Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-2551-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-2551-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Advancing crop modeling and data assimilation using AquaCrop v7.2 in NASA's Land Information System Framework v7.5
Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
Louise Busschaert
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
Michel Bechtold
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
Niccolò Lanfranco
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
Politecnico di Torino, Department of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering, Corso Duca degli Abruzzi 24, 10129 Torino, Italy
Shannon de Roos
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Department of Water and Climate, Pleinlaan 2, 1050, Brussel, Belgium
Zdenko Heyvaert
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
ECMWF, Research Department, Reading, RG2 9AX, United Kingdom
Martynas Bielinis
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
Jonas Mortelmans
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
Samuel A. Scherrer
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
Maxime Van den Bossche
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
KU Leuven ICTS, Facilities for Research, HPC Support, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
Sujay Kumar
NASA/GSFC, Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
David M. Mocko
NASA/GSFC, Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
Science Applications International Corporation, Reston, VA, USA
Eric Kemp
NASA/GSFC, Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA
Lee Heng
formerly at: International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, Austria
retired
Pasquale Steduto
formerly at: Land and Water Division, FAO, Rome, Italy
retired
Dirk Raes
KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Celestijnenlaan 200E, 3001 Heverlee, Belgium
retired
Related authors
Anne Springer, Gabriëlle De Lannoy, Matthew Rodell, Yorck Ewerdwalbesloh, Helena Gerdener, Mehdi Khaki, Bailing Li, Fupeng Li, Maike Schumacher, Natthachet Tangdamrongsub, Mohammad J. Tourian, Wanshu Nie, and Jürgen Kusche
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 985–1022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-985-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-985-2026, 2026
Short summary
Short summary
The GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) and GRACE Follow-On satellites monitor changes in Earth's water storage by observing gravity variations. By integrating these observations into hydrological models through data assimilation, estimates of groundwater, soil moisture, and hydrological trends are improved, helping to monitor droughts, floods, and human water use. This review highlights recent advances in GRACE data assimilation, identifies key challenges, and discusses future directions with upcoming satellite missions.
Rémi Madelon, K. Arthur Endsley, John S. Kimball, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Oliver Sonnentag, Haley Alcock, Alex Mavrovic, Scott N. Williamson, Vincent Maire, Arnaud Mialon, and Alexandre Roy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-720, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-720, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).
Short summary
Short summary
This study aims to improve estimates of carbon dioxide release and uptake in the North American Arctic and subarctic regions. Several modeling approaches were tested, showing that a better representation of sunlight and temperature effects on ecosystems leads to improved estimates. This work provides new perspectives to better assess whether these regions act as sources or sinks of greenhouse gases and how they may influence the climate system by amplifying or slowing global warming.
Pierre Laluet, Jacopo Dari, Louise Busschaert, Zdenko Heyvaert, Gabrielle De Lannoy, Pia Langhans, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Luca Brocca, Carla Saltalippi, Renato Morbidelli, Clément Albergel, and Wouter Dorigo
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-737, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-737, 2026
Preprint under review for ESSD
Short summary
Short summary
We developed a long-term dataset collection of irrigation water use based on about two decades of satellite observations, three distinct approaches, and many input datasets. The collection provides monthly estimates for major agricultural regions and helps describe how irrigation varies across locations, seasons, and years. It offers a foundation for improving how irrigation is quantified, compared across methods, and integrated into large-scale hydrological and climate studies.
Zanpin Xing, Xiaojun Li, Frédéric Frappart, Gabrielle De Lannoy, Thomas Jagdhuber, Jian Peng, Lei Fan, Hongliang Ma, Karthikeyan Lanka, Xiangzhuo Liu, Mengjia Wang, Lin Zhao, Yongqin Liu, and Jean-Pierre Wigneron
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-728, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-728, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for ESSD
Short summary
Short summary
Satellite observations of Earth's land surface are important for tracking soil and vegetation water. We use data from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity satellite to build a new product that cleans the raw microwave signal and yields more reliable estimates of soil moisture and vegetation water content. Tests against ground stations and other satellites show that the new record exceeds existing products and can support applications such as drought, freeze–thaw, and carbon monitoring.
Devon Dunmire, Michel Bechtold, Lucas Boeykens, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
The Cryosphere, 20, 609–628, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-609-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-609-2026, 2026
Short summary
Short summary
Snow is vital for society and the climate, yet estimates of snowpack remain uncertain due to observational and modeling limitations. Data assimilation (DA) helps by integrating observations with models. Here, we integrate snow depth retrievals into a physically-based snow model across the European Alps. This work offers advancements for snow data assimilation, such as incorporating a dynamic observational uncertainty, which is essential for forecasting and water resource management.
Lucas Boeykens, Devon Dunmire, Jonas-Frederik Jans, Willem Waegeman, Gabriëlle De Lannoy, Ezra Beernaert, Niko E. C. Verhoest, and Hans Lievens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3327, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3327, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We used AI to better estimate the height of the snowpack present on the ground across the European Alps, by using novel satellite data, complemented by weather information or snow depth estimates from a computer model. We found that both combinations improve the accuracy of our AI-based snow depth estimates, performing almost equally well. This helps us better monitor how much water is stored as snow, which is vital for drinking water, farming, and clean energy production in Europe.
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2550, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2550, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study estimates irrigation in the Po Valley using AquaCrop and Noah-MP models with sprinkler irrigation. Noah-MP shows higher annual rates than AquaCrop due to more water losses. After adjusting, both align with reported irrigation ranges (500–600 mm/yr). Soil moisture estimates from both models match satellite data, though both have limitations in vegetation and evapotranspiration modeling. The study emphasizes the need for observations to improve irrigation estimates.
Paolo Nasta, Günter Blöschl, Heye R. Bogena, Steffen Zacharias, Roland Baatz, Gabriëlle De Lannoy, Karsten H. Jensen, Salvatore Manfreda, Laurent Pfister, Ana M. Tarquis, Ilja van Meerveld, Marc Voltz, Yijian Zeng, William Kustas, Xin Li, Harry Vereecken, and Nunzio Romano
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 465–483, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-465-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-465-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The Unsolved Problems in Hydrology (UPH) initiative has emphasized the need to establish networks of multi-decadal hydrological observatories to tackle catchment-scale challenges on a global scale. This opinion paper provocatively discusses two endmembers of possible future hydrological observatory (HO) networks for a given hypothesized community budget: a comprehensive set of moderately instrumented observatories or, alternatively, a small number of highly instrumented supersites.
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabrielle J. M. De Lannoy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4974019, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4974019, 2024
Preprint archived
Short summary
Short summary
This study estimates irrigation in the Po Valley using AquaCrop and Noah-MP models with sprinkler irrigation. Noah-MP shows higher annual rates than AquaCrop due to more water losses. After adjusting, both align with reported irrigation ranges (500–600 mm/yr). Soil moisture estimates from both models match satellite data, though both have limitations in vegetation and evapotranspiration modeling. The study emphasizes the need for observations to improve irrigation estimates.
Isis Brangers, Hans-Peter Marshall, Gabrielle De Lannoy, Devon Dunmire, Christian Mätzler, and Hans Lievens
The Cryosphere, 18, 3177–3193, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3177-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3177-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
To better understand the interactions between C-band radar waves and snow, a tower-based experiment was set up in the Idaho Rocky Mountains. The reflections were collected in the time domain to measure the backscatter profile from the various snowpack and ground surface layers. The results demonstrate that C-band radar is sensitive to seasonal patterns in snow accumulation but that changes in microstructure, stratigraphy and snow wetness may complicate satellite-based snow depth retrievals.
