leigh R. Crilley, Sue Grimmond, Dwayne E. Heard, C. Nicholas Hewitt, James R. Hopkins, Simone Kotthaus, Louisa J. Kramer, Roderic L. Jones, James D. Lee, Yanhui Liu, Bin Ouyang, Eloise Slater, Freya Squires, Xinming Wang, Robert Woodward-Massey, and Chunxiang Ye
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 6315–6330, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-6315-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-6315-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The impact of isoprene on atmospheric chemistry is dependent on how its oxidation products interact with other pollutants, specifically nitrogen oxides. Such interactions can lead to isoprene nitrates. We made measurements of the concentrations of individual isoprene nitrate isomers in Beijing and used a model to test current understanding of their chemistry. We highlight areas of uncertainty in understanding, in particular the chemistry following oxidation of isoprene by the nitrate radical.
Wenhua Wang, Longyi Shao, Claudio Mazzoleni, Yaowei Li, Simone Kotthaus, Sue Grimmond, Janarjan Bhandari, Jiaoping Xing, Xiaolei Feng, Mengyuan Zhang, and Zongbo Shi
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 5301–5314, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-5301-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-5301-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We compared the characteristics of individual particles at ground level and above the mixed-layer height. We found that the particles above the mixed-layer height during haze periods are more aged compared to ground level. More coal-combustion-related primary organic particles were found above the mixed-layer height. We suggest that the particles above the mixed-layer height are affected by the surrounding areas, and once mixed down to the ground, they might contribute to ground air pollution.
Lisa K. Whalley, Eloise J. Slater, Robert Woodward-Massey, Chunxiang Ye, James D. Lee, Freya Squires, James R. Hopkins, Rachel E. Dunmore, Marvin Shaw, Jacqueline F. Hamilton, Alastair C. Lewis, Archit Mehra, Stephen D. Worrall, Asan Bacak, Thomas J. Bannan, Hugh Coe, Carl J. Percival, Bin Ouyang, Roderic L. Jones, Leigh R. Crilley, Louisa J. Kramer, William J. Bloss, Tuan Vu, Simone Kotthaus, Sue Grimmond, Yele Sun, Weiqi Xu, Siyao Yue, Lujie Ren, W. Joe F. Acton, C. Nicholas Hewitt, Xinming Wang, Pingqing Fu, and Dwayne E. Heard
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 2125–2147, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-2125-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-2125-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
To understand how emission controls will impact ozone, an understanding of the sources and sinks of OH and the chemical cycling between peroxy radicals is needed. This paper presents measurements of OH, HO2 and total RO2 taken in central Beijing. The radical observations are compared to a detailed chemistry model, which shows that under low NO conditions, there is a missing OH source. Under high NOx conditions, the model under-predicts RO2 and impacts our ability to model ozone.
Rutambhara Joshi, Dantong Liu, Eiko Nemitz, Ben Langford, Neil Mullinger, Freya Squires, James Lee, Yunfei Wu, Xiaole Pan, Pingqing Fu, Simone Kotthaus, Sue Grimmond, Qiang Zhang, Ruili Wu, Oliver Wild, Michael Flynn, Hugh Coe, and James Allan
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 147–162, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-147-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-147-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Black carbon (BC) is a component of particulate matter which has significant effects on climate and human health. Sources of BC include biomass burning, transport, industry and domestic cooking and heating. In this study, we measured BC emissions in Beijing, finding a dominance of traffic emissions over all other sources. The quantitative method presented here has benefits for revising widely used emissions inventories and for understanding BC sources with impacts on air quality and climate.
Freya A. Squires, Eiko Nemitz, Ben Langford, Oliver Wild, Will S. Drysdale, W. Joe F. Acton, Pingqing Fu, C. Sue B. Grimmond, Jacqueline F. Hamilton, C. Nicholas Hewitt, Michael Hollaway, Simone Kotthaus, James Lee, Stefan Metzger, Natchaya Pingintha-Durden, Marvin Shaw, Adam R. Vaughan, Xinming Wang, Ruili Wu, Qiang Zhang, and Yanli Zhang
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 8737–8761, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8737-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-8737-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Significant air quality problems exist in megacities like Beijing, China. To manage air pollution, legislators need a clear understanding of pollutant emissions. However, emissions inventories have large uncertainties, and reliable field measurements of pollutant emissions are required to constrain them. This work presents the first measurements of traffic-dominated emissions in Beijing which suggest that inventories overestimate these emissions in the region during both winter and summer.
Michael Biggart, Jenny Stocker, Ruth M. Doherty, Oliver Wild, Michael Hollaway, David Carruthers, Jie Li, Qiang Zhang, Ruili Wu, Simone Kotthaus, Sue Grimmond, Freya A. Squires, James Lee, and Zongbo Shi
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20, 2755–2780, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-2755-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-2755-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Ambient air pollution is a major cause of premature death in China. We examine the street-scale variation of pollutant levels in Beijing using air pollution dispersion and chemistry model ADMS-Urban. Campaign measurements are compared with simulated pollutant levels, providing a valuable means of evaluating the impact of key processes on urban air quality. Air quality modelling at such fine scales is essential for human exposure studies and for informing choices on future emission controls.
Ting Sun and Sue Grimmond
Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2781–2795, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2781-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2781-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
A Python-enhanced urban land surface model, SuPy (SUEWS in Python), is presented with its development (the SUEWS interface modification, F2PY configuration and Python frontend implementation), cross-platform deployment (PyPI, Python Package Index) and demonstration (online tutorials in Jupyter notebooks for users of different levels). SuPy represents a significant enhancement that supports existing and new model applications, reproducibility and enhanced functionality.
Zongbo Shi, Tuan Vu, Simone Kotthaus, Roy M. Harrison, Sue Grimmond, Siyao Yue, Tong Zhu, James Lee, Yiqun Han, Matthias Demuzere, Rachel E. Dunmore, Lujie Ren, Di Liu, Yuanlin Wang, Oliver Wild, James Allan, W. Joe Acton, Janet Barlow, Benjamin Barratt, David Beddows, William J. Bloss, Giulia Calzolai, David Carruthers, David C. Carslaw, Queenie Chan, Lia Chatzidiakou, Yang Chen, Leigh Crilley, Hugh Coe, Tie Dai, Ruth Doherty, Fengkui Duan, Pingqing Fu, Baozhu Ge, Maofa Ge, Daobo Guan, Jacqueline F. Hamilton, Kebin He, Mathew Heal, Dwayne Heard, C. Nicholas Hewitt, Michael Hollaway, Min Hu, Dongsheng Ji, Xujiang Jiang, Rod Jones, Markus Kalberer, Frank J. Kelly, Louisa Kramer, Ben Langford, Chun Lin, Alastair C. Lewis, Jie Li, Weijun Li, Huan Liu, Junfeng Liu, Miranda Loh, Keding Lu, Franco Lucarelli, Graham Mann, Gordon McFiggans, Mark R. Miller, Graham Mills, Paul Monk, Eiko Nemitz, Fionna O'Connor, Bin Ouyang, Paul I. Palmer, Carl Percival, Olalekan Popoola, Claire Reeves, Andrew R. Rickard, Longyi Shao, Guangyu Shi, Dominick Spracklen, David Stevenson, Yele Sun, Zhiwei Sun, Shu Tao, Shengrui Tong, Qingqing Wang, Wenhua Wang, Xinming Wang, Xuejun Wang, Zifang Wang, Lianfang Wei, Lisa Whalley, Xuefang Wu, Zhijun Wu, Pinhua Xie, Fumo Yang, Qiang Zhang, Yanli Zhang, Yuanhang Zhang, and Mei Zheng
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 7519–7546, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-7519-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-7519-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
APHH-Beijing is a collaborative international research programme to study the sources, processes and health effects of air pollution in Beijing. This introduction to the special issue provides an overview of (i) the APHH-Beijing programme, (ii) the measurement and modelling activities performed as part of it and (iii) the air quality and meteorological conditions during joint intensive field campaigns as a core activity within APHH-Beijing.
Fushan Wang, Guangheng Ni, William J. Riley, Jinyun Tang, Dejun Zhu, and Ting Sun
Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2119–2138, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2119-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2119-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
The current lake model in the Weather Research and Forecasting system was reported to be insufficient in simulating deep lakes and reservoirs. We thus revised the lake model by improving its spatial discretization scheme, surface property parameterization, diffusivity parameterization, and convection scheme. The revised model was evaluated at a deep reservoir in southwestern China and the results were in good agreement with measurements.
Tom V. Kokkonen, Sue Grimmond, Sonja Murto, Huizhi Liu, Anu-Maija Sundström, and Leena Järvi
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 7001–7017, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-7001-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-7001-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
This is the first study to evaluate and correct the WATCH WFDEI reanalysis product in a highly polluted urban environment. It gives an important understanding of the uncertainties in reanalysis products in local-scale urban modelling in polluted environments and identifies and corrects the most important variables in hydrological modelling. This is also the first study to examine the effects of haze on the local-scale urban hydrological cycle.
Dantong Liu, Rutambhara Joshi, Junfeng Wang, Chenjie Yu, James D. Allan, Hugh Coe, Michael J. Flynn, Conghui Xie, James Lee, Freya Squires, Simone Kotthaus, Sue Grimmond, Xinlei Ge, Yele Sun, and Pingqing Fu
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 6749–6769, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-6749-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-6749-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
This study provides source attribution and characterization of BC in the Beijing urban environment in both winter and summer. For the first time, the physically and chemically based source apportionments are compared to evaluate the primary source contribution and secondary processing of BC-containing particles. A method is proposed to isolate the BC from the transportation sector and coal combustion sources.
