Articles | Volume 18, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-10017-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Feedback-based sea level rise impact modelling for integrated assessment models with FRISIAv1.0
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- Final revised paper (published on 15 Dec 2025)
- Preprint (discussion started on 27 Jun 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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- RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1875', Anonymous Referee #1, 29 Jul 2025
- RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1875', Anonymous Referee #2, 31 Jul 2025
- AC1: 'Response to reviewers', Lennart Ramme, 22 Sep 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Lennart Ramme on behalf of the Authors (22 Sep 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (26 Oct 2025) by Gunnar Luderer
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (04 Nov 2025)
ED: Publish as is (16 Nov 2025) by Gunnar Luderer
AR by Lennart Ramme on behalf of the Authors (09 Dec 2025)
In this paper, the authors present FRISIA 1.0, a spatially highly aggregated model of sea-level rise impacts on coastal assets, population, and adaptation costs. The paper builds upon the prior CIAM model (Diaz, 2016; Wong et al., 2022) by incorporating impacts on asset prices as well as on population and adaptation, thus providing a feedback mechanism by which the coastal impacts of sea-level rise can affect coastal assets beyond the effects of relocation costs. The model is calibrated against CIAM, but whereas CIAM considers benefits and costs along 12,000+ coastal segments, this model – designed for use in highly aggregated integrated assessment models – operates with 1-7 aggregate regions.
Major comments
Deeper comparison to the literature: Overall, I like this paper, but find it could benefit from a deeper comparison to the literature. Most especially, the effects on asset prices seem ex nihilo; there are no references to economic theory papers justifying the formalism, nor any comparison to the growing econometric literature (e.g., see review by Contat et al., 2024 on the empirical relationship between climate risk and real estate prices).
The authors would also benefit by a comparison to Depsky et al. (2023), who construct a coastal dataset similar in structure to DIVA but with updated inputs and then build a CIAM-like model in Python with improved representation of several processes and a data-informed estimate of the relocation cost parameter. Similar to the use of CIAM in the GIVE model described in the manuscript, the “DSCIM-Coastal” model of Depsky et al. (2023) was used for the same recent Social Cost of Greenhouse Gas (SC-GHG) estimation exercise as part of the Data-driven Spatial Climate Impact Model (DSCIM, Climate Impact Lab 2023). DSCIM-Coastal contains an updated and open-source alternative to the DIVA input data used by the authors, as well as an updated Python implementation of the model that the authors modify and reimplement in Python.
The authors would also benefit by a comparison to the more theoretically grounded dynamic spatial integrated assessment model of Desmet et al. (2021), who do not explicitly account for protection but do model flows of capital and population in response to sea-level rise, and like this paper show losses in exposed areas peaking and declining over time.
Appropriateness of CIAM parameterization: FRISIA applies formalism similar to those of CIAM, but rather than operating at a highly resolved coastal segment scale, it applies them at a global or World Bank-region scale. The appropriateness of doing this could be better justified. (Maybe this justification is simply – we are modeling for insights rather than for numbers, and we are fine with our flooding costs being within a factor of X of CIAM results.) As an integration test, the comparison to CIAM in Figures 3-4 does not always give the greatest confidence that FRISIA is a good emulator of CIAM (e.g., compare relocation costs in Figure 3).
To the extent the goal is to emulate the results of CIAM (after adjustment for the difference in the treatment of initial flood protection height), some quantitative performance metrics might be useful.
Treatment of relative SLR: In line 224, the authors refer to ‘relative SLR’, but then immediately say they implement only “global mean SLR”. At the same time, Table A1 suggests that some factor – whose derivation is not described anywhere – is used to localize the SLR projections. This should be clarified throughout.
Declining GDP per capita: It is a little hard to trace the relative effects of declining asset growth (decreasing GDP growth along coasts) and relocation (decreasing population) on GDP per capita (e.g., discussion around line 515). It would be helpful to look at this in greater detail.
Minor comments
Throughout: The authors refer to timeseries of ‘global SLR’; given that this is a univariate time series, I assume they mean ‘global-mean SLR’.
Throughout: The authors refer to “coastal GDP” and cite the SSP database, but do not explain where this coastal-specific GDP data comes from. To my knowledge, only country-level GDP estimates are contained in the SSP database. Is it the same population density-based downscaling approach used in Diaz, 2016?
Line 222: I am struggling to understand the reasoning behind building a second model for SLR, trained on the estimates from the first model. I assume this has something to do with the dynamic nature of the model, in which new SLR scenarios can be endogenously formed at each time step. However, this reasoning is not immediately clear in the manuscript. It would be helpful to include a sentence or two explaining why the outputs of the first SLR model cannot be used directly.
Line 994: “MICI” is probably not an appropriate shorthand for factors driving high-end mass loss from Greenland; see Fox-Kemper et al. (2021):
Code and Documentation
I've verified the code can be cloned from the repo and run successfully. I've not otherwise examined the code. I have the following comments:
The README file needs to provide adequate description to install code and run example. I suggest adding a requirements file. (Requires numby, pandas, matplotlib, netCDF4)
The following commands worked for me to set up the environment and run the example script:
conda create \--name frisia
conda activate frisia
conda install numpy pandas matplotlib netcdf4
git clone https://github.com/lnnrtrmm/FRISIA.git
cd FRISIA
python EXAMPLE\_runFRISIA.py
In general, the README file is quite minimal, and I would argue insufficient to constitute the “user manual” expected to accompany GMD model description papers. The only documentation of the code is the two class-level doc strings in the source code.
EXAMPLE_runFRISIA.py should produce output.
It would also be helpful to have notebook(s) and/or scripts that fully replicate the results shown in the text, especially Figs. 3–6.