Jonas Mortelmans, Anne Felsberg, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Sander Veraverbeke, Robert D. Field, Niels Andela, and Michel Bechtold
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 445–464, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-445-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-445-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
With global warming increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires in the boreal region, accurate risk assessments are becoming more crucial than ever before. The Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI) is a renowned system, yet its effectiveness in peatlands, where hydrology plays a key role, is limited. By incorporating groundwater data from numerical models and satellite observations, our modified FWI improves the accuracy of fire danger predictions, especially over summer.
Anne Felsberg, Zdenko Heyvaert, Jean Poesen, Thomas Stanley, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3805–3821, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3805-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3805-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
The Probabilistic Hydrological Estimation of LandSlides (PHELS) model combines ensembles of landslide susceptibility and of hydrological predictor variables to provide daily, global ensembles of hazard for hydrologically triggered landslides. Testing different hydrological predictors showed that the combination of rainfall and soil moisture performed best, with the lowest number of missed and false alarms. The ensemble approach allowed the estimation of the associated prediction uncertainty.
Samuel Scherrer, Gabriëlle De Lannoy, Zdenko Heyvaert, Michel Bechtold, Clement Albergel, Tarek S. El-Madany, and Wouter Dorigo
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 4087–4114, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4087-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4087-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We explored different options for data assimilation (DA) of the remotely sensed leaf area index (LAI). We found strong biases between LAI predicted by Noah-MP and observations. LAI DA that does not take these biases into account can induce unphysical patterns in the resulting LAI and flux estimates and leads to large changes in the climatology of root zone soil moisture. We tested two bias-correction approaches and explored alternative solutions to treating bias in LAI DA.
Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Michel Bechtold, Hans Lievens, Angelica Tarpanelli, Luca Brocca, Luca Zappa, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 4685–4706, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4685-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4685-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Given the crucial impact of irrigation practices on the water cycle, this study aims at estimating irrigation through the development of an innovative data assimilation system able to ingest high-resolution Sentinel-1 radar observations into the Noah-MP land surface model. The developed methodology has important implications for global water resource management and the comprehension of human impacts on the water cycle and identifies main challenges and outlooks for future research.
Anne Felsberg, Jean Poesen, Michel Bechtold, Matthias Vanmaercke, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3063–3082, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3063-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3063-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
In this study we assessed global landslide susceptibility at the coarse 36 km spatial resolution of global satellite soil moisture observations to prepare for a subsequent combination of the two. Specifically, we focus therefore on the susceptibility of hydrologically triggered landslides. We introduce ensemble techniques, common in, for example, meteorology but not yet in the landslide community, to retrieve reliable estimates of the total prediction uncertainty.
Louise Busschaert, Shannon de Roos, Wim Thiery, Dirk Raes, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3731–3752, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3731-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3731-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Increasing amounts of water are used for agriculture. Therefore, we looked into how irrigation requirements will evolve under a changing climate over Europe. Our results show that, by the end of the century and under high emissions, irrigation water will increase by 30 % on average compared to the year 2000. Also, the irrigation requirement is likely to vary more from 1 year to another. However, if emissions are mitigated, these effects are reduced.
Hans Lievens, Isis Brangers, Hans-Peter Marshall, Tobias Jonas, Marc Olefs, and Gabriëlle De Lannoy
The Cryosphere, 16, 159–177, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-159-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-159-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Snow depth observations at high spatial resolution from the Sentinel-1 satellite mission are presented over the European Alps. The novel observations can improve our knowledge of seasonal snow mass in areas with complex topography, where satellite-based estimates are currently lacking, and benefit a number of applications including water resource management, flood forecasting, and numerical weather prediction.
Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Alexander Gruber, Hans Lievens, Angelica Tarpanelli, Renato Morbidelli, and Gabrielle J. M. De Lannoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 6283–6307, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6283-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6283-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Worldwide, the amount of water used for agricultural purposes is rising and the quantification of irrigation is becoming a crucial topic. Land surface models are not able to correctly simulate irrigation. Remote sensing observations offer an opportunity to fill this gap as they are directly affected by irrigation. We equipped a land surface model with an observation operator able to transform Sentinel-1 backscatter observations into realistic vegetation and soil states via data assimilation.
Shannon de Roos, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, and Dirk Raes
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 7309–7328, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7309-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7309-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
A spatially distributed version of the field-scale crop model AquaCrop v6.1 was developed for applications at various spatial scales. Multi-year 1 km simulations over central Europe were evaluated against biomass and surface soil moisture products derived from optical and microwave satellite missions, as well as in situ observations of soil moisture. The regional version of the AquaCrop model provides a suitable setup for subsequent satellite-based data assimilation.
Michiel Maertens, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Sebastian Apers, Sujay V. Kumar, and Sarith P. P. Mahanama
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4099–4125, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-4099-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-4099-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, we simulated the water balance over the South American Dry Chaco and assessed the impact of land cover changes thereon using three different land surface models. Our simulations indicated that different models result in a different partitioning of the total water budget, but all showed an increase in soil moisture and percolation over the deforested areas. We also found that, relative to independent data, no specific land surface model is significantly better than another.
Anne Springer, Gabriëlle De Lannoy, Matthew Rodell, Yorck Ewerdwalbesloh, Helena Gerdener, Mehdi Khaki, Bailing Li, Fupeng Li, Maike Schumacher, Natthachet Tangdamrongsub, Mohammad J. Tourian, Wanshu Nie, and Jürgen Kusche
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 985–1022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-985-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-985-2026, 2026
Short summary
Short summary
The GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) and GRACE Follow-On satellites monitor changes in Earth's water storage by observing gravity variations. By integrating these observations into hydrological models through data assimilation, estimates of groundwater, soil moisture, and hydrological trends are improved, helping to monitor droughts, floods, and human water use. This review highlights recent advances in GRACE data assimilation, identifies key challenges, and discusses future directions with upcoming satellite missions.
Rémi Madelon, K. Arthur Endsley, John S. Kimball, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Oliver Sonnentag, Haley Alcock, Alex Mavrovic, Scott N. Williamson, Vincent Maire, Arnaud Mialon, and Alexandre Roy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-720, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-720, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).
Short summary
Short summary
This study aims to improve estimates of carbon dioxide release and uptake in the North American Arctic and subarctic regions. Several modeling approaches were tested, showing that a better representation of sunlight and temperature effects on ecosystems leads to improved estimates. This work provides new perspectives to better assess whether these regions act as sources or sinks of greenhouse gases and how they may influence the climate system by amplifying or slowing global warming.
Pierre Laluet, Jacopo Dari, Louise Busschaert, Zdenko Heyvaert, Gabrielle De Lannoy, Pia Langhans, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Luca Brocca, Carla Saltalippi, Renato Morbidelli, Clément Albergel, and Wouter Dorigo
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-737, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-737, 2026
Preprint under review for ESSD
Short summary
Short summary
We developed a long-term dataset collection of irrigation water use based on about two decades of satellite observations, three distinct approaches, and many input datasets. The collection provides monthly estimates for major agricultural regions and helps describe how irrigation varies across locations, seasons, and years. It offers a foundation for improving how irrigation is quantified, compared across methods, and integrated into large-scale hydrological and climate studies.
