Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution

Bessières, Laurent; Leroux, Stéphanie; Brankart, Jean-Michel; Molines, Jean-Marc; Moine, Marie-Pierre; Bouttier, Pierre-Antoine; Penduff, Thierry; Terray, Laurent; Barnier, Bernard; Sérazin, Guillaume

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017

Articles | Volume 10, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean - NEMO

https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017

© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 10, issue 3

Model description paper

|

10 Mar 2017

Model description paper |

| 10 Mar 2017

Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution

Laurent Bessières, Stéphanie Leroux, Jean-Michel Brankart, Jean-Marc Molines, Marie-Pierre Moine, Pierre-Antoine Bouttier, Thierry Penduff, Laurent Terray, Bernard Barnier, and Guillaume Sérazin

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Final revised paper (published on 10 Mar 2017)
Preprint (discussion started on 19 Sep 2016)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system with NEMO at eddying resolution', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Oct 2016
- AC1: 'Response to Anonymous Referee #1', Laurent Bessières, 09 Dec 2016
RC2: 'external review', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 Nov 2016
- AC2: 'Response to Anonymous Referee #2', Laurent Bessières, 09 Dec 2016
RC3: 'Comments on the discussion of probabilistic aspects', Anonymous Referee #3, 15 Nov 2016
- AC3: 'Response to Anonymous Referee #3', Laurent Bessières, 09 Dec 2016

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Laurent Bessières on behalf of the Authors (16 Dec 2016) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (21 Dec 2016) by David Ham

RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (31 Dec 2016)

ED: Publish as is (04 Jan 2017) by David Ham

AR by Laurent Bessières on behalf of the Authors (13 Jan 2017) Author's response Manuscript

Short summary

A new, probabilistic version of an ocean modelling system has been implemented in order to simulate the chaotic and the atmospherically forced contributions to the ocean variability. For that purpose, a large ensemble of global hindcasts has been performed. Results illustrate the importance of the oceanic chaos on climate-related oceanic indices, and the relevance of such probabilistic ocean modelling approaches to anticipating the behaviour of the next generation of coupled climate models.