Roy M. Harrison, David C. S. Beddows, Mohammed S. Alam, Ajit Singh, James Brean, Ruixin Xu, Simone Kotthaus, and Sue Grimmond
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 39–55, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-39-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-39-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Particle number size distributions were measured simultaneously at five sites in London during a campaign. Observations are interpreted in terms of both evaporative shrinkage of traffic-generated particles and condensational growth, probably of traffic-generated particles under cool nocturnal conditions, as well as the influence of particles emitted from Heathrow Airport at a distance of about 22 km. The work highlights the highly dynamic behaviour of nanoparticles within the urban atmosphere.
Ting Sun, Zhi-Hua Wang, Walter C. Oechel, and Sue Grimmond
Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 2875–2890, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-2875-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-2875-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
The diurnal hysteresis behaviour found between the net storage heat flux and net all-wave radiation has been captured in the Objective Hysteresis Model (OHM). To facilitate use, and enhance physical interpretations of the OHM coefficients, we develop the Analytical Objective Hysteresis Model (AnOHM) using an analytical solution of the one-dimensional advection–diffusion equation of coupled heat and liquid water transport in conjunction with the surface energy balance relationship.
Wen-Yu Yang, Guang-Heng Ni, You-Cun Qi, Yang Hong, and Ting Sun
Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2016-388, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2016-388, 2016
Revised manuscript has not been submitted
Short summary
Short summary
Using a dataset consisting of one-year measurements by an X-band radar and distrometer, we found that error corrections greatly improve X-band-radar-based rainfall estimation. Specifically, the greatest improvement is realized by the beam integration. Derivation of localized Z-R relationships for specific rainfall systems is also of great importance. Moreover, wind drift correction improves quantitative estimates and temporal consistency.
Carole Helfter, Anja H. Tremper, Christoforos H. Halios, Simone Kotthaus, Alex Bjorkegren, C. Sue B. Grimmond, Janet F. Barlow, and Eiko Nemitz
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 10543–10557, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-10543-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-10543-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
There are relatively few long-term, direct measurements of pollutant emissions in urban settings. We present over 3 years of measurements of fluxes of CO, CO2 and CH4, study their respective temporal and spatial dynamics and offer an independent verification of the London Atmospheric Emissions Inventory. CO and CO2 were strongly controlled by traffic and well characterised by the inventory whilst measured CH4 was two-fold larger and linked to natural gas usage and perhaps biogenic sources.
Simone Kotthaus, Ewan O'Connor, Christoph Münkel, Cristina Charlton-Perez, Martial Haeffelin, Andrew M. Gabey, and C. Sue B. Grimmond
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 9, 3769–3791, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-9-3769-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-9-3769-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
Ceilometers lidars are useful to study clouds, aerosol layers and atmospheric boundary layer structures. As sensor optics and acquisition algorithms can strongly influence the observations, sensor specifics need to be incorporated into the physical interpretation. Here, recommendations are made for the operation and processing of profile observations from the widely deployed Vaisala CL31 ceilometer. Proposed corrections are shown to increase data quality and even data availability at times.
J. Lindén, C.S.B. Grimmond, and J. Esper
Adv. Sci. Res., 12, 157–162, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-157-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-12-157-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
Long term meteorological records from stations associated with villages are generally classified as rural and assumed to have no urban influence. Using temperature sensor networks installed around two such stations, spatial variations of the same order magnitude as the long-term temperature trend from these stations were found. The potential bias in the long term series therefore warrants careful consideration in temperature trend evaluation also in village stations.
H. C. Ward, J. G. Evans, C. S. B. Grimmond, and J. Bradford
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 8, 1385–1405, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-8-1385-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-8-1385-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
Two-wavelength scintillometry, a ground-based remote sensing technique for deriving large-area heat fluxes, has been used over an urban area for the first time. The long data set enables investigation of the performance of the technique and characteristics of turbulent transport processes at sub-daily to inter-annual timescales. In this first paper, the structure parameters of temperature and humidity, and the correlation between temperature and humidity, are presented and analysed.
H. C. Ward, J. G. Evans, and C. S. B. Grimmond
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 8, 1407–1424, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-8-1407-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-8-1407-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
Two-wavelength scintillometry, a ground-based remote sensing technique for deriving large-area heat fluxes, has been used over an urban area for the first time. The long data set enables investigation of the performance of the technique and characteristics of turbulent transport processes at sub-daily to inter-annual timescales. In this second paper, sensible and latent heat fluxes representative of an area of 5--10 km2 are presented and analysed.
L. Järvi, C. S. B. Grimmond, M. Taka, A. Nordbo, H. Setälä, and I. B. Strachan
Geosci. Model Dev., 7, 1691–1711, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-1691-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-7-1691-2014, 2014
A. Font, C. S. B. Grimmond, J.-A. Morguí, S. Kotthaus, M. Priestman, and B. Barratt
Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/acpd-13-13465-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/acpd-13-13465-2013, 2013
Revised manuscript not accepted
H. C. Ward, J. G. Evans, and C. S. B. Grimmond
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 4645–4666, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-4645-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-4645-2013, 2013
Related subject area
Atmospheric sciences
Quantifying the oscillatory evolution of simulated boundary-layer cloud fields using Gaussian process regression
Numerical investigations on the modelling of ultrafine particles in SSH-aerosol-v1.3a: size resolution and redistribution
The third Met Office Unified Model–JULES Regional Atmosphere and Land Configuration, RAL3
The sensitivity of aerosol data assimilation to vertical profiles: case study of dust storm assimilation with LOTOS-EUROS v2.2
Knowledge-inspired fusion strategies for the inference of PM2.5 values with a neural network
Tuning the ICON-A 2.6.4 climate model with machine-learning-based emulators and history matching
A novel method for quantifying the contribution of regional transport to PM2.5 in Beijing (2013–2020): combining machine learning with concentration-weighted trajectory analysis
Quantification of CO2 hotspot emissions from OCO-3 SAM CO2 satellite images using deep learning methods
Diagnosis of winter precipitation types using the spectral bin model (version 1DSBM-19M): comparison of five methods using ICE-POP 2018 field experiment data
Improving winter condition simulations in SURFEX-TEB v9.0 with a multi-layer snow model and ice
UA-ICON with the NWP physics package (version ua-icon-2.1): mean state and variability of the middle atmosphere
Integrated Methane Inversion (IMI) 2.0: an improved research and stakeholder tool for monitoring total methane emissions with high resolution worldwide using TROPOMI satellite observations
HTAP3 Fires: towards a multi-model, multi-pollutant study of fire impacts
Using a data-driven statistical model to better evaluate surface turbulent heat fluxes in weather and climate numerical models: a demonstration study
Pochva: a new hydro-thermal process model in soil, snow, and vegetation for application in atmosphere numerical models
ClimKern v1.2: a new Python package and kernel repository for calculating radiative feedbacks
Accounting for effects of coagulation and model uncertainties in particle number concentration estimates based on measurements from sampling lines – a Bayesian inversion approach with SLIC v1.0
Top-down CO emission estimates using TROPOMI CO data in the TM5-4DVAR (r1258) inverse modeling suit
The Multi-Compartment Hg Modeling and Analysis Project (MCHgMAP): mercury modeling to support international environmental policy
Similarity-based analysis of atmospheric organic compounds for machine learning applications
Porting the Meso-NH atmospheric model on different GPU architectures for the next generation of supercomputers (version MESONH-v55-OpenACC)
Estimation of aerosol and cloud radiative heating rate in the tropical stratosphere using a radiative kernel method
Evaluation of dust emission and land surface schemes in predicting a mega Asian dust storm over South Korea using WRF-Chem
Sensitivity studies of a four-dimensional local ensemble transform Kalman filter coupled with WRF-Chem version 3.9.1 for improving particulate matter simulation accuracy
A Bayesian method for predicting background radiation at environmental monitoring stations in local-scale networks
Inclusion of the ECMWF ecRad radiation scheme (v1.5.0) in the MAR (v3.14), regional evaluation for Belgium, and assessment of surface shortwave spectral fluxes at Uccle
Development of a fast radiative transfer model for ground-based microwave radiometers (ARMS-gb v1.0): validation and comparison to RTTOV-gb
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM) High-Resolution Global Forecast Model version 1: an attempt to resolve monsoon prediction deadlock
Cell-tracking-based framework for assessing nowcasting model skill in reproducing growth and decay of convective rainfall
NeuralMie (v1.0): an aerosol optics emulator
A REtrieval Method for optical and physical Aerosol Properties in the stratosphere (REMAPv1)
Simulation performance of planetary boundary layer schemes in WRF v4.3.1 for near-surface wind over the western Sichuan Basin: a single-site assessment
FootNet v1.0: development of a machine learning emulator of atmospheric transport
Updates and evaluation of NOAA's online-coupled air quality model version 7 (AQMv7) within the Unified Forecast System
Quantifying the analysis uncertainty for nowcasting application
Improving the ensemble square root filter (EnSRF) in the Community Inversion Framework: a case study with ICON-ART 2024.01
The MESSy DWARF (based on MESSy v2.55.2)
Generalized local fractions – a method for the calculation of sensitivities to emissions from multiple sources for chemically active species, illustrated using the EMEP MSC-W model (rv5.5)
SanDyPALM v1.0: Static and Dynamic Drivers for the PALM-4U Model to Facilitate Realistic Urban Microclimate Simulations
An enhanced emission module for the PALM model system 23.10 with application for PM10 emission from urban domestic heating
Identifying lightning processes in ERA5 soundings with deep learning
Sensitivity of predicted ultrafine particle size distributions in Europe to different nucleation rate parameterizations using PMCAMx-UF v2.2
Explaining neural networks for detection of tropical cyclones and atmospheric rivers in gridded atmospheric simulation data
Implementation of a dry deposition module (DEPAC v3.11) in a large eddy simulation code (DALES v4.4)
Accurate and fast prediction of radioactive pollution by Kriging coupled with Auto-Associative Models
Mitigating Hail Overforecasting in the 2-Moment Milbrandt-Yau Microphysics Scheme (v2.25.2_beta_04) in WRF (v4.5.1) by Incorporating the Graupel Spongy Wet Growth Process (MY2_GSWG v1.0)
PALACE v1.0: Paranal Airglow Line And Continuum Emission model
Accurate space-based NOx emission estimates with the flux divergence approach require fine-scale model information on local oxidation chemistry and profile shapes
Exploring a high-level programming model for the NWP domain using ECMWF microphysics schemes
Quantifying uncertainties in satellite NO2 superobservations for data assimilation and model evaluation
Gunho Loren Oh and Philip H. Austin
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3921–3940, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3921-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3921-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
It is difficult to study the behaviour of a cloud field due to internal fluctuations and observational noise. We perform a high-resolution simulation of the boundary-layer cloud field and introduce statistical and numerical techniques, including machine-learning models, to study the evolution of the cloud field, which shows a periodic behaviour. We aim to use the numerical techniques to identify the underlying behaviour within noisy observations.
Oscar Jacquot and Karine Sartelet
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3965–3984, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3965-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3965-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Modelling the size distribution and the number concentration is important to represent ultrafine particles. A new analytic formulation is presented to compute coagulation partition coefficients, allowing us to lower the numerical diffusion associated with the resolution of aerosol dynamics. The significance of this effect is assessed in a 0D box model and over greater Paris with a chemistry transport model, using different size resolutions of the particle distribution.
Mike Bush, David L. A. Flack, Huw W. Lewis, Sylvia I. Bohnenstengel, Chris J. Short, Charmaine Franklin, Adrian P. Lock, Martin Best, Paul Field, Anne McCabe, Kwinten Van Weverberg, Segolene Berthou, Ian Boutle, Jennifer K. Brooke, Seb Cole, Shaun Cooper, Gareth Dow, John Edwards, Anke Finnenkoetter, Kalli Furtado, Kate Halladay, Kirsty Hanley, Margaret A. Hendry, Adrian Hill, Aravindakshan Jayakumar, Richard W. Jones, Humphrey Lean, Joshua C. K. Lee, Andy Malcolm, Marion Mittermaier, Saji Mohandas, Stuart Moore, Cyril Morcrette, Rachel North, Aurore Porson, Susan Rennie, Nigel Roberts, Belinda Roux, Claudio Sanchez, Chun-Hsu Su, Simon Tucker, Simon Vosper, David Walters, James Warner, Stuart Webster, Mark Weeks, Jonathan Wilkinson, Michael Whitall, Keith D. Williams, and Hugh Zhang
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3819–3855, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3819-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3819-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
RAL configurations define settings for the Unified Model atmosphere and Joint UK Land Environment Simulator. The third version of the Regional Atmosphere and Land (RAL3) science configuration for kilometre- and sub-kilometre-scale modelling represents a major advance compared to previous versions (RAL2) by delivering a common science definition for applications in tropical and mid-latitude regions. RAL3 has more realistic precipitation distributions and an improved representation of clouds and visibility.
Mijie Pang, Jianbing Jin, Ting Yang, Xi Chen, Arjo Segers, Batjargal Buyantogtokh, Yixuan Gu, Jiandong Li, Hai Xiang Lin, Hong Liao, and Wei Han
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3781–3798, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3781-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3781-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Aerosol data assimilation has gained popularity as it combines the advantages of modelling and observation. However, few studies have addressed the challenges in the prior vertical structure. Different observations are assimilated to examine the sensitivity of assimilation to vertical structure. Results show that assimilation can optimize the dust field in general. However, if the prior introduces an incorrect structure, the assimilation can significantly deteriorate the integrity of the aerosol profile.
Matthieu Dabrowski, José Mennesson, Jérôme Riedi, Chaabane Djeraba, and Pierre Nabat
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3707–3733, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3707-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3707-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This work focuses on the prediction of aerosol concentration values at the ground level, which are a strong indicator of air quality, using artificial neural networks. A study of different variables and their efficiency as inputs for these models is also proposed and reveals that the best results are obtained when using all of them. Comparison between network architectures and information fusion methods allows for the extraction of knowledge on the most efficient methods in the context of this study.
Pauline Bonnet, Lorenzo Pastori, Mierk Schwabe, Marco Giorgetta, Fernando Iglesias-Suarez, and Veronika Eyring
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3681–3706, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3681-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3681-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Tuning a climate model means adjusting uncertain parameters in the model to best match observations like the global radiation balance and cloud cover. This is usually done by running many simulations of the model with different settings, which can be time-consuming and relies heavily on expert knowledge. To make this process faster and more objective, we developed a machine learning emulator to create a large ensemble and apply a method called history matching to find the best settings.
Kang Hu, Hong Liao, Dantong Liu, Jianbing Jin, Lei Chen, Siyuan Li, Yangzhou Wu, Changhao Wu, Shitong Zhao, Xiaotong Jiang, Ping Tian, Kai Bi, Ye Wang, and Delong Zhao
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3623–3634, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3623-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3623-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study combines machine learning with concentration-weighted trajectory analysis to quantify regional transport PM2.5. From 2013–2020, local emissions dominated Beijing's pollution events. The Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan reduced regional transport pollution, but the eastern region showed the smallest decrease. Beijing should prioritize local emission reduction while considering the east region's contributions in future strategies.
Joffrey Dumont Le Brazidec, Pierre Vanderbecken, Alban Farchi, Grégoire Broquet, Gerrit Kuhlmann, and Marc Bocquet
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3607–3622, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3607-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3607-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We developed a deep learning method to estimate CO2 emissions from power plants using satellite images. Trained and validated on simulated data, our model accurately predicts emissions despite challenges like cloud cover. When applied to real OCO3 satellite images, the results closely match reported emissions. This study shows that neural networks trained on simulations can effectively analyse real satellite data, offering a new way to monitor CO2 emissions from space.
Wonbae Bang, Jacob T. Carlin, Kwonil Kim, Alexander V. Ryzhkov, Guosheng Liu, and GyuWon Lee
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3559–3581, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3559-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3559-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Microphysics model-based diagnosis, such as the spectral bin model (SBM), has recently been attempted to diagnose winter precipitation types. In this study, the accuracy of SBM-based precipitation type diagnosis is compared with other traditional methods. SBM has a relatively higher accuracy for dry-snow and wet-snow events, whereas it has lower accuracy for rain events. When the microphysics scheme in the SBM was optimized for the corresponding region, the accuracy for rain events improved.
Gabriel Colas, Valéry Masson, François Bouttier, Ludovic Bouilloud, Laura Pavan, and Virve Karsisto
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3453–3472, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3453-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3453-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
In winter, snow- and ice-covered artificial surfaces are important aspects of the urban climate. They may influence the magnitude of the urban heat island effect, but this is still unclear. In this study, we improved the representation of the snow and ice cover in the Town Energy Balance (TEB) urban climate model. Evaluations have shown that the results are promising for using TEB to study the climate of cold cities.
Markus Kunze, Christoph Zülicke, Tarique A. Siddiqui, Claudia C. Stephan, Yosuke Yamazaki, Claudia Stolle, Sebastian Borchert, and Hauke Schmidt
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3359–3385, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3359-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3359-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We present the Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic (ICON) general circulation model with an upper-atmospheric extension with the physics package for numerical weather prediction (UA-ICON(NWP)). We optimized the parameters for the gravity wave parameterizations and achieved realistic modeling of the thermal and dynamic states of the mesopause regions. UA-ICON(NWP) now shows a realistic frequency of major sudden stratospheric warmings and well-represented solar tides in temperature.
Lucas A. Estrada, Daniel J. Varon, Melissa Sulprizio, Hannah Nesser, Zichong Chen, Nicholas Balasus, Sarah E. Hancock, Megan He, James D. East, Todd A. Mooring, Alexander Oort Alonso, Joannes D. Maasakkers, Ilse Aben, Sabour Baray, Kevin W. Bowman, John R. Worden, Felipe J. Cardoso-Saldaña, Emily Reidy, and Daniel J. Jacob
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3311–3330, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3311-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3311-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Reducing emissions of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas, is a top policy concern for mitigating anthropogenic climate change. The Integrated Methane Inversion (IMI) is an advanced, cloud-based software that translates satellite observations into actionable emissions data. Here we present IMI version 2.0 with vastly expanded capabilities. These updates enable a wider range of scientific and stakeholder applications from individual basin to global scales with continuous emissions monitoring.
Cynthia H. Whaley, Tim Butler, Jose A. Adame, Rupal Ambulkar, Steve R. Arnold, Rebecca R. Buchholz, Benjamin Gaubert, Douglas S. Hamilton, Min Huang, Hayley Hung, Johannes W. Kaiser, Jacek W. Kaminski, Christoph Knote, Gerbrand Koren, Jean-Luc Kouassi, Meiyun Lin, Tianjia Liu, Jianmin Ma, Kasemsan Manomaiphiboon, Elisa Bergas Masso, Jessica L. McCarty, Mariano Mertens, Mark Parrington, Helene Peiro, Pallavi Saxena, Saurabh Sonwani, Vanisa Surapipith, Damaris Y. T. Tan, Wenfu Tang, Veerachai Tanpipat, Kostas Tsigaridis, Christine Wiedinmyer, Oliver Wild, Yuanyu Xie, and Paquita Zuidema
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3265–3309, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3265-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3265-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The multi-model experiment design of the HTAP3 Fires project takes a multi-pollutant approach to improving our understanding of transboundary transport of wildland fire and agricultural burning emissions and their impacts. The experiments are designed with the goal of answering science policy questions related to fires. The options for the multi-model approach, including inputs, outputs, and model setup, are discussed, and the official recommendations for the project are presented.
