Articles | Volume 10, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution
Laurent Bessières
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France
Stéphanie Leroux
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Jean-Michel Brankart
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Jean-Marc Molines
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Marie-Pierre Moine
CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France
Pierre-Antoine Bouttier
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Thierry Penduff
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Laurent Terray
CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France
Bernard Barnier
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
Guillaume Sérazin
CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, France
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, France
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Cited
45 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Contributions of Atmospheric Forcing and Chaotic Ocean Variability to Regional Sea Level Trends Over 1993–2015 W. Llovel et al.
- Assessing the Impact of Different Ocean Analysis Schemes on Oceanic and Underwater Acoustic Predictions A. Storto et al.
- Exploring the Use of Data in a Digital Twin for the Marine and Coastal Environment S. Haupt et al.
- Statistical Significance of Small Ensembles of Simulations and Detection of the Internal Climate Variability: An Excitable Ocean System Case Study S. Pierini
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- Floating objects in the open ocean: Unveiling modifications of the pelagic habitat induced by forest cover change and climate variations A. Dupaix et al.
- A means of estimating the intrinsic and atmospherically-forced contributions to sea surface height variability applied to altimetric observations S. Close et al.
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- Imprint of chaotic ocean variability on transports in the southwestern Pacific at interannual timescales S. Cravatte et al.
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- Inverse Cascades of Kinetic Energy as a Source of Intrinsic Variability: A Global OGCM Study G. Sérazin et al.
- Sea-state contributions to sea-level variability in the European Seas A. Bonaduce et al.
- North Atlantic Subtropical Mode Water properties: intrinsic and atmospherically forced interannual variability O. Narinc et al.
- Quantifying variability in Lagrangian particle dispersal in ocean ensemble simulations: an information theory approach C. Pierard et al.
- Externally-forced and intrinsic variability of the Mediterranean surface and overturning circulations D. Héron et al.
- Atmospherically Forced and Chaotic Interannual Variability of Regional Sea Level and Its Components Over 1993–2015 A. Carret et al.
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- Uncertainty and scale interactions in ocean ensembles: From seasonal forecasts to multidecadal climate predictions L. Zanna et al.
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- Assimilation of chlorophyll data into a stochastic ensemble simulation for the North Atlantic Ocean Y. Santana-Falcón et al.
- Chaotic Variability of Ocean: Heat Content Climate-Relevant Features and Observational Implications T. Penduff et al.
- Regional ocean model uncertainties using stochastic parameterizations and a global atmospheric ensemble V. Vervatis et al.
- The Theory of Parallel Climate Realizations T. Tél et al.
- Interannual to decadal variability of the Kuroshio extension: analyzing an ensemble of global hindcasts from a dynamical system viewpoint G. Fedele et al.
- AI-Powered Digital Twin Framework for Land Use Change in Disaster Affected Regions N. Kussul et al.
- Circumpolar Variations in the Chaotic Nature of Southern Ocean Eddy Dynamics A. Hogg et al.
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- Assessment of a regional physical–biogeochemical stochastic ocean model. Part 1: Ensemble generation V. Vervatis et al.
- Internal and forced ocean variability in the Mediterranean Sea R. Benincasa et al.
- Reconstructing monthly 20$$^\textrm{th}$$ century salinity fields using a data-driven method and Argo data E. Oulhen et al.
- Intrinsic and Atmospherically Forced Variability of the AMOC: Insights from a Large-Ensemble Ocean Hindcast S. Leroux et al.
- Imprint of intrinsic ocean variability on decadal trends of regional sea level and ocean heat content using synthetic profiles W. Llovel et al.
- Interpreting Reynolds stress from perspective of eddy geometry K. Aoki & Y. Masumoto
- Laboratory experiments reveal intrinsic self-sustained oscillations in ocean relevant rotating fluid flows S. Pierini et al.
- Trends of Coastal Sea Level Between 1993 and 2015: Imprints of Atmospheric Forcing and Oceanic Chaos T. Penduff et al.
- Dynamical attribution of North Atlantic interdecadal predictability to oceanic and atmospheric turbulence under diagnosed and optimal stochastic forcing D. Stephenson & F. Sévellec
- Diagnosing the Thickness‐Weighted Averaged Eddy‐Mean Flow Interaction From an Eddying North Atlantic Ensemble: The Eliassen‐Palm Flux T. Uchida et al.
- Imprints of Ocean Chaotic Intrinsic Variability on Bottom Pressure and Implications for Data and Model Analyses M. Zhao et al.
- Chaotic oceanic excitation of low-frequency polar motion variability L. Börger et al.
- Ensemble quantification of short-term predictability of the ocean dynamics at a kilometric-scale resolution: a Western Mediterranean test case S. Leroux et al.
- Representation of the Denmark Strait overflow in a z-coordinate eddying configuration of the NEMO (v3.6) ocean model: resolution and parameter impacts P. Colombo et al.
45 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quantification of Chaotic Intrinsic Variability of Sea‐Air CO2 Fluxes at Interannual Timescales M. Gehlen et al.
- Contributions of Atmospheric Forcing and Chaotic Ocean Variability to Regional Sea Level Trends Over 1993–2015 W. Llovel et al.
- Assessing the Impact of Different Ocean Analysis Schemes on Oceanic and Underwater Acoustic Predictions A. Storto et al.
- Exploring the Use of Data in a Digital Twin for the Marine and Coastal Environment S. Haupt et al.