Zanpin Xing, Xiaojun Li, Frédéric Frappart, Gabrielle De Lannoy, Thomas Jagdhuber, Jian Peng, Lei Fan, Hongliang Ma, Karthikeyan Lanka, Xiangzhuo Liu, Mengjia Wang, Lin Zhao, Yongqin Liu, and Jean-Pierre Wigneron
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-728, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2025-728, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for ESSD
Short summary
Short summary
Satellite observations of Earth's land surface are important for tracking soil and vegetation water. We use data from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity satellite to build a new product that cleans the raw microwave signal and yields more reliable estimates of soil moisture and vegetation water content. Tests against ground stations and other satellites show that the new record exceeds existing products and can support applications such as drought, freeze–thaw, and carbon monitoring.
Devon Dunmire, Michel Bechtold, Lucas Boeykens, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
The Cryosphere, 20, 609–628, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-609-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-609-2026, 2026
Short summary
Short summary
Snow is vital for society and the climate, yet estimates of snowpack remain uncertain due to observational and modeling limitations. Data assimilation (DA) helps by integrating observations with models. Here, we integrate snow depth retrievals into a physically-based snow model across the European Alps. This work offers advancements for snow data assimilation, such as incorporating a dynamic observational uncertainty, which is essential for forecasting and water resource management.
Cenlin He, Tzu-Shun Lin, David M. Mocko, Ronnie Abolafia-Rosenzweig, Jerry W. Wegiel, and Sujay V. Kumar
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 8439–8460, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-8439-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-8439-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study integrates the refactored community Noah-MP version 5.0 model with the NASA Land Information System (LIS) version 7.5.2 to streamline the synchronization, development, and maintenance of Noah-MP within LIS and to enhance their interoperability and applicability. The model benchmarking and evaluation results reveal key model strengths and weaknesses in simulating land surface quantities and show implications for future model improvements.
Peyman Abbaszadeh, Fadji Zaouna Maina, Chen Yang, Dan Rosen, Sujay Kumar, Matthew Rodell, and Reed Maxwell
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 5429–5452, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5429-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5429-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
To manage Earth's water resources effectively amid climate change, it is crucial to understand both surface and groundwater processes. We developed a new modeling system that combines two advanced tools, ParFlow and LIS (Land Information System)/Noah-MP, to better simulate both land surface and groundwater interactions. By testing this integrated model in the Upper Colorado River Basin, we found it improves predictions of hydrologic processes, especially in complex terrains.
Lucas Boeykens, Devon Dunmire, Jonas-Frederik Jans, Willem Waegeman, Gabriëlle De Lannoy, Ezra Beernaert, Niko E. C. Verhoest, and Hans Lievens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3327, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3327, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We used AI to better estimate the height of the snowpack present on the ground across the European Alps, by using novel satellite data, complemented by weather information or snow depth estimates from a computer model. We found that both combinations improve the accuracy of our AI-based snow depth estimates, performing almost equally well. This helps us better monitor how much water is stored as snow, which is vital for drinking water, farming, and clean energy production in Europe.
Pengfei Xue, Chenfu Huang, Yafang Zhong, Michael Notaro, Miraj B. Kayastha, Xing Zhou, Chuyan Zhao, Christa Peters-Lidard, Carlos Cruz, and Eric Kemp
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 4293–4316, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4293-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4293-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study introduces a new 3D lake–ice–atmosphere coupled model that significantly improves winter climate simulations for the Great Lakes compared to traditional 1D lake model coupling. The key contribution is the identification of critical hydrodynamic processes – ice transport, heat advection, and shear-driven turbulence production – that influence lake thermal structure and ice cover and explain the superior performance of 3D lake models to their 1D counterparts.
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2550, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2550, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This study estimates irrigation in the Po Valley using AquaCrop and Noah-MP models with sprinkler irrigation. Noah-MP shows higher annual rates than AquaCrop due to more water losses. After adjusting, both align with reported irrigation ranges (500–600 mm/yr). Soil moisture estimates from both models match satellite data, though both have limitations in vegetation and evapotranspiration modeling. The study emphasizes the need for observations to improve irrigation estimates.
Katja Frieler, Stefan Lange, Jacob Schewe, Matthias Mengel, Simon Treu, Christian Otto, Jan Volkholz, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Stefanie Heinicke, Colin Jones, Julia L. Blanchard, Cheryl S. Harrison, Colleen M. Petrik, Tyler D. Eddy, Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, Camilla Novaglio, Ryan Heneghan, Derek P. Tittensor, Olivier Maury, Matthias Büchner, Thomas Vogt, Dánnell Quesada Chacón, Kerry Emanuel, Chia-Ying Lee, Suzana J. Camargo, Jonas Jägermeyr, Sam Rabin, Jochen Klar, Iliusi D. Vega del Valle, Lisa Novak, Inga J. Sauer, Gitta Lasslop, Sarah Chadburn, Eleanor Burke, Angela Gallego-Sala, Noah Smith, Jinfeng Chang, Stijn Hantson, Chantelle Burton, Anne Gädeke, Fang Li, Simon N. Gosling, Hannes Müller Schmied, Fred Hattermann, Thomas Hickler, Rafael Marcé, Don Pierson, Wim Thiery, Daniel Mercado-Bettín, Robert Ladwig, Ana Isabel Ayala-Zamora, Matthew Forrest, Michel Bechtold, Robert Reinecke, Inge de Graaf, Jed O. Kaplan, Alexander Koch, and Matthieu Lengaigne
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2103, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2103, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
This paper describes the experiments and data sets necessary to run historic and future impact projections, and the underlying assumptions of future climate change as defined by the 3rd round of the ISIMIP Project (Inter-sectoral Impactmodel Intercomparison Project, isimip.org). ISIMIP provides a framework for cross-sectorally consistent climate impact simulations to contribute to a comprehensive and consistent picture of the world under different climate-change scenarios.
Min Huang, Gregory R. Carmichael, Kevin W. Bowman, Isabelle De Smedt, Andreas Colliander, Michael H. Cosh, Sujay V. Kumar, Alex B. Guenther, Scott J. Janz, Ryan M. Stauffer, Anne M. Thompson, Niko M. Fedkin, Robert J. Swap, John D. Bolten, and Alicia T. Joseph
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 1449–1476, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-1449-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-1449-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We use model simulations along with multiplatform, multidisciplinary observations and a range of analysis methods to estimate and understand the distributions, temporal changes, and impacts of reactive nitrogen and ozone over the most populous US region that has undergone significant environmental changes. Deposition, biogenic emissions, and extra-regional sources have been playing increasingly important roles in controlling pollutant budgets in this area as local anthropogenic emissions drop.
Paolo Nasta, Günter Blöschl, Heye R. Bogena, Steffen Zacharias, Roland Baatz, Gabriëlle De Lannoy, Karsten H. Jensen, Salvatore Manfreda, Laurent Pfister, Ana M. Tarquis, Ilja van Meerveld, Marc Voltz, Yijian Zeng, William Kustas, Xin Li, Harry Vereecken, and Nunzio Romano
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 465–483, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-465-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-465-2025, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
The Unsolved Problems in Hydrology (UPH) initiative has emphasized the need to establish networks of multi-decadal hydrological observatories to tackle catchment-scale challenges on a global scale. This opinion paper provocatively discusses two endmembers of possible future hydrological observatory (HO) networks for a given hypothesized community budget: a comprehensive set of moderately instrumented observatories or, alternatively, a small number of highly instrumented supersites.
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabrielle J. M. De Lannoy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4974019, https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4974019, 2024
Preprint archived
Short summary
Short summary
This study estimates irrigation in the Po Valley using AquaCrop and Noah-MP models with sprinkler irrigation. Noah-MP shows higher annual rates than AquaCrop due to more water losses. After adjusting, both align with reported irrigation ranges (500–600 mm/yr). Soil moisture estimates from both models match satellite data, though both have limitations in vegetation and evapotranspiration modeling. The study emphasizes the need for observations to improve irrigation estimates.
Tobias Karl David Weber, Lutz Weihermüller, Attila Nemes, Michel Bechtold, Aurore Degré, Efstathios Diamantopoulos, Simone Fatichi, Vilim Filipović, Surya Gupta, Tobias L. Hohenbrink, Daniel R. Hirmas, Conrad Jackisch, Quirijn de Jong van Lier, John Koestel, Peter Lehmann, Toby R. Marthews, Budiman Minasny, Holger Pagel, Martine van der Ploeg, Shahab Aldin Shojaeezadeh, Simon Fiil Svane, Brigitta Szabó, Harry Vereecken, Anne Verhoef, Michael Young, Yijian Zeng, Yonggen Zhang, and Sara Bonetti
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3391–3433, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3391-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3391-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Pedotransfer functions (PTFs) are used to predict parameters of models describing the hydraulic properties of soils. The appropriateness of these predictions critically relies on the nature of the datasets for training the PTFs and the physical comprehensiveness of the models. This roadmap paper is addressed to PTF developers and users and critically reflects the utility and future of PTFs. To this end, we present a manifesto aiming at a paradigm shift in PTF research.
Isis Brangers, Hans-Peter Marshall, Gabrielle De Lannoy, Devon Dunmire, Christian Mätzler, and Hans Lievens
The Cryosphere, 18, 3177–3193, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3177-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3177-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
To better understand the interactions between C-band radar waves and snow, a tower-based experiment was set up in the Idaho Rocky Mountains. The reflections were collected in the time domain to measure the backscatter profile from the various snowpack and ground surface layers. The results demonstrate that C-band radar is sensitive to seasonal patterns in snow accumulation but that changes in microstructure, stratigraphy and snow wetness may complicate satellite-based snow depth retrievals.
Justin M. Pflug, Melissa L. Wrzesien, Sujay V. Kumar, Eunsang Cho, Kristi R. Arsenault, Paul R. Houser, and Carrie M. Vuyovich
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 631–648, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-631-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-631-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Estimates of 250 m of snow water equivalent in the western USA and Canada are improved by assimilating observations representative of a snow-focused satellite mission with a land surface model. Here, by including a gap-filling strategy, snow estimates could be improved in forested regions where remote sensing is challenging. This approach improved estimates of winter maximum snow water volume to within 4 %, on average, with persistent improvements to both spring snow and runoff in many regions.
Jonas Mortelmans, Anne Felsberg, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Sander Veraverbeke, Robert D. Field, Niels Andela, and Michel Bechtold
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 445–464, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-445-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-445-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
With global warming increasing the frequency and intensity of wildfires in the boreal region, accurate risk assessments are becoming more crucial than ever before. The Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI) is a renowned system, yet its effectiveness in peatlands, where hydrology plays a key role, is limited. By incorporating groundwater data from numerical models and satellite observations, our modified FWI improves the accuracy of fire danger predictions, especially over summer.
Katja Frieler, Jan Volkholz, Stefan Lange, Jacob Schewe, Matthias Mengel, María del Rocío Rivas López, Christian Otto, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Dirk Nikolaus Karger, Johanna T. Malle, Simon Treu, Christoph Menz, Julia L. Blanchard, Cheryl S. Harrison, Colleen M. Petrik, Tyler D. Eddy, Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, Camilla Novaglio, Yannick Rousseau, Reg A. Watson, Charles Stock, Xiao Liu, Ryan Heneghan, Derek Tittensor, Olivier Maury, Matthias Büchner, Thomas Vogt, Tingting Wang, Fubao Sun, Inga J. Sauer, Johannes Koch, Inne Vanderkelen, Jonas Jägermeyr, Christoph Müller, Sam Rabin, Jochen Klar, Iliusi D. Vega del Valle, Gitta Lasslop, Sarah Chadburn, Eleanor Burke, Angela Gallego-Sala, Noah Smith, Jinfeng Chang, Stijn Hantson, Chantelle Burton, Anne Gädeke, Fang Li, Simon N. Gosling, Hannes Müller Schmied, Fred Hattermann, Jida Wang, Fangfang Yao, Thomas Hickler, Rafael Marcé, Don Pierson, Wim Thiery, Daniel Mercado-Bettín, Robert Ladwig, Ana Isabel Ayala-Zamora, Matthew Forrest, and Michel Bechtold
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 1–51, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Our paper provides an overview of all observational climate-related and socioeconomic forcing data used as input for the impact model evaluation and impact attribution experiments within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project. The experiments are designed to test our understanding of observed changes in natural and human systems and to quantify to what degree these changes have already been induced by climate change.
Anne Felsberg, Zdenko Heyvaert, Jean Poesen, Thomas Stanley, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3805–3821, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3805-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3805-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
The Probabilistic Hydrological Estimation of LandSlides (PHELS) model combines ensembles of landslide susceptibility and of hydrological predictor variables to provide daily, global ensembles of hazard for hydrologically triggered landslides. Testing different hydrological predictors showed that the combination of rainfall and soil moisture performed best, with the lowest number of missed and false alarms. The ensemble approach allowed the estimation of the associated prediction uncertainty.
Samuel Scherrer, Gabriëlle De Lannoy, Zdenko Heyvaert, Michel Bechtold, Clement Albergel, Tarek S. El-Madany, and Wouter Dorigo
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 4087–4114, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4087-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4087-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We explored different options for data assimilation (DA) of the remotely sensed leaf area index (LAI). We found strong biases between LAI predicted by Noah-MP and observations. LAI DA that does not take these biases into account can induce unphysical patterns in the resulting LAI and flux estimates and leads to large changes in the climatology of root zone soil moisture. We tested two bias-correction approaches and explored alternative solutions to treating bias in LAI DA.
Eunsang Cho, Yonghwan Kwon, Sujay V. Kumar, and Carrie M. Vuyovich
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 4039–4056, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4039-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4039-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
An airborne gamma-ray remote-sensing technique provides reliable snow water equivalent (SWE) in a forested area where remote-sensing techniques (e.g., passive microwave) typically have large uncertainties. Here, we explore the utility of assimilating the gamma snow data into a land surface model to improve the modeled SWE estimates in the northeastern US. Results provide new insights into utilizing the gamma SWE data for enhanced land surface model simulations in forested environments.
Eunsang Cho, Carrie M. Vuyovich, Sujay V. Kumar, Melissa L. Wrzesien, and Rhae Sung Kim
The Cryosphere, 17, 3915–3931, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3915-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3915-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
As a future snow mission concept, active microwave sensors have the potential to measure snow water equivalent (SWE) in deep snowpack and forested environments. We used a modeling and data assimilation approach (a so-called observing system simulation experiment) to quantify the usefulness of active microwave-based SWE retrievals over western Colorado. We found that active microwave sensors with a mature retrieval algorithm can improve SWE simulations by about 20 % in the mountainous domain.
Eunsang Cho, Carrie M. Vuyovich, Sujay V. Kumar, Melissa L. Wrzesien, Rhae Sung Kim, and Jennifer M. Jacobs
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5721–5735, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5721-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5721-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
While land surface models are a common approach for estimating macroscale snow water equivalent (SWE), the SWE accuracy is often limited by uncertainties in model physics and forcing inputs. In this study, we found large underestimations of modeled SWE compared to observations. Precipitation forcings and melting physics limitations dominantly contribute to the SWE underestimations. Results provide insights into prioritizing strategies to improve the SWE simulations for hydrologic applications.
Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Michel Bechtold, Hans Lievens, Angelica Tarpanelli, Luca Brocca, Luca Zappa, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 4685–4706, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4685-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4685-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Given the crucial impact of irrigation practices on the water cycle, this study aims at estimating irrigation through the development of an innovative data assimilation system able to ingest high-resolution Sentinel-1 radar observations into the Noah-MP land surface model. The developed methodology has important implications for global water resource management and the comprehension of human impacts on the water cycle and identifies main challenges and outlooks for future research.
Anne Felsberg, Jean Poesen, Michel Bechtold, Matthias Vanmaercke, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3063–3082, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3063-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3063-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
In this study we assessed global landslide susceptibility at the coarse 36 km spatial resolution of global satellite soil moisture observations to prepare for a subsequent combination of the two. Specifically, we focus therefore on the susceptibility of hydrologically triggered landslides. We introduce ensemble techniques, common in, for example, meteorology but not yet in the landslide community, to retrieve reliable estimates of the total prediction uncertainty.
Louise Busschaert, Shannon de Roos, Wim Thiery, Dirk Raes, and Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3731–3752, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3731-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3731-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Increasing amounts of water are used for agriculture. Therefore, we looked into how irrigation requirements will evolve under a changing climate over Europe. Our results show that, by the end of the century and under high emissions, irrigation water will increase by 30 % on average compared to the year 2000. Also, the irrigation requirement is likely to vary more from 1 year to another. However, if emissions are mitigated, these effects are reduced.
Amy McNally, Jossy Jacob, Kristi Arsenault, Kimberly Slinski, Daniel P. Sarmiento, Andrew Hoell, Shahriar Pervez, James Rowland, Mike Budde, Sujay Kumar, Christa Peters-Lidard, and James P. Verdin
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 3115–3135, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-3115-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-3115-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) Land Data Assimilation System (FLDAS) global and Central Asia data streams described here generate routine estimates of snow, soil moisture, runoff, and other variables useful for tracking water availability. These data are hosted by NASA and USGS data portals for public use.
Min Huang, James H. Crawford, Gregory R. Carmichael, Kevin W. Bowman, Sujay V. Kumar, and Colm Sweeney
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 22, 7461–7487, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-7461-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-7461-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This study demonstrates that ozone dry-deposition modeling can be improved by revising the model's dry-deposition parameterizations to better represent the effects of environmental conditions including the soil moisture fields. Applying satellite soil moisture data assimilation is shown to also have added value. Such advancements in coupled modeling and data assimilation can benefit the assessments of ozone impacts on human and vegetation health.
Wanshu Nie, Sujay V. Kumar, Kristi R. Arsenault, Christa D. Peters-Lidard, Iliana E. Mladenova, Karim Bergaoui, Abheera Hazra, Benjamin F. Zaitchik, Sarith P. Mahanama, Rachael McDonnell, David M. Mocko, and Mahdi Navari
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2365–2386, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2365-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2365-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The MENA (Middle East and North Africa) region faces significant food and water insecurity and hydrological hazards. Here we investigate the value of assimilating remote sensing data sets into an Earth system model to help build an effective drought monitoring system and support risk mitigation and management by countries in the region. We highlight incorporating satellite-informed vegetation conditions into the model as being one of the key processes for a successful application for the region.
Jawairia A. Ahmad, Barton A. Forman, and Sujay V. Kumar
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2221–2243, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2221-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2221-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Assimilation of remotely sensed data into a land surface model to improve the spatiotemporal estimation of soil moisture across South Asia exhibits potential. Satellite retrieval assimilation corrects biases that are generated due to an unmodeled hydrologic phenomenon, i.e., irrigation. The improvements in fine-scale, modeled soil moisture estimates by assimilating coarse-scale retrievals indicates the utility of the described methodology for data-scarce regions.
Hans Lievens, Isis Brangers, Hans-Peter Marshall, Tobias Jonas, Marc Olefs, and Gabriëlle De Lannoy
The Cryosphere, 16, 159–177, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-159-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-159-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Snow depth observations at high spatial resolution from the Sentinel-1 satellite mission are presented over the European Alps. The novel observations can improve our knowledge of seasonal snow mass in areas with complex topography, where satellite-based estimates are currently lacking, and benefit a number of applications including water resource management, flood forecasting, and numerical weather prediction.
Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Alexander Gruber, Hans Lievens, Angelica Tarpanelli, Renato Morbidelli, and Gabrielle J. M. De Lannoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 6283–6307, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6283-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6283-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Worldwide, the amount of water used for agricultural purposes is rising and the quantification of irrigation is becoming a crucial topic. Land surface models are not able to correctly simulate irrigation. Remote sensing observations offer an opportunity to fill this gap as they are directly affected by irrigation. We equipped a land surface model with an observation operator able to transform Sentinel-1 backscatter observations into realistic vegetation and soil states via data assimilation.
Shannon de Roos, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, and Dirk Raes
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 7309–7328, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7309-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7309-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
A spatially distributed version of the field-scale crop model AquaCrop v6.1 was developed for applications at various spatial scales. Multi-year 1 km simulations over central Europe were evaluated against biomass and surface soil moisture products derived from optical and microwave satellite missions, as well as in situ observations of soil moisture. The regional version of the AquaCrop model provides a suitable setup for subsequent satellite-based data assimilation.
Min Huang, James H. Crawford, Joshua P. DiGangi, Gregory R. Carmichael, Kevin W. Bowman, Sujay V. Kumar, and Xiwu Zhan
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 21, 11013–11040, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-11013-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-11013-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This study evaluates the impact of satellite soil moisture data assimilation on modeled weather and ozone fields at various altitudes above the southeastern US during the summer. It emphasizes the importance of soil moisture in the understanding of surface ozone pollution and upper tropospheric chemistry, as well as air pollutants’ source–receptor relationships between the US and its downwind areas.
Michiel Maertens, Gabriëlle J. M. De Lannoy, Sebastian Apers, Sujay V. Kumar, and Sarith P. P. Mahanama
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4099–4125, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-4099-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-4099-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, we simulated the water balance over the South American Dry Chaco and assessed the impact of land cover changes thereon using three different land surface models. Our simulations indicated that different models result in a different partitioning of the total water budget, but all showed an increase in soil moisture and percolation over the deforested areas. We also found that, relative to independent data, no specific land surface model is significantly better than another.
Cited articles
Abi Saab, M. T., El Alam, R., Jomaa, I., Skaf, S., Fahed, S., Albrizio, R., and Todorovic, M.: Coupling Remote Sensing Data and AquaCrop Model for Simulation of Winter Wheat Growth under Rainfed and Irrigated Conditions in a Mediterranean Environment, Agronomy, 11, https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy11112265, 2021. a
Akbari Variani, H., Afshar, A., Vahabzadeh, M., Molajou, A., and Akbari Varyani, M. M.: Development of a novel framework for agriculture simulation model for food-energy-water nexus analysis in watershed-scale, J. Clean. Product., 429, 139492, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139492, 2023. a
Albergel, C., Zheng, Y., Bonan, B., Dutra, E., Rodríguez-Fernández, N., Munier, S., Draper, C., de Rosnay, P., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Balsamo, G., Fairbairn, D., Meurey, C., and Calvet, J.-C.: Data assimilation for continuous global assessment of severe conditions over terrestrial surfaces, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4291–4316, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4291-2020, 2020. a
Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: Crop evapotranspiration: Guidelines for computing crop water requirements (FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56), Tech. rep., FAO, Italy, https://www.fao.org/4/x0490e/x0490e0e.htm#soil%20water%20availability (last access: 21 March 2026), 1998. a
Bechtold, M., Busschaert, L., Lanfranco, N., de Roos, S., and De Lannoy, G.: LIS source code and input for showcase simulations with AquaCrop v7.2 (De Lannoy et al., 2026, GMD), Zenodo [code and data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18458265, 2026. a
Bregaglio, S., Ginaldi, F., Raparelli, E., Fila, G., and Bajocco, S.: Improving crop yield prediction accuracy by embedding phenological heterogeneity into model parameter sets, Agr. Syst., 209, 103666, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2023.103666, 2023. a
Busschaert, L., de Roos, S., Thiery, W., Raes, D., and De Lannoy, G. J. M.: Net irrigation requirement under different climate scenarios using AquaCrop over Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3731–3752, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3731-2022, 2022. a, b, c
Busschaert, L., Bechtold, M., Modanesi, S., Massari, C., Brocca, L., and De Lannoy, G. J. M.: Irrigation Quantification Through Backscatter Data Assimilation With a Buddy Check Approach, J. Adv. Model. Earth Sy., 16, e2023MS003661, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003661, 2024. a, b
Busschaert, L., Bechtold, M., De Lannoy, G., de Roos, S., Heyvaert, Z., Mortelmans, J., Scherrer, S., Van den Bossche, M., Fereres, E., Heng, L., Steduto, P., and Raes, D.: AquaCrop v7.2, Zenodo [code], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17140665, 2025a. a
Busschaert, L., Bechtold, M., Modanesi, S., Massari, C., Raes, D., Kumar, S. V., and De Lannoy, G. J. M.: On the gap between crop and land surface models: comparing irrigation and other land surface estimates from AquaCrop and Noah-MP over the Po Valley, EGUsphere [preprint], https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2550, 2025b. a, b, c, d
Busschaert, L., Deketelaere, V., Thiery, W., Raes, D., and De Lannoy, G.: Future Projections of European Maize Yields Using Aquacrop with an Adaptive Growing Season, Eur. J. Agron., 173, 127920, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2025.127920, 2026. a, b, c
Challinor, A., Slingo, J., Wheeler, T., and and, F. D.-R.: Probabilistic simulations of crop yield over western India using the DEMETER seasonal hindcast ensembles, Tellus A, 57, 498–512, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v57i3.14670, 2005. a
CLSM HRL Crops: CLMS High Resolution Layer Croplands, https://land.copernicus.eu/en/products/high-resolution-layer-croplands?tab=overview (last access: 21 March 2026), 2025. a
Corbari, C., Paciolla, N., Sheffield, J., Labbassi, K., Dos Santos Araujo, D. C., Berendsen, S., and Szantoi, Z.: Estimates of Irrigation Water Volume by Assimilation of Satellite Land Surface Temperature or Soil Moisture Into a Water-Energy Balance Model in Morocco, Water Resour. Res., 61, e2024WR038926, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR038926, 2025. a
Crow, W. T., Kim, H., and Kumar, S.: Systematic Modeling Errors Undermine the Application of Land Data Assimilation Systems for Hydrological and Weather Forecasting, J. Hydrometeorol., 25, 3–26, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-23-0069.1, 2024. a
Dalla Marta, A., Chirico, G. B., Falanga Bolognesi, S., Mancini, M., D’Urso, G., Orlandini, S., De Michele, C., and Altobelli, F.: Integrating Sentinel-2 Imagery with AquaCrop for Dynamic Assessment of Tomato Water Requirements in Southern Italy, Agronomy, 9, https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy9070404, 2019. a
De Lannoy, G. J. M., Koster, R. D., Reichle, R. H., Mahanama, S. P. P., and Liu, Q.: An updated treatment of soil texture and associated hydraulic properties in a global land modeling system, J. Adv. Model. Earth Sy., 6, 957–979, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014MS000330, 2014. a
De Lannoy, G. J. M., Bechtold, M., Albergel, C., Brocca, L., Calvet, J.-C., Carrassi, A., Crow, W., de Rosnay, P., Durand, M., Forman, B., Geppert, G., Girotto, M.,Hendicks Franssen, H.-J., Jonas, T., Kumar, S., Lievens, H., Lu, Y., Massari, C., Pauwels, V., Reichle, R., and Steele-Dunne, S.: Perspective on satellite-based land data assimilation to estimate water cycle components in an era of advanced data availability and model sophistication, Front. Water, 4, 981745, https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2022.981745, 2022. a
De Lannoy, G. J. M., Bechtold, M., Busschaert, L., Heyvaert, Z., Modanesi, S., Dunmire, D., Lievens, H., Getirana, A., and Massari, C.: Contributions of irrigation modeling, soil moisture and snow data assimilation to the skill of high-resolution digital replicas of the Po basin water budget, ESS Open Archive [preprint], https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.171535793.33881670/v1, 2024. a
Dente, L., Satalino, G., Mattia, F., and Rinaldi, M.: Assimilation of leaf area index derived from ASAR and MERIS data into CERES-Wheat model to map wheat yield, Remote Sens. Environ., 112, 1395–1407, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2007.05.023, 2008. a
de Wit, A. and van Diepen, C.: Crop model data assimilation with the Ensemble Kalman filter for improving regional crop yield forecasts, Agr. Forest Meteorol., 146, 38–56, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.05.004, 2007. a, b
Evensen, G., Vossepoel, F., and Leeuwen, P.-J. V.: Data Assimilation Fundamentals: a Unified Formulation of the State and Parameter Estimation Problem, Springer, ISBN 978-3-030-96709-3, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-96709-3, 2022. a
FAO/IIASA/ISRIC/ISSCAS/JRC: Harmonized World Soil Database (version 1.2), https://www.fao.org/soils-portal/data-hub/soil-maps-and-databases/harmonized-world-soil-database-v12/en/ (last access: 21 March 2026), 2012. a
Franch, B., Cintas, J., Becker-Reshef, I., Sanchez-Torres, M. J., Roger, J., Skakun, S., Sobrino, J. A., Van Tricht, K., Degerickx, J., Gilliams, S., et al.: Global crop calendars of maize and wheat in the framework of the WorldCereal project, GIScience Remote Sens., 59, 885–913, 2022. a
