Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 18, issue 15
Articles | Volume 18, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4965-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4965-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 18, issue 15
Model description paper
 | 
14 Aug 2025
Model description paper |  | 14 Aug 2025

SASIEv.1: a framework for seasonal and multi-centennial Arctic sea ice emulation

Sian Megan Chilcott, Malte Meinshausen, and Dirk Notz

Viewed

Total article views: 4,219 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
3,304 664 251 4,219 531 196 270
  • HTML: 3,304
  • PDF: 664
  • XML: 251
  • Total: 4,219
  • Supplement: 531
  • BibTeX: 196
  • EndNote: 270
Views and downloads (calculated since 03 Jan 2025)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 03 Jan 2025)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 4,219 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 4,162 with geography defined and 57 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Saved (final revised paper)

Latest update: 03 Nov 2026
Download
Short summary
Climate models are expensive to run and often underestimate how sensitive Arctic sea ice is to climate change. To address this, we developed a simple model that emulates the response of sea ice to global warming. We find that the remaining carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions that will avoid a seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean are lower than previous estimates of 821 Gt of CO2. Our model also provides insights into the future of winter sea ice, examining a larger ensemble than previously possible.
Read more
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint