Articles | Volume 17, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-5023-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
WRF-Comfort: simulating microscale variability in outdoor heat stress at the city scale with a mesoscale model
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- Final revised paper (published on 27 Jun 2024)
- Preprint (discussion started on 19 Sep 2023)
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Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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- RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1069', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Nov 2023
- RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1069', Anonymous Referee #2, 14 Dec 2023
- AC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1069', Alberto Martilli, 10 Jan 2024
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AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Alberto Martilli on behalf of the Authors (10 Jan 2024)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (13 Jan 2024) by Jinkyu Hong
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (24 Jan 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (01 Feb 2024)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (24 Feb 2024) by Jinkyu Hong
AR by Alberto Martilli on behalf of the Authors (22 Mar 2024)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 Apr 2024) by Jinkyu Hong
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (01 May 2024)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (04 May 2024) by Jinkyu Hong
AR by Alberto Martilli on behalf of the Authors (12 May 2024)
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General comments
Quantifying outdoor heat stress of urban inhabitants requires consideration of air temperature and humidity, mean radiant temperature (MRT) and wind speed. As noted in the abstract, temperature and relative humidity vary on scales of hundreds of meters but wind speed and MRT vary at the meter scale. As a result, current simulation workflows require use of a mesoscale simulation to provide boundary conditions for time-consuming microscale computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations that, in the absence of supercomputer resources, apply only to a specific neighborhood for a short period of time. The authors argue for an alternative approach that relies on an estimation of MRT at several locations in streets of varying orientation, microscale CFD simulations to determine mean wind speed and its variation across a range of urban morphologies, and mesoscale simulation of temperature and relative humidity to estimate thermal-stress indicators and their variation at the sub-grid level of the mesoscale simulation.
While the method is more efficient than applying microscale simulations at large temporal and spatial scales, it is more complex than simple estimates of air temperature and humidity, which existing mesoscale simulations can efficiently provide over long time scales, and more demanding than analysis of remotely estimated surface temperatures. Here the authors argue that heat stress depends on more than air temperature and humidity and that surface temperatures estimated from satellite measurements do not correlate with heat maps generated with multiple input variables.
The proposed approach has merit in meeting the needs of urban planners and designers to assess heat stress at fine spatial scale and expansive time scales on the order of years. As developed by the authors, the workflow has the rigor necessary to produce useful results.
The backbone of the workflow is the BEP-BEM multilayer urban canopy parameterization, developed by one of the authors, that includes a building energy model and is incorporated into the widely used mesoscale Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The authors parameterize MRT at locations within the geometry and orientation allowed in BEP-BEM. The
parameterization of wind speed is based on a large number of CFD simulations (both Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes and Large Eddy Simulations) that span realistic and idealized urban configurations, with wind speed parameterized by the building roof area or, more satisfactorily, vertical wall area, each normalized by the total horizontal area in a grid cell.
From an assumed variation of 1 oC in air temperature and computed variations in wind speed and MRT, the authors calculated 54 combinations from which they calculated two measures of heat stress and documented the 10th, 50th and 90th percentile values.
The paper effectively communicates the application of the method for a typical heatwave day in Madrid, Spain, with diurnal plots of MRT, air temperature and UTCI and Heat Index for high- and low-density neighborhoods and bar charts of thermal stress categories as estimated by UTCI and Heat Index. The conclusion is a crisp summary of the method and results, establishing the contributions of the research. In all, the paper is coherent and effectively claims a significant addition to the modeling of urban outdoor stress.
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