Geoscientific Model Development
Geoscientific Model Development
GMD
Articles | Volume 16, issue 22
Articles | Volume 16, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6593-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6593-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 16, issue 22
Methods for assessment of models
 | 
16 Nov 2023
Methods for assessment of models |  | 16 Nov 2023

Monte Carlo drift correction – quantifying the drift uncertainty of global climate models

Benjamin S. Grandey, Zhi Yang Koh, Dhrubajyoti Samanta, Benjamin P. Horton, Justin Dauwels, and Lock Yue Chew

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Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
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Short summary
Global climate models are susceptible to spurious trends known as drift. Fortunately, drift can be corrected when analysing data produced by models. To explore the uncertainty associated with drift correction, we develop a new method: Monte Carlo drift correction. For historical simulations of thermosteric sea level rise, drift uncertainty is relatively large. When analysing data susceptible to drift, researchers should consider drift uncertainty.
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