Articles | Volume 10, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution
Laurent Bessières
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France
Stéphanie Leroux
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Jean-Michel Brankart
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Jean-Marc Molines
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Marie-Pierre Moine
CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France
Pierre-Antoine Bouttier
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Thierry Penduff
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Laurent Terray
CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France
Bernard Barnier
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Guillaume Sérazin
CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
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Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 03 Jun 2026
Short summary
A new, probabilistic version of an ocean modelling system has been implemented in order to simulate the chaotic and the atmospherically forced contributions to the ocean variability. For that purpose, a large ensemble of global hindcasts has been performed. Results illustrate the importance of the oceanic chaos on climate-related oceanic indices, and the relevance of such probabilistic ocean modelling approaches to anticipating the behaviour of the next generation of coupled climate models.
A new, probabilistic version of an ocean modelling system has been implemented in order to...
Special issue