Articles | Volume 10, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-35-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-35-2017
Model evaluation paper
 | 
03 Jan 2017
Model evaluation paper |  | 03 Jan 2017

On the forecast skill of a convection-permitting ensemble

Theresa Schellander-Gorgas, Yong Wang, Florian Meier, Florian Weidle, Christoph Wittmann, and Alexander Kann

Viewed

Total article views: 4,708 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
3,398 1,145 165 4,708 212 221
  • HTML: 3,398
  • PDF: 1,145
  • XML: 165
  • Total: 4,708
  • BibTeX: 212
  • EndNote: 221
Views and downloads (calculated since 17 Aug 2016)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 17 Aug 2016)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 4,708 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 4,461 with geography defined and 247 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 30 Mar 2025
Download
Short summary
Ensemble forecasting offers a useful method to simulate the uncertainty of a numerical forecast model for each individual forecast run. This study compares ALADIN-LAEF, a 16-member ensemble with a resolution of 11 km that combines several perturbation methods, with AROME-EPS, which downscales the members of ALADIN-LAEF to 2.5 km resolution. The verification shows that there are benefits of a higher-resolution ensemble, especially for highly localized precipitation and for mountainous terrain.
Share