Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 15, issue 12
Articles | Volume 15, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4941-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4941-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 15, issue 12
Model evaluation paper
 | 
28 Jun 2022
Model evaluation paper |  | 28 Jun 2022

Assessment of stochastic weather forecast of precipitation near European cities, based on analogs of circulation

Meriem Krouma, Pascal Yiou, Céline Déandreis, and Soulivanh Thao

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Latest update: 29 Oct 2025
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Short summary
We evaluated the skill of a stochastic weather generator (SWG) to forecast precipitation at different time scales and in different areas of western Europe from analogs of Z500 hPa. The SWG has the skill to simulate precipitation for 5 and 10 d. We found that forecast weaknesses can be associated with specific weather patterns. The comparison with ECMWF forecasts confirms the skill of our model. This work is important because it provides information about weather forecasts over specific areas.
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