Articles | Volume 12, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-5291-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-5291-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Model description paper
| 
19 Dec 2019
Model description paper |
| 19 Dec 2019
| 19 Dec 2019
Ground subsidence effects on simulating dynamic high-latitude surface inundation under permafrost thaw using CLM5
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of
Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research,
University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Hanna Lee
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
David M. Lawrence
Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Sean C. Swenson
Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA
Catherine Prigent
LERMA, Observatoire de Paris, PSL Research University, CNRS, UMR 8112, 75014, Paris, France
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Cited
25 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Limited control of microtopography evolution on ground subsidence in polygonal tundra landscapes A. Khattak & A. Hamm https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174741
- Peatland development reconstruction and complex biological responses to permafrost thawing in Western Siberia A. Halaś et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-4797-2025
- A System Dynamics Simulating Model of Groundwater Level Changes and Its Impacts on Land Uplift M. Mohammadi https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-024-01170-4
- Peak Runoff Timing Is Linked to Global Warming Trajectories D. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002083
- Permafrost and Freshwater Systems in the Arctic as Tipping Elements of the Climate System V. Brovkin et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-025-09885-9
- Large Ensemble Diagnostic Evaluation of Hydrologic Parameter Uncertainty in the Community Land Model Version 5 (CLM5) H. Yan et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003312
- Continued permafrost ecosystem carbon loss under net-zero and negative emissions S. Park et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adn8819
- Dynamic Simulation and Conceptual Interaction Between Groundwater Level, Groundwater Pumping Costs, and Land Uplift in Abandoned Coal Mines in Germany M. Mohammadi https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-025-01338-6
- Reviews and syntheses: Variable inundation across Earth's terrestrial ecosystems J. Stegen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-995-2025
- Carbon storage and dynamics in cryosphere: Progress and challenges Q. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.26599/CS.2025.9510005
- Advances in Land Surface Modelling E. Blyth et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-021-00171-5
- Widespread Permafrost Degradation and Thaw Subsidence in Northwest Canada H. O’Neill et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JF007262
- Impacts of Land Use/Land Cover Distributions on Permafrost Simulations on Tibetan Plateau Y. Pan et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15235586
- Impact of Vegetation Physiology and Phenology on Watershed Hydrology in a Semiarid Watershed in the Pacific Northwest in a Changing Climate B. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028394
- Disentangling the hydrological and hydraulic controls on streamflow variability in Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) V2 – a case study in the Pantanal region D. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1197-2024
- Ground surface deformation in permafrost region on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: A review S. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105109
- Modelling Permafrost Distribution in Western Himalaya Using Remote Sensing and Field Observations M. Khan et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13214403
- Consequences of permafrost degradation for Arctic infrastructure – bridging the model gap between regional and engineering scales T. Schneider von Deimling et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-2451-2021
- Using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework to calibrate the runoff-generation scheme in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v1 D. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5021-2022
- Projecting circum-Arctic excess-ground-ice melt with a sub-grid representation in the Community Land Model L. Cai et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4611-2020
- Abrupt increase in Arctic-Subarctic wildfires caused by future permafrost thaw I. Kim et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-51471-x
- Carbon Thaw Rate Doubles When Accounting for Subsidence in a Permafrost Warming Experiment H. Rodenhizer et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JG005528
- Vertical distribution of excess ice in icy sediments and its statistical estimation from geotechnical data (Tuktoyaktuk Coastlands and Anderson Plain, Northwest Territories) A. Castagner et al. https://doi.org/10.1139/as-2021-0041
- Beyond carbon: Multi-scale thermal and hydrological feedback of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau Y. Xiao et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105248
- Natural wetland methane emissions simulated by ICON-XPP S. Wilkenskjeld et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-6583-2026
25 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Limited control of microtopography evolution on ground subsidence in polygonal tundra landscapes A. Khattak & A. Hamm https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174741
- Peatland development reconstruction and complex biological responses to permafrost thawing in Western Siberia A. Halaś et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-4797-2025
- A System Dynamics Simulating Model of Groundwater Level Changes and Its Impacts on Land Uplift M. Mohammadi https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-024-01170-4
- Peak Runoff Timing Is Linked to Global Warming Trajectories D. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002083
- Permafrost and Freshwater Systems in the Arctic as Tipping Elements of the Climate System V. Brovkin et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-025-09885-9
- Large Ensemble Diagnostic Evaluation of Hydrologic Parameter Uncertainty in the Community Land Model Version 5 (CLM5) H. Yan et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003312
- Continued permafrost ecosystem carbon loss under net-zero and negative emissions S. Park et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adn8819
- Dynamic Simulation and Conceptual Interaction Between Groundwater Level, Groundwater Pumping Costs, and Land Uplift in Abandoned Coal Mines in Germany M. Mohammadi https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-025-01338-6
- Reviews and syntheses: Variable inundation across Earth's terrestrial ecosystems J. Stegen et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-22-995-2025
- Carbon storage and dynamics in cryosphere: Progress and challenges Q. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.26599/CS.2025.9510005
- Advances in Land Surface Modelling E. Blyth et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-021-00171-5
- Widespread Permafrost Degradation and Thaw Subsidence in Northwest Canada H. O’Neill et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JF007262
- Impacts of Land Use/Land Cover Distributions on Permafrost Simulations on Tibetan Plateau Y. Pan et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15235586
- Impact of Vegetation Physiology and Phenology on Watershed Hydrology in a Semiarid Watershed in the Pacific Northwest in a Changing Climate B. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028394
- Disentangling the hydrological and hydraulic controls on streamflow variability in Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) V2 – a case study in the Pantanal region D. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1197-2024
- Ground surface deformation in permafrost region on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: A review S. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105109
- Modelling Permafrost Distribution in Western Himalaya Using Remote Sensing and Field Observations M. Khan et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13214403
- Consequences of permafrost degradation for Arctic infrastructure – bridging the model gap between regional and engineering scales T. Schneider von Deimling et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-2451-2021
- Using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework to calibrate the runoff-generation scheme in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v1 D. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5021-2022
- Projecting circum-Arctic excess-ground-ice melt with a sub-grid representation in the Community Land Model L. Cai et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4611-2020
- Abrupt increase in Arctic-Subarctic wildfires caused by future permafrost thaw I. Kim et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-51471-x
- Carbon Thaw Rate Doubles When Accounting for Subsidence in a Permafrost Warming Experiment H. Rodenhizer et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JG005528
- Vertical distribution of excess ice in icy sediments and its statistical estimation from geotechnical data (Tuktoyaktuk Coastlands and Anderson Plain, Northwest Territories) A. Castagner et al. https://doi.org/10.1139/as-2021-0041
- Beyond carbon: Multi-scale thermal and hydrological feedback of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau Y. Xiao et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105248
- Natural wetland methane emissions simulated by ICON-XPP S. Wilkenskjeld et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-6583-2026
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 31 Oct 2026
Short summary
Ice-rich permafrost thaw can create expanding thermokarst lakes as well as shrinking large wetlands. Such processes can have major biogeochemical implications and feedbacks to climate systems by altering the pathways and rates of permafrost carbon release. We developed a new model parameterization that allows a direct representation of surface water dynamics with subsidence. Our results show increased surface water fractions around western Siberian plains and northeastern territories of Canada.
Ice-rich permafrost thaw can create expanding thermokarst lakes as well as shrinking large...
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