Maurin Zouzoua, Sophie Bastin, Fabienne Lohou, Marie Lothon, Marjolaine Chiriaco, Mathilde Jome, Cécile Mallet, Laurent Barthes, and Guylaine Canut
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3211–3239, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3211-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3211-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study proposes using a statistical model to freeze errors due to differences in environmental forcing when evaluating the surface turbulent heat fluxes from numerical simulations with observations. The statistical model is first built with observations and then applied to the simulated environment to generate possibly observed fluxes. This novel method provides insight into differently evaluating the numerical formulation of turbulent heat fluxes with a long period of observational data.
Oxana Drofa
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3175–3209, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3175-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3175-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents the result of many years of effort of the author, who developed an original mathematical numerical model of heat and moisture exchange processes in soil, vegetation, and snow. The author relied on her 30 years of research experience in atmospheric numerical modelling. The presented model is the fruit of the author's research on physical processes at the surface–atmosphere interface and their numerical approximation and aims at improving numerical weather forecasting and climate simulations.
Tyler P. Janoski, Ivan Mitevski, Ryan J. Kramer, Michael Previdi, and Lorenzo M. Polvani
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 3065–3079, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3065-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-3065-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We developed ClimKern, a Python package and radiative kernel repository, to simplify calculating radiative feedbacks and make climate sensitivity studies more reproducible. Testing of ClimKern with sample climate model data reveals that radiative kernel choice may be more important than previously thought, especially in polar regions. Our work highlights the need for kernel sensitivity analyses to be included in future studies.
Matti Niskanen, Aku Seppänen, Henri Oikarinen, Miska Olin, Panu Karjalainen, Santtu Mikkonen, and Kari Lehtinen
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2983–3001, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2983-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2983-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Particle size is a key factor determining the properties of aerosol particles which have a major influence on the climate and on human health. When measuring the particle sizes, however, sometimes the sampling lines that transfer the aerosol to the measurement device distort the size distribution, making the measurement unreliable. We propose a method to correct for the distortions and estimate the true particle sizes, improving measurement accuracy.
Johann Rasmus Nüß, Nikos Daskalakis, Fabian Günther Piwowarczyk, Angelos Gkouvousis, Oliver Schneising, Michael Buchwitz, Maria Kanakidou, Maarten C. Krol, and Mihalis Vrekoussis
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2861–2890, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2861-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2861-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We estimate carbon monoxide emissions through inverse modeling, an approach where measurements of tracers in the atmosphere are fed to a model to calculate backwards in time (inverse) where the tracers came from. We introduce measurements from a new satellite instrument and show that, in most places globally, these on their own sufficiently constrain the emissions. This alleviates the need for additional datasets, which could shorten the delay for future carbon monoxide source estimates.
Ashu Dastoor, Hélène Angot, Johannes Bieser, Flora Brocza, Brock Edwards, Aryeh Feinberg, Xinbin Feng, Benjamin Geyman, Charikleia Gournia, Yipeng He, Ian M. Hedgecock, Ilia Ilyin, Jane Kirk, Che-Jen Lin, Igor Lehnherr, Robert Mason, David McLagan, Marilena Muntean, Peter Rafaj, Eric M. Roy, Andrei Ryjkov, Noelle E. Selin, Francesco De Simone, Anne L. Soerensen, Frits Steenhuisen, Oleg Travnikov, Shuxiao Wang, Xun Wang, Simon Wilson, Rosa Wu, Qingru Wu, Yanxu Zhang, Jun Zhou, Wei Zhu, and Scott Zolkos
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2747–2860, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2747-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2747-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This paper introduces the Multi-Compartment Mercury (Hg) Modeling and Analysis Project (MCHgMAP) aimed at informing the effectiveness evaluations of two multilateral environmental agreements: the Minamata Convention on Mercury and the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution. The experimental design exploits a variety of models (atmospheric, land, oceanic ,and multimedia mass balance models) to assess the short- and long-term influences of anthropogenic Hg releases into the environment.
Hilda Sandström and Patrick Rinke
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2701–2724, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2701-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2701-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Machine learning has the potential to aid the identification of organic molecules involved in aerosol formation. Yet, progress is stalled by a lack of curated atmospheric molecular datasets. Here, we compared atmospheric compounds with large molecular datasets used in machine learning and found minimal overlap with similarity algorithms. Our result underlines the need for collaborative efforts to curate atmospheric molecular data to facilitate machine learning models in atmospheric sciences.
Juan Escobar, Philippe Wautelet, Joris Pianezze, Florian Pantillon, Thibaut Dauhut, Christelle Barthe, and Jean-Pierre Chaboureau
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2679–2700, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2679-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2679-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The Meso-NH weather research code is adapted for GPUs using OpenACC, leading to significant performance and energy efficiency improvements. Called MESONH-v55-OpenACC, it includes enhanced memory management, communication optimizations and a new solver. On the AMD MI250X Adastra platform, it achieved up to 6× speedup and 2.3× energy efficiency gain compared to CPUs. Storm simulations at 100 m resolution show positive results, positioning the code for future use on exascale supercomputers.
Jie Gao, Yi Huang, Jonathon S. Wright, Ke Li, Tao Geng, and Qiurun Yu
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2569–2586, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2569-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2569-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The aerosol in the upper troposphere and stratosphere is highly variable, and its radiative effect is poorly understood. To estimate this effect, the radiative kernel is constructed and applied. The results show that the kernels can reproduce aerosol radiative effects and are expected to simulate stratospheric aerosol radiative effects. This approach reduces computational expense, is consistent with radiative model calculations, and can be applied to atmospheric models with speed requirements.
Ji Won Yoon, Seungyeon Lee, Ebony Lee, and Seon Ki Park
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2303–2328, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2303-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2303-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study evaluates the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) to predict a mega Asian dust storm (ADS) over South Korea on 28–29 March 2021. We assessed combinations of five dust emission and four land surface schemes by analyzing meteorological and air quality variables. The best scheme combination reduced the root mean square error (RMSE) for particulate matter 10 (PM10) by up to 29.6 %, demonstrating the highest performance.
Jianyu Lin, Tie Dai, Lifang Sheng, Weihang Zhang, Shangfei Hai, and Yawen Kong
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2231–2248, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2231-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2231-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The effectiveness of this assimilation system and its sensitivity to the ensemble member size and length of the assimilation window are investigated. This study advances our understanding of the selection of basic parameters in the four-dimensional local ensemble transform Kalman filter assimilation system and the performance of ensemble simulation in a particulate-matter-polluted environment.
Jens Peter Karolus Wenceslaus Frankemölle, Johan Camps, Pieter De Meutter, and Johan Meyers
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1989–2003, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1989-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1989-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
To detect anomalous radioactivity in the environment, it is paramount that we understand the natural background level. In this work, we propose a statistical model to describe the most likely background level and the associated uncertainty in a network of dose rate detectors. We train, verify, and validate the model using real environmental data. Using the model, we show that we can correctly predict the background level in a subset of the detector network during a known
anomalous event.
Jean-François Grailet, Robin J. Hogan, Nicolas Ghilain, David Bolsée, Xavier Fettweis, and Marilaure Grégoire
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1965–1988, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1965-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1965-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The MAR (Modèle Régional Atmosphérique) is a regional climate model used for weather forecasting and studying the climate over various regions. This paper presents an update of MAR thanks to which it can precisely decompose solar radiation, in particular in the UV (ultraviolet) and photosynthesis ranges, both being critical to human health and ecosystems. As a first application of this new capability, this paper presents a method for predicting UV indices with MAR.
Yi-Ning Shi, Jun Yang, Wei Han, Lujie Han, Jiajia Mao, Wanlin Kan, and Fuzhong Weng
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1947–1964, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1947-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1947-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Direct assimilation of observations from ground-based microwave radiometers (GMRs) holds significant potential for improving forecast accuracy. Radiative transfer models (RTMs) play a crucial role in direct data assimilation. In this study, we introduce a new RTM, the Advanced Radiative Transfer Modeling System – Ground-Based (ARMS-gb), designed to simulate brightness temperatures observed by GMRs along with their Jacobians. Several enhancements have been incorporated to achieve higher accuracy.
R. Phani Murali Krishna, Siddharth Kumar, A. Gopinathan Prajeesh, Peter Bechtold, Nils Wedi, Kumar Roy, Malay Ganai, B. Revanth Reddy, Snehlata Tirkey, Tanmoy Goswami, Radhika Kanase, Sahadat Sarkar, Medha Deshpande, and Parthasarathi Mukhopadhyay
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1879–1894, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1879-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1879-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The High-Resolution Global Forecast Model (HGFM) is an advanced iteration of the operational Global Forecast System (GFS) model. HGFM can produce forecasts at a spatial scale of ~6 km in tropics. It demonstrates improved accuracy in short- to medium-range weather prediction over the Indian region, with notable success in predicting extreme events. Further, the model will be entrusted to operational forecasting agencies after validation and testing.
