Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 18, issue 19
Articles | Volume 18, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6963-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-6963-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 18, issue 19
Model description paper
 | 
10 Oct 2025
Model description paper |  | 10 Oct 2025

Aging and stress explain the earlier start of leaf senescence in trees in warmer years: translating the latest findings on senescence regulation into the DP3 model (v1.1)

Michael Meier, Christof Bigler, and Isabelle Chuine

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Short summary
The DP3 model of leaf coloring, formulated according to the leaf development process, considerably contrasts previous models and allows to set up new hypotheses, e.g., regarding earlier onset and longer duration of senescence predicted for warmer conditions. Comparing the accuracy of the DP3 model to that of previous models and the Null model (average observed date of leaf coloring) suggests that leaf coloring data are noisy, which is why observation protocols and methods should be revised.
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