Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 17, issue 19
Articles | Volume 17, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7263-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7263-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 17, issue 19
Development and technical paper
 | 
10 Oct 2024
Development and technical paper |  | 10 Oct 2024

Improved definition of prior uncertainties in CO2 and CO fossil fuel fluxes and its impact on multi-species inversion with GEOS-Chem (v12.5)

Ingrid Super, Tia Scarpelli, Arjan Droste, and Paul I. Palmer

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Latest update: 21 Feb 2025
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Short summary
Monitoring greenhouse gas emission reductions requires a combination of models and observations, as well as an initial emission estimate. Each component provides information with a certain level of certainty and is weighted to yield the most reliable estimate of actual emissions. We describe efforts for estimating the uncertainty in the initial emission estimate, which significantly impacts the outcome. Hence, a good uncertainty estimate is key for obtaining reliable information on emissions.
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