Articles | Volume 18, issue 16
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-5351-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-5351-2025
Model description paper
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27 Aug 2025
Model description paper | Highlight paper |  | 27 Aug 2025

GPTCast: a weather language model for precipitation nowcasting

Gabriele Franch, Elena Tomasi, Rishabh Wanjari, Virginia Poli, Chiara Cardinali, Pier Paolo Alberoni, and Marco Cristoforetti

Data sets

Dataset for "GPTCast: a weather language model for precipitation nowcasting" Gabriele Franch et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13692016

Model code and software

Code for "GPTCast: a weather language model for precipitation nowcasting" Gabriele Franch et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13832526

Pretrained models for "GPTCast: a weather language model for precipitation nowcasting" Gabriele Franch et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13594332

PyTorch Lightning W. Falcon and The PyTorch Lightning team https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3828935

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Executive editor
The application of machine learning techniques to weather forecasting is an exceptionally promising area for this technology. This paper presents an LLM nowcasting tool which outperforms existing technology for short term precipitation forecasting. This is an exciting demonstrator of the possibilities of this novel approach.
Short summary
Our research introduces GPTCast, a novel method for very short term precipitation forecasting using radar data. By applying advanced machine learning techniques inspired by large language models, we developed a system that generates accurate and realistic weather predictions. We trained the model using 6 years of radar data from northern Italy, demonstrating its superior performance over leading ensemble extrapolation methods.
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