Jenna Ritvanen, Seppo Pulkkinen, Dmitri Moisseev, and Daniele Nerini
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1851–1878, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1851-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1851-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Nowcasting models struggle with the rapid evolution of heavy rain, and common verification methods are unable to describe how accurately the models predict the growth and decay of heavy rain. We propose a framework to assess model performance. In the framework, convective cells are identified and tracked in the forecasts and observations, and the model skill is then evaluated by comparing differences between forecast and observed cells. We demonstrate the framework with four open-source models.
Andrew Geiss and Po-Lun Ma
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1809–1827, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1809-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1809-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Particles in the Earth's atmosphere strongly impact the planet's energy budget, and atmosphere simulations require accurate representation of their interaction with light. This work introduces two approaches to represent light scattering by small particles. The first is a scattering simulator based on Mie theory implemented in Python. The second is a neural network emulator that is more accurate than existing methods and is fast enough to be used in climate and weather simulations.
Andrin Jörimann, Timofei Sukhodolov, Beiping Luo, Gabriel Chiodo, Graham Mann, and Thomas Peter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-145, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-145, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Aerosol particles in the stratosphere affect our climate. Climate models therefore need an accurate description of their properties and evolution. Satellites measure how strongly aerosol particles extinguish light passing through the stratosphere. We describe a method to use such aerosol extinction data to retrieve the number and sizes of the aerosol particles and calculate their optical effects. The resulting data sets for models are validated against ground-based and balloon observations.
Qin Wang, Bo Zeng, Gong Chen, and Yaoting Li
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1769–1784, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1769-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1769-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study evaluates the performance of four planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes in near-surface wind fields over the Sichuan Basin, China. Using 112 sensitivity experiments with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and focusing on 28 wind events, it is found that wind direction was less sensitive to the PBL schemes. The quasi-normal scale elimination (QNSE) scheme captured temporal variations best, while the Mellor–Yamada–Janjić (MYJ) scheme had the least error in wind speed.
Tai-Long He, Nikhil Dadheech, Tammy M. Thompson, and Alexander J. Turner
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1661–1671, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1661-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1661-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
It is computationally expensive to infer greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions using atmospheric observations. This is partly due to the detailed model used to represent atmospheric transport. We demonstrate how a machine learning (ML) model can be used to simulate high-resolution atmospheric transport. This type of ML model will help estimate GHG emissions using dense observations, which are becoming increasingly common with the proliferation of urban monitoring networks and geostationary satellites.
Wei Li, Beiming Tang, Patrick C. Campbell, Youhua Tang, Barry Baker, Zachary Moon, Daniel Tong, Jianping Huang, Kai Wang, Ivanka Stajner, and Raffaele Montuoro
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1635–1660, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1635-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1635-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The study describes the updates of NOAA's current UFS-AQMv7 air quality forecast model by incorporating the latest scientific and structural changes in CMAQv5.4. An evaluation during the summer of 2023 shows that the updated model overall improves the simulation of MDA8 O3 by reducing the bias by 8%–12% in the contiguous US. PM2.5 predictions have mixed results due to wildfire, highlighting the need for future refinements.
Yanwei Zhu, Aitor Atencia, Markus Dabernig, and Yong Wang
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1545–1559, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1545-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1545-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Most works have delved into convective weather nowcasting, and only a few works have discussed the nowcasting uncertainty for variables at the surface level. Hence, we proposed a method to estimate uncertainty. Generating appropriate noises associated with the characteristic of the error in analysis can simulate the uncertainty of nowcasting. This method can contribute to the estimation of near–surface analysis uncertainty in both nowcasting applications and ensemble nowcasting development.
Joël Thanwerdas, Antoine Berchet, Lionel Constantin, Aki Tsuruta, Michael Steiner, Friedemann Reum, Stephan Henne, and Dominik Brunner
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1505–1544, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1505-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1505-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The Community Inversion Framework (CIF) brings together methods for estimating greenhouse gas fluxes from atmospheric observations. The initial ensemble method implemented in CIF was found to be incomplete and could hardly be compared to other ensemble methods employed in the inversion community. In this paper, we present and evaluate a new implementation of the ensemble mode, building upon the initial developments.
Astrid Kerkweg, Timo Kirfel, Duong H. Do, Sabine Griessbach, Patrick Jöckel, and Domenico Taraborrelli
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1265–1286, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1265-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1265-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Normally, the Modular Earth Submodel System (MESSy) is linked to complete dynamic models to create chemical climate models. However, the modular concept of MESSy and the newly developed DWARF component presented here make it possible to create simplified models that contain only one or a few process descriptions. This is very useful for technical optimisation, such as porting to GPUs, and can be used to create less complex models, such as a chemical box model.
Peter Wind and Willem van Caspel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3571, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3571, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents a numerical method to assess the origin of air pollution. Combined with a numerical air pollution transport and chemistry model, it can follow the contributions from a large number of emission sources. The result is a series of maps that give the relative contributions from for example all European countries at each point.
Julian Vogel, Sebastian Stadler, Ganesh Chockalingam, Afshin Afshari, Johanna Henning, and Matthias Winkler
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-144, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-144, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study presents a toolkit to simplify input data creation for the urban microclimate model PALM-4U. It introduces novel methods to automate the use of open data sources. Our analysis of four test cases created from different geographic data sources shows variations in temperature, humidity, and wind speed, influenced by data quality. Validation indicates that the automated methods yield results comparable to expert-driven approaches, facilitating user-friendly urban climate modeling.
Edward C. Chan, Ilona J. Jäkel, Basit Khan, Martijn Schaap, Timothy M. Butler, Renate Forkel, and Sabine Banzhaf
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1119–1139, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1119-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1119-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
An enhanced emission module has been developed for the PALM model system, improving flexibility and scalability of emission source representation across different sectors. A model for parametrized domestic emissions has also been included, for which an idealized model run is conducted for particulate matter (PM10). The results show that, in addition to individual sources and diurnal variations in energy consumption, vertical transport and urban topology play a role in concentration distribution.
Gregor Ehrensperger, Thorsten Simon, Georg J. Mayr, and Tobias Hell
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1141–1153, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1141-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1141-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
As lightning is a brief and localized event, it is not explicitly resolved in atmospheric models. Instead, expert-based auxiliary descriptions are used to assess it. This study explores how AI can improve our understanding of lightning without relying on traditional expert knowledge. We reveal that AI independently identified the key factors known to experts as essential for lightning in the Alps region. This shows how knowledge discovery could be sped up in areas with limited expert knowledge.
David Patoulias, Kalliopi Florou, and Spyros N. Pandis
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1103–1118, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1103-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1103-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The effect of the assumed atmospheric nucleation mechanism on particle number concentrations and size distribution was investigated. Two quite different mechanisms involving sulfuric acid and ammonia or a biogenic organic vapor gave quite similar results which were consistent with measurements at 26 measurement stations across Europe. The number of larger particles that serve as cloud condensation nuclei showed little sensitivity to the assumed nucleation mechanism.
Tim Radke, Susanne Fuchs, Christian Wilms, Iuliia Polkova, and Marc Rautenhaus
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 1017–1039, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1017-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-1017-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
In our study, we built upon previous work to investigate the patterns artificial intelligence (AI) learns to detect atmospheric features like tropical cyclones (TCs) and atmospheric rivers (ARs). As primary objective, we adopt a method to explain the AI used and investigate the plausibility of learned patterns. We find that plausible patterns are learned for both TCs and ARs. Hence, the chosen method is very useful for gaining confidence in the AI-based detection of atmospheric features.
Leon Geers, Ruud Janssen, Gudrun Thorkelsdottir, Jordi Vilà-Guerau de Arellano, and Martijn Schaap
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-426, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-426, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
High-resolution data on reactive nitrogen deposition are needed to inform cost-effective policies. Here, we describe the implementation of a dry deposition module into a large eddy simulation code. With this model, we are able to represent the turbulent exchange of tracers at the hectometer resolution. The model calculates the dispersion and deposition of NOx and NH3 in great spatial detail, clearly showing the influence of local land use patterns.
Raphaël Périllat, Sylvain Girard, and Irène Korsakissok
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3838, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3838, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We developed a method to improve decision-making during nuclear crises by predicting the spread of radiation more efficiently. Existing approaches are often too slow, especially when analyzing complex data like radiation maps. Our method combines techniques to simplify these maps and predict them quickly using statistical tools. This approach could help authorities respond faster and more accurately in emergencies, reducing risks to the population and the environment.
Shaofeng Hua, Gang Chen, Baojun Chen, Mingshan Li, and Xin Xu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3834, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3834, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Hail forecasting using numerical models remains a challenge. In this study, we found that the commonly used graupel-to-hail conversion parameterization method led to hail overforecasting in heavy rainfall cases where no hail was observed. By incorporating the spongy wet growth process, we successfully mitigated hail overforecasting. The modified scheme also produced hail in real hail events. This research contributes to a better understanding of hail formation.
Stefan Noll, Carsten Schmidt, Patrick Hannawald, Wolfgang Kausch, and Stefan Kimeswenger
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3512, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3512, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Non-thermal emission from chemical reactions in the Earth's middle und upper atmosphere strongly contributes to the brightness of the night sky below about 2.3 µm. The new Paranal Airglow Line and Continuum Emission model calculates the emission spectrum and its variability with an unprecedented accuracy. Relying on a large spectroscopic data set from astronomical spectrographs and theoretical molecular/atomic data, it is valuable for airglow research and astronomical observatories.
Felipe Cifuentes, Henk Eskes, Enrico Dammers, Charlotte Bryan, and Folkert Boersma
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 621–649, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-621-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-621-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We tested the capability of the flux divergence approach (FDA) to reproduce known NOx emissions using synthetic NO2 satellite column retrievals from high-resolution model simulations. The FDA accurately reproduced NOx emissions when column observations were limited to the boundary layer and when the variability of the NO2 lifetime, the NOx : NO2 ratio, and NO2 profile shapes were correctly modeled. This introduces strong model dependency, reducing the simplicity of the original FDA formulation.
