Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 18, issue 7
Articles | Volume 18, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2079-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-2079-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 18, issue 7
Model evaluation paper
 | 
07 Apr 2025
Model evaluation paper |  | 07 Apr 2025

Historical trends and controlling factors of isoprene emissions in CMIP6 Earth system models

Ngoc Thi Nhu Do, Kengo Sudo, Akihiko Ito, Louisa K. Emmons, Vaishali Naik, Kostas Tsigaridis, Øyvind Seland, Gerd A. Folberth, and Douglas I. Kelley

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Short summary
Understanding historical isoprene emission changes is important for predicting future climate, but trends and their controlling factors remain uncertain. This study shows that long-term isoprene trends vary among Earth system models mainly due to partially incorporating CO2 effects and land cover changes rather than to climate. Future models that refine these factors’ effects on isoprene emissions, along with long-term observations, are essential for better understanding plant–climate interactions.
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