Articles | Volume 19, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-4009-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-4009-2026
Development and technical paper
 | 
18 May 2026
Development and technical paper |  | 18 May 2026

From reanalysis to climatology: deep learning reconstruction of tropical cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific

Duc-Trong Le, Tran-Binh Dang, Anh-Duc Hoang Gia, Duc-Hai Nguyen, Minh-Hoa Tien, Xuan-Truong Ngo, Quang-Trung Luu, Quang-Lap Luu, Tai-Hung Nguyen, Thanh T. N. Nguyen, and Chanh Kieu

Related authors

A Deep-learning Framework for Retrieving Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Structure from Gridded Climate Data (TCNN V1.0)
Minh-Khanh Luong and Chanh Kieu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1074,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1074, 2025
Preprint archived
Short summary
Roles of Tropical Waves in the Formation of Global Tropical Cyclone Clusters
The-Anh Vu and Chanh Kieu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-974,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-974, 2023
Preprint archived
Short summary

Cited articles

Bengtsson, L., Hodges, K. I., Esch, M., Keenlyside, N., Kornblueh, L., Luo, J.-J., and Yamagata, T.: How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate?, Tellus A, 59A, 539–561, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00251.x, 2007. a
Bi, K., Xie, L., Zhang, H., Chen, X., Gu, X., and Tian, Q.: Accurate medium-range global weather forecasting with 3D neural networks, Nature, 619, 533–538, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06185-3, 2023. a, b
Bister, M. and Emanuel, K. A.: The Genesis of Hurricane Guillermo: TEXMEX Analyses and a Modeling Study, Mon. Weather Rev., 125, 2662–2682, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1997)125<2662:TGOHGT>2.0.CO;2, 1997.  a
Brigato, L. and Iocchi, L.: A Close Look at Deep Learning with Small Data, arXiv [preprint], https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2003.12843, 2020. a
Camargo, S. J. and Zebiak, S. E.: Improving the Detection and Tracking of Tropical Cyclones in Atmospheric General Circulation Models, Weather Forecast., 17, 1152–1162, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(2002)017<1152:ITDATO>2.0.CO;2, 2002. a
Download
Short summary

We study how and where tropical storms, i.e., tropical cyclogenesis, begin in the Western North Pacific. Using many years of global weather data and a modern pattern-recognition method, i.e., deep learning,  we built a model that learns signals that come before storm formation and maps when and where formation is likely. It reproduces known seasonal and regional patterns and identifies key environmental cues. These results can support better risk planning and help refine climate projections.

Share