Stefano Ubbiali, Christian Kühnlein, Christoph Schär, Linda Schlemmer, Thomas C. Schulthess, Michael Staneker, and Heini Wernli
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 529–546, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-529-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-529-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We explore a high-level programming model for porting numerical weather prediction (NWP) model codes to graphics processing units (GPUs). We present a Python rewrite with the domain-specific library GT4Py (GridTools for Python) of two renowned cloud microphysics schemes and the associated tangent-linear and adjoint algorithms. We find excellent portability, competitive GPU performance, robust execution on diverse computing architectures, and enhanced code maintainability and user productivity.
Pieter Rijsdijk, Henk Eskes, Arlene Dingemans, K. Folkert Boersma, Takashi Sekiya, Kazuyuki Miyazaki, and Sander Houweling
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 483–509, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-483-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-483-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
Clustering high-resolution satellite observations into superobservations improves model validation and data assimilation applications. In our paper, we derive quantitative uncertainties for satellite NO2 column observations based on knowledge of the retrievals, including a detailed analysis of spatial error correlations and representativity errors. The superobservations and uncertainty estimates are tested in a global chemical data assimilation system and are found to improve the forecasts.
Cited articles
Allen, L., Lindberg, F., and Grimmond, C. S. B.: Global to city scale urban
anthropogenic heat flux: model and variability, Int. J. Climatol., 31,
1990–2005, 2011.
ASHRAE: ANSI/ASHRAE Standard 140-2017, Standard Method of Test for the
Evaluation of Building Energy Analysis Computer Programs, 2017.
Baetens, R. and Saelens, D.: Modelling uncertainty in district energy
simulations by stochastic residential occupant behaviour, J. Build. Perform.
Simu., 9, 431–447, https://doi.org/10.1080/19401493.2015.1070203, 2016.
BCO: Guide to Specification 2009, British Council for Offices, 2009.
BEIS: Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy: Sub-national
electricity consumption data, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/sub-national-electricity-consumption-data#lsoa/msoa-data,
last access: 14 July 2017a.
BEIS: Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy: Sub-national
gas consumption data, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/sub-national-gas-consumption-data,
last access: 14 July 2017b.
BEIS: Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy: Sub-national
total final energy consumption data, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/total-final-energy-consumption-at-sub-national-level,
last access: 14 July 2017c.
BEIS: Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy: Sub-National
Consumption Statisitics: Methodology and guidance booklet, 2018.
Bergman, T. L., Lavine, A. S., Incropera, F. P., and DeWitt, D. P.:
Fundamentals of Heat and Mass Transfer, 8th Edn., Wiley Global Education,
2017.
Best, M. J. and Grimmond, C. S. B.: Investigation of the impact of
anthropogenic heat flux within an urban land surface model and PILPS-urban,
Theor. Appl. Climatol., 126, 51–60, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1554-3,
2016.
Björkegren, A. and Grimmond, C. S. B.: Net carbon dioxide emissions from
central London, Urban Clim., 23, 131–158, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2016.10.002,
2018.
Blitzstein, J. K. and Hwang, J.: Introduction to Probability, 2nd Edn.,
Chapman and Hall, CRC Press, 2019.
Bohnenstengel, S. I., Hamilton, I., Davies, M., and Belcher, S. E.: Impact of
anthropogenic heat emissions on London's temperatures, Q. J. Roy. Meteor.
Soc., 140, 687–698, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2144, 2014.
BSI: BS 6700: Specification for Design, installation, testing and
maintenance of services supplying water for domestic use within buildings
and their curtilages, British Standards Institution, 1997.
Bueno, B., Pigeon, G., Norford, L. K., Zibouche, K., and Marchadier, C.: Development and evaluation of a building energy model integrated in the TEB scheme, Geosci. Model Dev., 5, 433–448, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-5-433-2012, 2012.
Busby, J.: UK shallow ground temperatures for ground coupled heat
exchangers, Q. J. Eng. Geol. Hydroge., 48, 248–260,
https://doi.org/10.1144/qjegh2015-077, 2015.
Butcher, K. (Ed.): CIBSE Guide K: Electricity in buildings, Chartered
Institution of Building Services Engineers, 2004.
Butcher, K. (Ed.): CIBSE Guide F: Energy Efficiency in Buildings, Chartered
Institution of Building Services Engineers, 2012.
Butcher, K. (Ed.): CIBSE Guide G: Public health and plumbing engineering,
Chartered Institute of Building Service Engineers, 2014.
Butcher, K. and Craig, B. (Eds.): CIBSE Guide A: Environmental design,
Chartered Institute of Building Service Engineers, London, 2016.
Casey, H. J.: The law of retail gravitation applied to traffic engineering,
Traffic Q., 9, 313–321, 1955.
Capel-Timms, I., Smith, S. T., Sun, T., and Grimmond, S.: Dynamic Anthropogenic activitieS impacting Heat emissions (DASH v1.0): Development and evaluation (Version 1.2), Zenodo, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3936025, 2020.
Chrysoulakis, N., Grimmond, S., Feigenwinter, C., Lindberg, F.,
Gastellu-Etchegorry, J. P., Marconcini, M., Mitraka, Z., Stagakis, S.,
Crawford, B., Olofson, F., Landier, L., Morrison, W., and Parlow, E.: Urban
energy exchanges monitoring from space, Sci. Rep., 8, 1–8,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-29873-x, 2018.
Cleveland, W. S.: LOWESS: A Program for Smoothing Scatterplots by Robust
Locally Weighted Regression, Am. Stat., 35, 54, https://doi.org/10.2307/2683591, 1988.
Cole, R. J. and Sturrock, N. S.: The convective heat exchange at the
external surface of buildings, Build. Environ., 12, 207–214,
https://doi.org/10.1016/0360-1323(77)90021-X, 1977.
Crawford, B., Grimmond, C. S. B., Ward, H. C., Morrison, W., and Kotthaus,
S.: Spatial and temporal patterns of surface–atmosphere energy exchange in
a dense urban environment using scintillometry, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,
143, 817–833, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2967, 2017.
Crawley, D. B., Lawrie, L. K., Pedersen, C. O., and Winkelmann, F. C.:
EnergyPlus: Energy Simulation Program, ASHRAE J., 42, 49–56, 2000.
Crooks, A. T. and Heppenstall, A. J.: Introduction to Agent-Based Modelling,
in: Agent-Based Models of Geographical Systems, 85–105, 2012.
DECC: Non-Domestic National Energy Efficiency Data-Framework: Energy
Statistics 2006-12, Department of Energy and Climate Change, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/non-domestic-national-energy-efficiency-data-framework-energy-statistics-2006-12
(last access: 11 February 2020), 2015.
DECC and BRE: Energy Follow Up Survey (EFUS) 2011, Department of Energy and
Climate Change and Building Research Establishment, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/energy-follow-up-survey-efus-2011
(last access: 11 February 2020), 2016.
de Munck, C., Pigeon, G., Masson, V., Meunier, F., Bousquet, P., Tréméac, B., Merchat, M., Poeuf, P., and Marchadier, C.: How much can air conditioning increase air temperatures for a city like Paris, France?, Int. J. Climatol., 33, 210–227, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3415, 2013.
DfE: Schools, Pupils and their Characteristics, January 2019 – Accompanying
Table, Department for Education, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/schools-pupils-and-their-characteristics-january-2019
(last access: 11 February 2020), 2019.
DfT: Department for Transport, TRA0203 – Motor vehicle traffic (vehicle
kilometres) by road class and region and country in Great Britain, annual
2014, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/road-traffic-statistics-tra
(last access: 10 February 2016), 2014a.
DfT: Department for Transport, TRA0204 – Road traffic (vehicle kilometres)
by vehicle type and road class in Great Britain, annual 2014,
available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/road-traffic-statistics-tra
(last access: 10 February 2016), 2014b.
DfT: Department for Transport, National Travel Survey, 2002–2016, [data
collection], 12th Edn., UK Data Service, SN: 5340, https://doi.org/10.5255/UKDA-SN-5340-8,
2017.
DfT and DVLA: Department for Transport (DfT) and Driver and Vehicle
Licensing Agency (DVLA), Data on all licensed and registered vehicles
(VEH01), available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/all-vehicles-veh01
(last access: 10 February 2020), 2019.
Dong, Y., Varquez, A. C. G., and Kanda, M.: Global anthropogenic heat flux
database with high spatial resolution, Atmos. Environ., 150, 276–294,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.11.040, 2017.
Druckman, A. and Jackson, T.: Household energy consumption in the UK: A
highly geographically and socio-economically disaggregated model, Energ.
Policy, 36, 3167–3182, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2008.03.021, 2008.
EnergyPlus: Knowledgebase: Downloads, Testing and validation, ANSI/ASHRAE
Standard 140 models, Knowledgebase Downloads, available at:
http://energyplus.helpserve.com/Knowledgebase/List/Index/49, last access: 30
June 2020.
Evans, S., Liddiard, R., and Steadman, P.: Modelling a whole building stock:
domestic, non-domestic and mixed use, Build. Res. Inf., 47, 156–172,
https://doi.org/10.1080/09613218.2017.1410424, 2019.
Ferreira, M. J., de Oliveira, A. P., and Soares, J.: Anthropogenic heat in
the city of São Paulo, Brazil, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 104,
43–56, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-010-0322-7, 2011.
