the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Variational assimilation of land surface temperature within the ORCHIDEE Land Surface Model Version 1.2.6
Hector Simon Benavides Pinjosovsky
Sylvie Thiria
Catherine Ottlé
Julien Brajard
Fouad Badran
Pascal Maugis
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Sea ice forecasts are operationally produced using physically based models, but these forecasts are often not accurate enough for maritime operations. In this study, we developed a statistical correction technique using machine learning in order to improve the skill of short-term (up to 10 d) sea ice concentration forecasts produced by the TOPAZ4 model. This technique allows for the reduction of errors from the TOPAZ4 sea ice concentration forecasts by 41 % on average.
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This study introduces a new 3D lake–ice–atmosphere coupled model that significantly improves winter climate simulations for the Great Lakes compared to traditional 1D lake model coupling. The key contribution is the identification of critical hydrodynamic processes – ice transport, heat advection, and shear-driven turbulence production – that influence lake thermal structure and ice cover and explain the superior performance of 3D lake models to their 1D counterparts.