Articles | Volume 9, issue 5
Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 1697–1723, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-1697-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 1697–1723, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-1697-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Methods for assessment of models 04 May 2016
Methods for assessment of models | 04 May 2016
Large ensemble modeling of the last deglacial retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet: comparison of simple and advanced statistical techniques
David Pollard et al.
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- Continuous simulations over the last 40 million years with a coupled Antarctic ice sheet-sediment model D. Pollard & R. DeConto 10.1016/j.palaeo.2019.109374
- New Last Glacial Maximum ice thickness constraints for the Weddell Sea Embayment, Antarctica K. Nichols et al. 10.5194/tc-13-2935-2019
- Glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) – Part 2: Parameter ensemble analysis T. Albrecht et al. 10.5194/tc-14-633-2020
- Deglaciation of Pope Glacier implies widespread early Holocene ice sheet thinning in the Amundsen Sea sector of Antarctica J. Johnson et al. 10.1016/j.epsl.2020.116501
- Estimating Modern Elevations of Pliocene Shorelines Using a Coupled Ice Sheet‐Earth‐Sea Level Model D. Pollard et al. 10.1029/2018JF004745
- Extensive retreat and re-advance of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet during the Holocene J. Kingslake et al. 10.1038/s41586-018-0208-x
- Advection and non-climate impacts on the South Pole Ice Core T. Fudge et al. 10.5194/cp-16-819-2020
- Current state and future perspectives on coupled ice-sheet – sea-level modelling B. de Boer et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.05.013
- Glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) – Part 1: Boundary conditions and climatic forcing T. Albrecht et al. 10.5194/tc-14-599-2020
- The last glaciation of Bear Peninsula, central Amundsen Sea Embayment of Antarctica: Constraints on timing and duration revealed by in situ cosmogenic 14C and 10Be dating J. Johnson et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.11.003
- Nonlinear response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to late Quaternary sea level and climate forcing M. Tigchelaar et al. 10.5194/tc-13-2615-2019
- The Sensitivity of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to a Changing Climate: Past, Present, and Future T. Noble et al. 10.1029/2019RG000663
- West Antarctic Ice Sheet retreat driven by Holocene warm water incursions C. Hillenbrand et al. 10.1038/nature22995
- A fast particle-based approach for calibrating a 3-D model of the Antarctic ice sheet B. Lee et al. 10.1214/19-AOAS1305
- Solid Earth change and the evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet P. Whitehouse et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-08068-y
- Numerical simulations of a kilometre-thick Arctic ice shelf consistent with ice grounding observations E. Gasson et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-03707-w
- The polar regions in a 2°C warmer world E. Post et al. 10.1126/sciadv.aaw9883
- Western Greenland ice sheet retreat history reveals elevated precipitation during the Holocene thermal maximum J. Downs et al. 10.5194/tc-14-1121-2020
- initMIP-Antarctica: an ice sheet model initialization experiment of ISMIP6 H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-13-1441-2019
- Spatial probabilistic calibration of a high-resolution Amundsen Sea Embayment ice sheet model with satellite altimeter data A. Wernecke et al. 10.5194/tc-14-1459-2020
- Diagnosing added value of convection-permitting regional models using precipitation event identification and tracking W. Chang et al. 10.1007/s00382-018-4294-0
- Net retreat of Antarctic glacier grounding lines H. Konrad et al. 10.1038/s41561-018-0082-z
- Thickness of the divide and flank of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet through the last deglaciation P. Spector et al. 10.5194/tc-13-3061-2019
- Quantifying the effect of ocean bed properties on ice sheet geometry over 40 000 years with a full-Stokes model C. Schannwell et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3917-2020
- Could the Last Interglacial Constrain Projections of Future Antarctic Ice Mass Loss and Sea‐Level Rise? D. Gilford et al. 10.1029/2019JF005418
- Mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet 1992–2016: reconciling results from GRACE gravimetry with ICESat, ERS1/2 and Envisat altimetry H. Zwally et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.8
- Holocene Ice-Flow Speedup in the Vicinity of the South Pole D. Lilien et al. 10.1029/2018GL078253
- Uncertainty quantification of the multi-centennial response of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate change K. Bulthuis et al. 10.5194/tc-13-1349-2019
- The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model R. Reese et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3097-2020
- Glacial isostatic adjustment modelling: historical perspectives, recent advances, and future directions P. Whitehouse 10.5194/esurf-6-401-2018
- Uncertainty Quantification for Computer Models With Spatial Output Using Calibration-Optimal Bases J. Salter et al. 10.1080/01621459.2018.1514306
- Progress in Numerical Modeling of Antarctic Ice-Sheet Dynamics F. Pattyn et al. 10.1007/s40641-017-0069-7
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- Anatomy of a meltwater drainage system beneath the ancestral East Antarctic ice sheet L. Simkins et al. 10.1038/ngeo3012
- Abrupt mid-Holocene ice loss in the western Weddell Sea Embayment of Antarctica J. Johnson et al. 10.1016/j.epsl.2019.05.002
- Brief communication: On calculating the sea-level contribution in marine ice-sheet models H. Goelzer et al. 10.5194/tc-14-833-2020
- Evolving Understanding of Antarctic Ice‐Sheet Physics and Ambiguity in Probabilistic Sea‐Level Projections R. Kopp et al. 10.1002/2017EF000663
- Physically adjusted neutral detergent fiber system for lactating dairy cow rations. II: Development of feeding recommendations R. White et al. 10.3168/jds.2017-12766
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- Holocene reconfiguration and readvance of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet S. Greenwood et al. 10.1038/s41467-018-05625-3
- West Antarctic sites for subglacial drilling to test for past ice-sheet collapse P. Spector et al. 10.5194/tc-12-2741-2018
- Antarctic ice dynamics amplified by Northern Hemisphere sea-level forcing N. Gomez et al. 10.1038/s41586-020-2916-2
- Variations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet in a Coupled Ice Sheet-Earth-Sea Level Model: Sensitivity to Viscoelastic Earth Properties D. Pollard et al. 10.1002/2017JF004371
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 09 Apr 2021
Short summary
Computer modeling of variations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet help to
understand the ice sheet's sensitivity to climate change. We apply
a numerical model to its retreat over the last 20 000 years, from its
maximum glacial extent to modern. An ensemble of 625 simulations is performed
with systematic combinations of uncertain model parameter values. Results are
analyzed using (1) simple averaging, and (2) advanced statistical techniques,
and reasonable agreement is found between the two.
Computer modeling of variations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet help to
understand the ice sheet's...
