Articles | Volume 18, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-10185-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-10185-2025
Methods for assessment of models
 | 
19 Dec 2025
Methods for assessment of models |  | 19 Dec 2025

Estimation of local training data point densities to support the assessment of spatial prediction uncertainty

Fabian Lukas Schumacher, Christian Knoth, Marvin Ludwig, and Hanna Meyer

Data sets

LPD-Suppl.: Data sets Fabian Lukas Schumacher et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14356807

Model code and software

LPD-Suppl.: Model code and software Fabian Lukas Schumacher et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14356807

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Short summary
Machine learning is increasingly used in environmental sciences for spatial predictions, but its effectiveness is challenged when models are applied beyond the areas they were trained on. We propose a Local Training Data Point Density (LPD) approach that considers how well a model's environment is represented by training data. This method provides a valuable tool for evaluating model applicability and uncertainties, crucial for broader scientific and practical applications.
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