Field, J.: TM46: Energy Benchmarks, Chartered Institute of Building Service
Engineers, 2008.
Firth, S., Lomas, K., Wright, A., and Wall, R.: Identifying trends in the use
of domestic appliances from household electricity consumption measurements,
Energ. Buildings, 40, 926–936, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2007.07.005, 2008.
Fisher, K. and Gershuny, J.: Coming full circle – introducing the
multinational Time Use Study Simple File, Electron. Int. J. Time Use Res.,
10, 91–96, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physbeh.2017.03.040, 2013.
Flamco: Indirect Water Heaters (mains water systems), available
at: https://flamcogroup.com/media/files/documentation/EXP17_PSTEST_LR_v09022017_Chapter_6.pdf (last access: 7 March 2019), 2017.
Foucquier, A., Robert, S., Suard, F., Stéphan, L., and Jay, A.: State of
the art in building modelling and energy performances prediction: A review,
Renew. Sust. Energ Rev., 23, 272–288, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2013.03.004,
2013.
Gabey, A. M., Grimmond, C. S. B., and Capel-Timms, I.: Anthropogenic heat
flux: advisable spatial resolutions when input data are scarce, Theor. Appl.
Climatol., 135, 791–807, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2367-y, 2019.
Gershuny, J. and Sullivan, O.: United Kingdom Time Use Survey, 2014–2015,
[data collection], UK Data Service, SN: 8128,
https://doi.org/10.5255/UKDA-SN-8128-1, 2017.
GLA: Greater London Authority, Statistical GIS Boundary Files for London,
available at:
https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/statistical-gis-boundary-files-london
(last access: 11 February 2020), 2011.
GLA: Greater London Authority, London Schools Atlas, available
at: https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/london-schools-atlas (last access: 7 September 2020), 2014.
Google: Google Directions API, available at:
https://developers.google.com/maps/documentation/directions/start (last access:
31 January 2020), 2019.
Greenshields, B. D., Bibbins, J. R., Channing, W. S., and Miller, H. H.: A
Study of Traffic Capacity, in Proceedings of the highway research board,
Highway Research Board, Washington, D. C., 14, 448–477, 1935.
Grimmond, C. S. B.: The Suburban Energy Balance?: Methodological
Considerations and Results for a Mid-Latitude West, Int. J., 12, 481–497,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3370120506, 1992.
Grimmond, C. S. B. and Oke, T. R.: Aerodynamic properties of urban areas
derived from analysis of surface form, J. Appl. Meteorol., 38, 1262–1292, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0450(1999)038<1262:apouad>2.0.co;2, 1999.
Grimmond, C. S. B., Cleugh, H. A., and Oke, T. R.: An objective urban heat
storage model and its comparison with other schemes, Atmos. Environ., 25, 311–326, https://doi.org/10.1016/0957-1272(91)90003-W, 1991.
Grimmond, C. S. B., Potter, S. K., Zutter, H. N., and Souch, C.: Rapid
methods to estimate sky view factors applied to urban areas, Int. J. Climatol.,
21, 903–913, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.659, 2001.
Hawkins, G.: Rules of Thumb, Guidelines for Building Services, 5th Edn.,
BSRIA, Building Services Research and Information Association, 2011.
HCA: Employment Densities Guide: 2nd Edition, Homes and Communities Agency,
available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/employment-densities-guide (last access: 7 September 2020), 2010.
Heaviside, C., Vardoulakis, S., and Cai, X.-M.: Attribution of mortality to
the urban heat island during heatwaves in the West Midlands, UK, Environ.
Health, 15 Suppl 1, 50–59, https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-016-0100-9, 2016.
Heiple, S. and Sailor, D. J.: Using building energy simulation and
geospatial modeling techniques to determine high resolution building sector
energy consumption profiles, Energ. Buildings, 40, 1426–1436,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2008.01.005, 2008.
Hermanns, H.: Interactive Markov Chains: The Quest for Quantified Quality,
Springer, 2003.
Highways Agency: Traffic Capcity of Urban Roads. Design Manual for Roads and
Bridges: TA 79/99, Highways Agency, available at:
http://www.standardsforhighways.co.uk/ha/standards/dmrb/vol5/section1/ta7999.pdf
(last access: 10 February 2020), 2017.
Hinkel, K. M., Nelson, F. E., Klene, A. E., and Bell, J. H.: The urban heat
island in winter at Barrow, Alaska, Int. J. Climatol., 23, 1889–1905,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.971, 2003.
Iamarino, M., Beevers, S., and Grimmond, C. S. B.: High-resolution (space,
time) anthropogenic heat emissions: London 1970–2025, Int. J. Climatol.,
32, 1754–1767, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2390, 2012.
IOP: Institute of Plumbing. Plumbing Services Engineering Design Guide ISBN
9781871956405, 2002.
Kikegawa, Y., Genchi, Y., Yoshikado, H., and Kondo, H.: Development of a
numerical simulation system toward comprehensive assessments of urban
warming countermeasures including their impacts upon the urban buildings'
energy-demands, Appl. Energ., 76, 449–466,
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0306-2619(03)00009-6, 2003.
Kikegawa, Y., Tanaka, A., Ohashi, Y., Ihara, T., and Shigeta, Y.: Observed
and simulated sensitivities of summertime urban surface air temperatures to
anthropogenic heat in downtown areas of two Japanese Major Cities, Tokyo and
Osaka, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 117, 175–193,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-013-0996-8, 2014.
Kim, Y. S. and Srebric, J.: Impact of occupancy rates on the building
electricity consumption in commercial buildings, Energ. Buildings, 138,
591–600, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2016.12.056, 2017.
Klein, S. A., Duffie, J. A., and Mitchell, J. C.: TRNSYS 18: A Transient
System Simulation Program, Solar Energy Laboratory, University of Wisconsin,
available at: https://sel.me.wisc.edu/trnsys/ (last access: 31
January 2020), 2017.
Knudsen, S.: Heat transfer in a “tank in tank” combi store, BYG Rapport, No. R-025, 2002.
Kotthaus, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B.: Identification of Micro-scale
Anthropogenic CO2, heat and moisture sources – Processing eddy covariance
fluxes for a dense urban environment, Atmos. Environ., 57, 301–316,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2012.04.024, 2012.
Kotthaus, S. and Grimmond, C. S. B.: Energy exchange in a dense urban
environment – Part I: Temporal variability of long-term observations in
central London, Urban Clim., 10, 261–280,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2013.10.002, 2014.
Lee, S. H., Song, C. K., Baik, J. J., and Park, S. U.: Estimation of
anthropogenic heat emission in the Gyeong-In region of Korea, Theor. Appl.
Climatol., 96, 291–303, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-008-0040-6, 2009.
LGA: Local Government Association website, available at:
https://www.local.gov.uk/about/what-local-government, last access: 26 November
2019.
Lindberg, F., Grimmond, C. S. B., Yogeswaran, N., Kotthaus, S., and Allen,
L.: Impact of city changes and weather on anthropogenic heat flux in Europe
1995–2015, Urban Clim., 4, 1–15, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2013.03.002,
2013.
London Datastore: London Atmospheric Emissions Inventory (LAEI) 2013 –
Supporting information: key GIS geographies and road traffic flows and
vehicle-kilometres, available at:
https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/london-atmospheric-emissions-inventory-2013
(last access: 11 February 2020), 2014.
Lu, Y., Wang, Q., Zhang, Y., Sun, P., and Qian, Y.: An estimate of
anthropogenic heat emissions in China, Int. J. Climatol., 36, 1134–1142,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4407, 2016.
Macal, C. and North, M.: Tutorial on agent-based modelling and simulation, J.
Simul., 4, 151–162, https://doi.org/10.1057/jos.2010.3, 2010.
Mavrogianni, A., Wilkinson, P., Davies, M., Biddulph, P., and Oikonomou, E.:
Building characteristics as determinants of propensity to high indoor summer
temperatures in London dwellings, Build. Environ., 55, 117–130,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2011.12.003, 2012.
McKenna, E., Krawczynski, M., and Thomson, M.: Four-state domestic building
occupancy model for energy demand simulations, Energ. Buildings, 96, 30–39,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2015.03.013, 2015.
MWS: McDonald Water Storage Ltd: Hot Water Tanks Specifications and Sizing,
available at:
https://www.mcdonaldwaterstorage.com/rectangular-tank-sizing-specifications,
last access: 7 March 2019.
National Bureau of Statistics of China: China Statistical Information
Network, available at:
http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/statisticaldata/censusdata/ (last access: 11
February 2020), 2017.
NG: National Grid: Transmission operational data, available at:
https://www.nationalgridgas.com/data-and-operations/transmission-operational-data,
last access: 28 November 2015.
Nie, W. S., Sun, T., and Ni, G. H.: Spatiotemporal characteristics of
anthropogenic heat in an urban environment: A case study of Tsinghua Campus,
Build. Environ., 82, 675–686, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2014.10.011, 2014.
Offerle, B., Grimmond, C. S. B., and Fortuniak, K.: Heat storage and
anthropogenic heat flux in relation to the energy balance of a central
European city centre, Int. J. Climatol., 25, 1405–1419,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1198, 2005.
Oke, T. R.: The urban energy balance, Prog. Phys. Geogr., 12, 471–508,
https://doi.org/10.1177/030913338801200401, 1988.
ONS: Office for National Statistics, QS406EW – Household size, available at: https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/census/2011/qs406ew (last access: 10
February 2020), 2011.
ONS: Office for National Statistics, WP101EW Population (Workplace
population), available at:
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/query/construct/summary.asp?reset=yes&mode=construct&dataset=1300&version=0&anal=1&initsel=%0D
(last access: 31 January 2020), 2014a.
