Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 11, issue 7
Articles | Volume 11, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3071-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3071-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 11, issue 7
Methods for assessment of models
 | 
31 Jul 2018
Methods for assessment of models |  | 31 Jul 2018

Bayesian inference of earthquake rupture models using polynomial chaos expansion

Hugo Cruz-Jiménez, Guotu Li, Paul Martin Mai, Ibrahim Hoteit, and Omar M. Knio

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Short summary
One of the most important challenges seismologists and earthquake engineers face is reliably estimating ground motion in an area prone to large damaging earthquakes. This study aimed at better understanding the relationship between characteristics of geological faults (e.g., hypocenter location, rupture size/location, etc.) and resulting ground motion, via statistical analysis of a rupture simulation model. This study provides important insight on ground-motion responses to geological faults.
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