Gaso, D. V., Paudel, D., de Wit, A., Puntel, L. A., Mullissa, A., and Kooistra, L.: Beyond assimilation of leaf area index: Leveraging additional spectral information using machine learning for site-specific soybean yield prediction, Agr. Forest Meteorol., 351, 110022, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110022, 2024. a
Geoportale Piemonte: Uso del suolo agricolo su mosaicatura catastale di riferimento regionale 2021, https://www.geoportale.piemonte.it/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/r_piemon:5f3b4327-41e2-4fa3-b7de-ccc66f9cf3ce (last access: 21 March 2026), 2025a. a
Geoportale Piemonte: Uso del suolo agricolo su mosaicatura catastale di riferimento regionale 2022, https://www.geoportale.piemonte.it/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/r_piemon:3d164c06-6539-4298-ad56-f8c4161b659a (last access: 21 March 2026), 2025b. a
Geoportale Piemonte: Uso del suolo agricolo su mosaicatura catastale di riferimento regionale 2023, https://www.geoportale.piemonte.it/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/r_piemon:7573bb81-0c2c-46d9-b3f6-609d4e64e34e (last access: 21 March 2026), 2025c. a
Geoportale Piemonte: Carta dei suoli 1:50.000, https://www.geoportale.piemonte.it/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/r_piemon:37c6413b-b07f-4f4c-9344-f2e43ea52bbd (last access: 21 March 2026), 2025d. a
Gobin, A., Sallah, A.-H. M., Curnel, Y., Delvoye, C., Weiss, M., Wellens, J., Piccard, I., Planchon, V., Tychon, B., Goffart, J.-P., and Defourny, P.: Crop Phenology Modelling Using Proximal and Satellite Sensor Data, Remote Sens., 15, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15082090, 2023. a
GYGA: Global Yield Gap and Water Productivity Atlas, https://www.yieldgap.org (last access: 21 March 2026), 2021. a
Hansen, M., Fries, R. J. D., Townshend, J. R. G., and Sohlberg, R.: UMD global land cover classification derived from AVHRR, 1 km, 1.0, https://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.UMD/.GLCF/.GLCDS/ (last access: 21 March 2026), 1998. a
Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Hirahara, S., Horányi, A., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Schepers, D., Simmons, A., Soci, C., Abdalla, S., Abellan, X., Balsamo, G., Bechtold, P., Biavati, G., Bidlot, J., Bonavita, M., De Chiara, G., Dahlgren, P., Dee, D., Diamantakis, M., Dragani, R., Flemming, J., Forbes, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A., Haimberger, L., Healy, S., Hogan, R. J., Hólm, E., Janisková, M., Keeley, S., Laloyaux, P., Lopez, P., Lupu, C., Radnoti, G., de Rosnay, P., Rozum, I., Vamborg, F., Villaume, S., and Thépaut, J.-N.: The ERA5 global reanalysis, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 146, 1999–2049, 2020. a
Heyvaert, Z., Scherrer, S., Bechtold, M., Gruber, A., Dorigo, W., Kumar, S., and Lannoy, G. D.: Impact of Design Factors for ESA CCI Satellite Soil Moisture Data Assimilation over Europe, J. Hydrometeorol., 24, 1193–1208, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0141.1, 2023. a, b
Heyvaert, Z., Scherrer, S., Dorigo, W., Bechtold, M., and De Lannoy, G.: Joint assimilation of satellite-based surface soil moisture and vegetation conditions into the Noah-MP land surface model, Sci. Remote Sens., 9, 100129, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.srs.2024.100129, 2024. a
Heyvaert, Z., Bechtold, M., Dorigo, W., Mortelmans, J., Hagan, D., Santanello, J., and De Lannoy, G.: Land data assimilation of satellite-based surface soil moisture: Impact on atmospheric simulations over the contiguous United States, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., e70052, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70052, 2025. a
Hmimina, G., Dufrêne, E., Pontailler, J.-Y., Delpierre, N., Aubinet, M., Caquet, B., de Grandcourt, A., Burban, B., Flechard, C., Granier, A., Gross, P., Heinesch, B., Longdoz, B., Moureaux, C., Ourcival, J.-M., Rambal, S., Saint André, L., and Soudani, K.: Evaluation of the potential of MODIS satellite data to predict vegetation phenology in different biomes: An investigation using ground-based NDVI measurements, Remote Sens. Environ., 132, 145–158, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2013.01.010, 2013. a
Huang, H., Huang, J., Wu, Y., Zhuo, W., Song, J., Li, X., Li, L., Su, W., Ma, H., and Liang, S.: The Improved Winter Wheat Yield Estimation by Assimilating GLASS LAI Into a Crop Growth Model With the Proposed Bayesian Posterior-Based Ensemble Kalman Filter, IEEE T. Geosci. Remote Sens., 61, 1–18, https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2023.3259742, 2023. a
Ines, A. V., Das, N. N., Hansen, J. W., and Njoku, E. G.: Assimilation of remotely sensed soil moisture and vegetation with a crop simulation model for maize yield prediction, Remote Sens. Environ., 138, 149–164, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2013.07.018, 2013. a, b
Jin, X., Kumar, L., Li, Z., Feng, H., Xu, X., Yang, G., and Wang, J.: A review of data assimilation of remote sensing and crop models, Eur. J. Agron., 92, 141–152, 2018. a
Jin, X., Li, Z., Feng, H., Ren, Z., and Li, S.: Estimation of maize yield by assimilating biomass and canopy cover derived from hyperspectral data into the AquaCrop model, Agr. Water Manage., 227, 105846, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2019.105846, 2020. a
Kelly, T. and Foster, T.: AquaCrop-OSPy: Bridging the gap between research and practice in crop-water modeling, Agr. Water Manage., 254, 106976, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106976, 2021. a
Kumar, S. V., Peters-Lidard, C. D., Tian, Y., Houser, P. R., Geiger, J., Olden, S., Lighty, L., Eastman, J. L., Doty, B., Dirmeyer, P., Adams, J., Mitchell, K., Wood, E. F., and Sheffield, J.: Land information system: An interoperable framework for high resolution land surface modeling, Environ. Modell. Softw., 21, 1402–1415, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2005.07.004, 2006. a, b
Kumar, S. V., Reichle, R. H., Peters-Lidard, C. D., Koster, R. D., Zhan, X., Crow, W. T., Eylander, J. B., and Houser, P. R.: A land surface data assimilation framework using the land information system: Description and applications, Adv. Water Resour., 31, 1419–1432, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.01.013, 2008. a, b, c, d
Kumar, S. V., Jasinski, M., Mocko, D. M., Rodell, M., Borak, J., Li, B., Beaudoing, H. K., and Peters-Lidard, C. D.: NCA-LDAS Land Analysis: Development and Performance of a Multisensor, Multivariate Land Data Assimilation System for the National Climate Assessment, J. Hydrometeorol., 20, 1571–1593, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0125.1, 2019. a
Linker, R. and Ioslovich, I.: Assimilation of canopy cover and biomass measurements in the crop model AquaCrop, Biosyst. Eng., 162, 57–66, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2017.08.003, 2017. a
Lu, Y., Chibarabada, T. P., McCabe, M. F., De Lannoy, G. J., and Sheffield, J.: Global sensitivity analysis of crop yield and transpiration from the FAO-AquaCrop model for dryland environments, Field Crop. Res., 269, 108182, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2021.108182, 2021a. a, b
Lu, Y., Chibarabada, T. P., Ziliani, M. G., Onema, J.-M. K., McCabe, M. F., and Sheffield, J.: Assimilation of soil moisture and canopy cover data improves maize simulation using an under-calibrated crop model, Agr. Water Manage., 252, 106884, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106884, 2021b. a, b, c
Lu, Y., Wei, C., McCabe, M. F., and Sheffield, J.: Multi-variable assimilation into a modified AquaCrop model for improved maize simulation without management or crop phenology information, Agr. Water Manage., 266, 107576, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2022.107576, 2022. a, b, c, d