ONS: Office for National Statistics, WU03UK Location of usual residence and
place of work by method of travel to work, available at:
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/query/construct/summary.asp?reset=yes&mode=construct&dataset=1207&version=0&anal=1&initsel=
(last access: 31 January 2020), 2014b.
ONS: Office for National Statistics, Mid-2015 Population Estimates for
Census Output Areas in London by Single Year of Age and Sex, available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/datasets/censusoutputareaestimatesinthelondonregionofengland,
last access: 25 May 2015.
ONS: Office for National Statistics, Census Geography, available
at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/methodology/geography/ukgeographies/censusgeography,
last access: 11 February 2017a.
ONS: Office for National Statistics, Labour force survey – Families and
Households, available at:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/families/datasets/familiesandhouseholdsfamiliesandhouseholds,
last access: 30 October 2017b.
ONS: Estimated average calorific values of fuels 2017 – Digest of UK Energy
Statistics (DUKES): calorific values, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/dukes-calorific-values (last access: 31
January 2020), 2018.
ONS: Office for National Statistics, UK Business Counts – local units by
industry and employment size band, available at:
https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/datasets/idbrlu (last access: 17 January 2020), 2019.
OpenStreetMap: OpenStreetMap data of Greater London, available at: https://www.openstreetmap.org, last access: 31 January 2017.
OS: OS MasterMap®, available at:
http://digimap.edina.ac.uk (last access: 11 October 2015), 2014.
OS: London digital speed limit map and private communication, Ordnance
Survey, 2015.
OS: OS Open Roads, available at:
https://www.ordnancesurvey.co.uk/opendatadownload/products.html (last access: 30
August 2016), 2016.
O'Sullivan, D., Millington, J., Perry, G., and Wainwright, J.: Agent-Based
Models – Because They're Worth It?, in: Agent-Based Models of Geographical
Systems, 109–123, 2012.
Page, J., Robinson, D., Morel, N., and Scartezzini, J. L.: A generalised
stochastic model for the simulation of occupant presence, Energ. Buildings,
40, 83–98, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2007.01.018, 2008.
Palmer, E. (Ed.): CIBSE Guide B1: Heating, Chartered Institution of Building
Services Engineers, 2016.
Pigeon, G., Legain, D., Durand, P., and Masson, V.: Anthropogenic heat
release in an old European agglomeration (Toulouse, France), Int. J.
Climatol., 27, 1969–1981, 2007.
Reilly, W. J.: The Law of Retail Gravitation (1931), 2nd Edn., Pilsbury
Publishers, New York, 1953.
Richardson, I., Thomson, M., and Infield, D.: A high-resolution domestic
building occupancy model for energy demand simulations, Energ. Buildings,
40, 1560–1566, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2008.02.006, 2008.
Richardson, I., Thomson, M., Infield, D., and Clifford, C.: Domestic
electricity use: A high-resolution energy demand model, Energ. Buildings,
42, 1878–1887, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2010.05.023, 2010.
Sailor, D. J.: A review of methods for estimating anthropogenic heat and
moisture emissions in the urban environment, Int. J. Climatol., 31,
189–199, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2106, 2011.
Sailor, D. J. and Lu, L.: A top-down methodology for developing diurnal and
seasonal anthropogenic heating profiles for urban areas, Atmos. Environ.,
38, 2737–2748, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2004.01.034, 2004.
Salamanca, F. P., Georgescu, M., Mahalov, A., Moustaoui, M., and Wang, M.: Anthropogenic heating of the urban environment due to air conditioning, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 119, 5949–5965, https://doi.org/10.1002/2013jd021225, 2014.
Salter, R. J.: The relationship between space, flow and density of a highway
traffic stream, in: Highway Traffic Analysis and Design,
Palgrave Macmillan, 119–120, 1989.
Santamouris, M., Papanikolaou, N., Livada, I., Koronakis, I., Georgakis, C.,
Argiriou, A., and Assimakopoulos, D. N.: On the impact of urban climate on
the energy consumption of buildings, Sol. Energy, 70, 201–216,
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0038-092X(00)00095-5, 2001.
Schoetter, R., Masson, V., Bourgeois, A., Pellegrino, M., and Lévy, J.-P.: Parametrisation of the variety of human behaviour related to building energy consumption in the Town Energy Balance (SURFEX-TEB v. 8.2), Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 2801–2831, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-2801-2017, 2017.
SciPy: Numpy random sampling, available at:
https://docs.scipy.org/doc/numpy/reference/random/index.html, last access: 30
November 2019.
Sellers, W. D.: Physical Climatology, 4th Edn., Univeristy of Chicago Press,
Ltd, 1972.
Sericola, B.: Markov chains: theory, algorithms and applications, John Wiley
& Sons, Inc., 2013.
Smith, C., Lindley, S. and Levermore, G.: Estimating spatial and temporal
patterns of urban anthropogenic heat fluxes for UK cities: The case of
Manchester, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 98, 19–35,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-008-0086-5, 2009.
Spitler, J. D.: Thermal Load and Energy performance prediction, in: Building
performance simulation for design and operation, edited by: Hensen, J. L. and
Lamberts, R., Spon Press, 2011.
Statistics Bureau of Japan: Japanese census data resolution, available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/index.html (last access: 7 September 2020), 2017.
Statistics Canada: Statistical Area Classification (SAC), available at:
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/92-195-x/2016001/other-autre/sac-css/sac-css-eng.htm
(last access: 11 February 2020), 2017.
Steadman, P., Bruhns, H. R., and Rickaby, P. A.: An introduction to the
national Non-Domestic Building Stock database, Environ. Plann. B,
27, 3–10, https://doi.org/10.1068/bst2, 2000.
Stewart, I. D., Oke, T. R., and Krayenhoff, E. S.: Evaluation of the “local
climate zone” scheme using temperature observations and model simulations,
Int. J. Climatol., 34, 1062–1080, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3746, 2014.
Sun, T. and Grimmond, S.: A Python-enhanced urban land surface model SuPy (SUEWS in Python, v2019.2): development, deployment and demonstration, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2781–2795, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2781-2019, 2019.
TfL: Transport for London. Bus service usage, passengers and kilometres
operated by route (2014–2015), available at:
https://tfl.gov.uk/corporate/publications-and-reports/buses#on-this-page-1
(last access: 12 February 2020), 2018.
TfL: Transport for London. Number of Buses by Type of Bus in London,
available at:
https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/number-buses-type-bus-london (last access: 11
February 2020), 2019.
Thorsson, S., Rocklöv, J., Konarska, J., Lindberg, F., Holmer, B.,
Dousset, B., and Rayner, D.: Mean radiant temperature – A predictor of heat
related mortality, Urban Clim., 10, 332–345,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2014.01.004, 2014.
Underwood, C. P. and Yik, F.: Modelling methods for energy in buildings,
Blackwell Publishing, Malden, 2004.
U.S. Department of Energy: EnergyPlusVersion 9.3.0: Engineering Reference,
2020.
US Census Bureau: US Census Geography, available at:
https://www.census.gov/data.html (last access: 11 February 2020), 2019.
VOA: Dwellings by Property Build Period and Type, available at:
https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/property-build-period-lsoa (last access: 31
January 2020), 2015.
Ward, H. C. and Grimmond, C. S. B.: Assessing the impact of changes in
surface cover, human behaviour and climate on energy partitioning across
Greater London, Landscape Urban Plan., 165, 142–161, 2017.
Ward, H. C., Kotthaus, S., Järvi, L., and Grimmond, C. S. B.: Surface
Urban Energy and Water Balance Scheme (SUEWS): Development, Evaluation and
Application, Urban Clim., 18, 1–32, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2016.05.001, 2016.
Widén, J. and Wäckelgård, E.: A high-resolution stochastic model
of domestic activity patterns and electricity demand, Appl. Energ., 87,
1880–1892, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2009.11.006, 2010.
Widén, J., Nilsson, A. M., and Wäckelgård, E.: A combined
Markov-chain and bottom-up approach to modelling of domestic lighting
demand, Energ. Buildings, 41, 1001–1012,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2009.05.002, 2009a.
Widén, J., Lundh, M., Vassileva, I., Dahlquist, E., Ellegård, K., and
Wäckelgård, E.: Constructing load profiles for household electricity
and hot water from time-use data-Modelling approach and validation, Energ.
Buildings, 41, 753–768, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2009.02.013, 2009b.
Wu, N.: A new Approach for Modeling of Fundamental Diagrams and its
Applications, Transp. Res. B, 36, 867–884, 2000.
Yohanis, Y. G., Mondol, J. D., Wright, A., and Norton, B.: Real-life energy
use in the UK: How occupancy and dwelling characteristics affect domestic
electricity use, Energ. Buildings, 40, 1053–1059,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2007.09.001, 2008.
Zheng, Y. and Weng, Q.: High spatial- and temporal-resolution anthropogenic
heat discharge estimation in Los Angeles County, California, J. Environ.
Manage., 206, 1274–1286, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.07.047, 2017.
Download
The requested paper has a corresponding corrigendum published. Please read the corrigendum first before downloading the article.
- Article
(7491 KB) - Full-text XML
Short summary
Thermal emissions or anthropogenic heat fluxes (QF) from human activities impact the local- and larger-scale urban climate. DASH considers both urban form and function in simulating QF by use of an agent-based structure that includes behavioural characteristics of city populations. This allows social practices to drive the calculation of QF as occupants move, varying by day type, demographic, location, activity, and socio-economic factors and in response to environmental conditions.
Thermal emissions or anthropogenic heat fluxes (QF) from human activities impact the local- and...
