Articles | Volume 14, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3121-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3121-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Reproducing complex simulations of economic impacts of climate change with lower-cost emulators
Jun'ya Takakura
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Social Systems Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, 305-8506, Japan
Shinichiro Fujimori
Department Environmental Engineering, Kyoto University, Kyoto, 615-8540, Japan
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Social Systems Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, 305-8506, Japan
Naota Hanasaki
Center for Climate Change Adaptation, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, 305-8506, Japan
Tomoko Hasegawa
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ritsumeikan University, Kusatsu, 525-8577, Japan
Yukiko Hirabayashi
Department of Civil Engineering, Shibaura Institute of Technology, Tokyo, 135-8548, Japan
Yasushi Honda
Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, 305-8577, Japan
Toshichika Iizumi
Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Tsukuba, 305-8604 Japan
Chan Park
Department of Landscape Architecture, College of Urban Science, University of Seoul, Seoul, 02504, Korea
Makoto Tamura
Global and Local Environment Co-creation Institute, Ibaraki University, Mito, 310-8512, Japan
Yasuaki Hijioka
Center for Climate Change Adaptation, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, 305-8506, Japan
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Cited
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Improving economic impact assessment of climate change with machine learning A. Orlov & J. Sillmann https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73956-7
- Challenges and innovations in the economic evaluation of the risks of climate change J. Rising et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107437
- Emulating the Global Change Analysis Model with deep learning: An energy sector case study A. Holmes et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.106945
- Uncertainty constraints on economic impact assessments of climate change simulated by an impact emulator H. Shiogama et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca68d
- Assessing socioeconomic risks of climate change through integrated modelling J. Chang et al. https://doi.org/10.59717/j.xinn-energy.2026.100140
- Emergent constraints on future change projections of mean and extreme temperature and precipitation in the global maize harvesting area H. Shiogama et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae3194
- Climate change mitigation costs reduction caused by socioeconomic-technological transitions S. Fujimori et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-023-00041-w
- IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION ON POVERTY, CONSIDERING CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS BY INCOME GROUP Y. MARUTA et al. https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.24-27004
- Emergent Constraints on Future Changes in Several Climate Variables and Extreme Indices from Global to Regional Scales H. Shiogama et al. https://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2024-017
- ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND MITIGATION MEASURES ON GLOBAL POVERTY Y. MARUTA et al. https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.23-27040
- Integration of a computable general equilibrium model with an energy system model: Application of the AIM global model S. Fujimori et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106087
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Improving economic impact assessment of climate change with machine learning A. Orlov & J. Sillmann https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73956-7
- Challenges and innovations in the economic evaluation of the risks of climate change J. Rising et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107437
- Emulating the Global Change Analysis Model with deep learning: An energy sector case study A. Holmes et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.106945
- Uncertainty constraints on economic impact assessments of climate change simulated by an impact emulator H. Shiogama et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aca68d
- Assessing socioeconomic risks of climate change through integrated modelling J. Chang et al. https://doi.org/10.59717/j.xinn-energy.2026.100140
- Emergent constraints on future change projections of mean and extreme temperature and precipitation in the global maize harvesting area H. Shiogama et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae3194
- Climate change mitigation costs reduction caused by socioeconomic-technological transitions S. Fujimori et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-023-00041-w
- IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION ON POVERTY, CONSIDERING CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS BY INCOME GROUP Y. MARUTA et al. https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.24-27004
- Emergent Constraints on Future Changes in Several Climate Variables and Extreme Indices from Global to Regional Scales H. Shiogama et al. https://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2024-017
- ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS AND MITIGATION MEASURES ON GLOBAL POVERTY Y. MARUTA et al. https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.23-27040
- Integration of a computable general equilibrium model with an energy system model: Application of the AIM global model S. Fujimori et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106087
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 26 Sep 2026
Short summary
To simplify calculating economic impacts of climate change, statistical methods called emulators are developed and evaluated. There are trade-offs between model complexity and emulation performance. Aggregated economic impacts can be approximated by relatively simple emulators, but complex emulators are necessary to accommodate finer-scale economic impacts.
To simplify calculating economic impacts of climate change, statistical methods called emulators...