Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 8, issue 12
Articles | Volume 8, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3911-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-3911-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 8, issue 12
Methods for assessment of models
 | 
10 Dec 2015
Methods for assessment of models |  | 10 Dec 2015

Assessing the uncertainty of glacier mass-balance simulations in the European Arctic based on variance decomposition

T. Sauter and F. Obleitner

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Short summary
Even small errors in observational data can have a profound effect on snowpack simulations, which dilutes our confidence in the results. This paper aims at quantification of the overall contributions of these errors on the uncertainty of snowpack simulations in Arctic environments. The analysis demonstrates that the uncertainties in the data can have a profound impact on glacier mass balance estimates.
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