- Statistical Significance of Small Ensembles of Simulations and Detection of the Internal Climate Variability: An Excitable Ocean System Case Study S. Pierini
- An Adaptive Optimal Interpolation Based on Analog Forecasting: Application to SSH in the Gulf of Mexico Y. Zhen et al.
- Floating objects in the open ocean: Unveiling modifications of the pelagic habitat induced by forest cover change and climate variations A. Dupaix et al.
- A means of estimating the intrinsic and atmospherically-forced contributions to sea surface height variability applied to altimetric observations S. Close et al.
- The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in High‐Resolution Models J. Hirschi et al.
- Spatiotemporal properties of intrinsic sea level variability along the southeastern United States coastline C. Donatelli et al.
- Imprint of chaotic ocean variability on transports in the southwestern Pacific at interannual timescales S. Cravatte et al.
- Ocean modelling and altimeter data reveal the possible occurrence of intrinsic low-frequency variability of the Kuroshio Extension V. Gentile et al.
- Inverse Cascades of Kinetic Energy as a Source of Intrinsic Variability: A Global OGCM Study G. Sérazin et al.
- Sea-state contributions to sea-level variability in the European Seas A. Bonaduce et al.
- North Atlantic Subtropical Mode Water properties: intrinsic and atmospherically forced interannual variability O. Narinc et al.
- Quantifying variability in Lagrangian particle dispersal in ocean ensemble simulations: an information theory approach C. Pierard et al.
- Externally-forced and intrinsic variability of the Mediterranean surface and overturning circulations D. Héron et al.
- Atmospherically Forced and Chaotic Interannual Variability of Regional Sea Level and Its Components Over 1993–2015 A. Carret et al.
- Crossing the chasm: how to develop weather and climate models for next generation computers? B. Lawrence et al.
- Sea state contributions to thermosteric sea-level in high-resolution ocean-wave coupled simulations A. Bonaduce et al.
- Uncertainty and scale interactions in ocean ensembles: From seasonal forecasts to multidecadal climate predictions L. Zanna et al.
- An Objective Method for Probabilistic Forecasting of Multimodal Kuroshio States using Ensemble Simulation and Machine Learning K. Aoki et al.
- Extending an oceanographic variational scheme to allow for affordable hybrid and four-dimensional data assimilation A. Storto et al.
- Assimilation of chlorophyll data into a stochastic ensemble simulation for the North Atlantic Ocean Y. Santana-Falcón et al.
- Chaotic Variability of Ocean: Heat Content Climate-Relevant Features and Observational Implications T. Penduff et al.
- Regional ocean model uncertainties using stochastic parameterizations and a global atmospheric ensemble V. Vervatis et al.
- The Theory of Parallel Climate Realizations T. Tél et al.
- Interannual to decadal variability of the Kuroshio extension: analyzing an ensemble of global hindcasts from a dynamical system viewpoint G. Fedele et al.
- AI-Powered Digital Twin Framework for Land Use Change in Disaster Affected Regions N. Kussul et al.
- Circumpolar Variations in the Chaotic Nature of Southern Ocean Eddy Dynamics A. Hogg et al.
- Global-scale random bottom pressure fluctuations from oceanic intrinsic variability M. Zhao et al.
- Assessment of a regional physical–biogeochemical stochastic ocean model. Part 1: Ensemble generation V. Vervatis et al.
- Internal and forced ocean variability in the Mediterranean Sea R. Benincasa et al.
- Reconstructing monthly 20$$^\textrm{th}$$ century salinity fields using a data-driven method and Argo data E. Oulhen et al.
- Intrinsic and Atmospherically Forced Variability of the AMOC: Insights from a Large-Ensemble Ocean Hindcast S. Leroux et al.
- Imprint of intrinsic ocean variability on decadal trends of regional sea level and ocean heat content using synthetic profiles W. Llovel et al.
- Interpreting Reynolds stress from perspective of eddy geometry K. Aoki & Y. Masumoto
- Laboratory experiments reveal intrinsic self-sustained oscillations in ocean relevant rotating fluid flows S. Pierini et al.
- Trends of Coastal Sea Level Between 1993 and 2015: Imprints of Atmospheric Forcing and Oceanic Chaos T. Penduff et al.
- Dynamical attribution of North Atlantic interdecadal predictability to oceanic and atmospheric turbulence under diagnosed and optimal stochastic forcing D. Stephenson & F. Sévellec
- Diagnosing the Thickness‐Weighted Averaged Eddy‐Mean Flow Interaction From an Eddying North Atlantic Ensemble: The Eliassen‐Palm Flux T. Uchida et al.
- Imprints of Ocean Chaotic Intrinsic Variability on Bottom Pressure and Implications for Data and Model Analyses M. Zhao et al.
- Chaotic oceanic excitation of low-frequency polar motion variability L. Börger et al.
- Ensemble quantification of short-term predictability of the ocean dynamics at a kilometric-scale resolution: a Western Mediterranean test case S. Leroux et al.
- Representation of the Denmark Strait overflow in a z-coordinate eddying configuration of the NEMO (v3.6) ocean model: resolution and parameter impacts P. Colombo et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 11 May 2026
Short summary
A new, probabilistic version of an ocean modelling system has been implemented in order to simulate the chaotic and the atmospherically forced contributions to the ocean variability. For that purpose, a large ensemble of global hindcasts has been performed. Results illustrate the importance of the oceanic chaos on climate-related oceanic indices, and the relevance of such probabilistic ocean modelling approaches to anticipating the behaviour of the next generation of coupled climate models.
A new, probabilistic version of an ocean modelling system has been implemented in order to...
Special issue