Massari, C., Modanesi, S., Dari, J., Gruber, A., De Lannoy, G. J. M., Girotto, M., Quintana-Seguí, P., Le Page, M., Jarlan, L., Zribi, M., Ouaadi, N., Vreugdenhil, M., Zappa, L., Dorigo, W., Wagner, W., Brombacher, J., Pelgrum, H., Jaquot, P., Freeman, V., Volden, E., Fernandez Prieto, D., Tarpanelli, A., Barbetta, S., and Brocca, L.: A Review of Irrigation Information Retrievals from Space and Their Utility for Users, Remote Sens., 13, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13204112, 2021. a
Mialyk, O., Schyns, J., Booij, M., Su, H., Hogeboom, R., and Berger, M.: Water footprints and crop water use of 175 individual crops for 1990–2019 simulated with a global crop model, Sci. Data, 11, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-03051-3, 2024. a
Müller, C., Franke, J., Jägermeyr, J., Ruane, A. C., Elliott, J., Moyer, E., Heinke, J., Falloon, P. D., Folberth, C., and Francois, L.: Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios, Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 034040, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc, 2021. a
Nearing, G. S., Crow, W. T., Thorp, K. R., Moran, M. S., Reichle, R. H., and Gupta, H. V.: Assimilating remote sensing observations of leaf area index and soil moisture for wheat yield estimates: An observing system simulation experiment, Water Resour. Res., 48, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011420, 2012. a
Paudel, D., Boogaard, H., de Wit, A., van der Velde, M., Claverie, M., Nisini, L., Janssen, S., Osinga, S., and Athanasiadis, I. N.: Machine learning for regional crop yield forecasting in Europe, Field Crop. Res., 276, 108377, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2021.108377, 2022. a
Pauwels, V. R. N., Verhoest, N. E. C., De Lannoy, G. J. M., Guissard, V., Lucau, C., and Defourny, P.: Optimization of a coupled hydrology–crop growth model through the assimilation of observed soil moisture and leaf area index values using an ensemble Kalman filter, Water Resour. Res., 43, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006WR004942, 2007. a, b
Raes, D., Steduto, P., Hsiao, T. C., and Fereres, E.: AquaCrop—The FAO Crop Model to Simulate Yield Response to Water: II. Main Algorithms and Software Description, Agron. J., 101, 438–447, https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2008.0140s, 2009. a, b
Raes, D., Fereres, E., De Lannoy, G., Vanuytrecht, E., Garcia Vila, M., and Steduto, P.: The AquaCrop model, in: Current crop models. Burleigh Dodds Series in Agricultural Science, edited by: Hoogenboom, G., Vol. 170, Burleigh Dodds Science Publishing, Cambridge, UK, https://doi.org/10.19103/AS.2025.0155.20, 2025. a
Raes, D., Steduto, P., Hsiao, T., Fereres, E., Busschaert, L., Bechtold, M., de Roos, S., Heyvaert, Z., Mortelmans, J., Scherrer, S., Van den Bossche, M., and De Lannoy, G.: Aquacrop version 7.2 – Reference Manual, Chapter 3 Calculation Procedures in: AquaCrop v7.2 Reference Manual, Zenodo, https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18458272, 2026. a, b, c
Reichle, R., Liu, Q., Koster, R. D., Crow, W. T., De Lannoy, G. J. M., Kimball, J. S., Ardizzone, J. V., Bosch, D., Colliander, A., Cosh, M., Kolassa, J., Mahanama, S. P., McNairn, H., Prueger, J., Starks, P., and Walker, J. P.: Version 4 of the SMAP Level-4 Soil Moisture Algorithm and Data Product, J. Adv. Model. Earth Sy., 11, 3106–3130, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001729, 2019. a
RICA: Italian survey data of winter wheat yield in Piemonte, https://rica.crea.gov.it/modulo_richiesta_dati.php (last access: 21 March 2026), 2025. a
Ruy, D., Crow, W., Zhan, X., and Jackon, T.: Correcting unintended perturbation biases in hydrologic data assimilation, J. Hydrometeorol., 10, 734–750, 2008. a
Scherrer, S., De Lannoy, G., Heyvaert, Z., Bechtold, M., Albergel, C., El-Madany, T. S., and Dorigo, W.: Bias-blind and bias-aware assimilation of leaf area index into the Noah-MP land surface model over Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 4087–4114, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4087-2023, 2023. a
Steduto, P., Hsiao, T. C., Raes, D., and Fereres, E.: AquaCrop – The FAO Crop Model to Simulate Yield Response to Water: I. Concepts and Underlying Principles, Agron. J., 101, 426–437, https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2008.0139s, 2009. a, b
Thoning, K., Crotwell, A., and Mund, J.: Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Dry Air Mole Fractions from continuous measurements at Mauna Loa, Hawaii, Barrow, Alaska, American Samoa and South Pole, 1973–present, https://doi.org/10.15138/yaf1-bk21, 2025. a
van Klompenburg, T., Kassahun, A., and Catal, C.: Crop yield prediction using machine learning: A systematic literature review, Comput. Electron. Agr., 177, 105709, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2020.105709, 2020. a
Vanuytrecht, E., Raes, D., and Willems, P.: Global sensitivity analysis of yield output from the water productivity model, Environ. Modell. Softw., 51, 323–332, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.10.017, 2014. a, b
Vazifedoust, M., van Dam, J. C., Bastiaanssen, W. G. M., and and, R. A. F.: Assimilation of satellite data into agrohydrological models to improve crop yield forecasts, Int. J. Remote Sens., 30, 2523–2545, https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160802552769, 2009. a
Wellens, J., Raes, D., Fereres, E., Diels, J., Coppye, C., Adiele, J. G., Ezui, K. S. G., Becerra, L.-A., Selvaraj, M. G., Dercon, G., and Heng, L. K.: Calibration and validation of the FAO AquaCrop water productivity model for cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz), Agr. Water Manage., 263, 107491, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2022.107491, 2022. a
Yang, C. and Lei, H.: Evaluation of data assimilation strategies on improving the performance of crop modeling based on a novel evapotranspiration assimilation framework, Agr. Forest Meteorol., 346, 109882, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109882, 2024. a
Zaks, D. P., Ramankutty, N., Barford, C. C., and Foley, J. A.: From Miami to Madison: Investigating the relationship between climate and terrestrial net primary production, Global Biogeochem. Cy., 21, GB3004, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GB002705, 2007. a
Zare, H., Weber, T. K., Ingwersen, J., Nowak, W., Gayler, S., and Streck, T.: Within-season crop yield prediction by a multi-model ensemble with integrated data assimilation, Field Crop. Res., 308, 109293, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2024.109293, 2024. a, b, c
Zhang, X., Henebry, M., Schaaf, G., and Miura, T.: VIIRS Global Land Surface Phenology Product User Guide: collection 2.0s, Tech. rep., NASA Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite, USA, https://viirsland.gsfc.nasa.gov/PDF/VIIRS_GLSP_UserGuide_C2.pdf (last access: 21 March 2026), 2022. a
Short summary
The AquaCrop model has been incorporated into the NASA Land Information System, to advance regional crop growth simulations at any spatial resolution, with a range of different input sources for meteorology, soil and crop parameters. This system also facilitates the assimilation of satellite data to update the crop and water conditions during model simulations. We present three exploratory applications to highlight pathways for future research on regional-scale crop estimation.
The AquaCrop model has been incorporated into the NASA Land Information System, to advance...