Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-35-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-35-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Prediction of algal blooms via data-driven machine learning models: an evaluation using data from a well-monitored mesotrophic lake
Erken Laboratory and Limnology Department, Uppsala University,
Uppsala, Sweden
Environment and Climate Change Canada, Canada Centre for Inland
Waters, Burlington, L7R 4A6 ON, Canada
Donald C. Pierson
Erken Laboratory and Limnology Department, Uppsala University,
Uppsala, Sweden
Jorrit P. Mesman
Erken Laboratory and Limnology Department, Uppsala University,
Uppsala, Sweden
Département F.-A. Forel des sciences de l'environnement et de
l'eau, Université de Genève, Geneva, Switzerland
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- Multivariate Regression Analysis for Identifying Key Drivers of Harmful Algal Bloom in Lake Erie O. Mermer & I. Demir https://doi.org/10.3390/app15094824
- Paralytic shellfish poisoning risk assessment in the west coast of Canada C. Bi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhazmat.2025.140459
- LakeBeD-US: a benchmark dataset for lake water quality time series and vertical profiles B. McAfee et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-3141-2025
- Machine learning-based design and monitoring of algae blooms: Recent trends and future perspectives – A short review A. Sheik et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/10643389.2023.2252313
- Effect of Data Gaps on Harmful Algal Bloom Prediction Models for Inland Lakes W. Astuti & R. Govindaraju https://doi.org/10.1061/JHYEFF.HEENG-6544
- The synergy of artificial intelligence and algal systems for sustainable wastewater treatment and carbon sequestration P. Obidi & D. Bayless https://doi.org/10.1080/21622515.2025.2581330
- Coupling SWAT+, GOTM-WET, and LSTM to predict daily DO in Mar Menor S. Asadi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2025.107907
- Unlocking the algae toolbox: Cutting-edge tools for environmental and biotechnological solutions V. Bui et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biotechadv.2025.108652
- Enhancing multi-step-ahead algal bloom forecasts in river ecosystems by a hybrid recursive deep learning model H. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2025.160
- Predicting Harmful Algal Blooms Using Explainable Deep Learning Models: A Comparative Study B. Demiray et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17050676
- Satellite-Observed Acceleration in the Occurrence of Compound Marine Heatwave and Phytoplankton Bloom Events in the Global Coastal Ocean J. Ma & C. Wang https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18091322
- HydroEcoLSTM: A Python package with graphical user interface for hydro-ecological modeling with long short-term memory neural network T. Nguyen et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2025.102994
- The role of industry 4.0 enabling technologies for predicting, and managing of algal blooms: Bridging gaps and unlocking potential A. Sheik et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117493
- Characterization and Modeling of Harmful Algal Blooms: A Review W. Astuti & R. Govindaraju https://doi.org/10.1061/JHEND8.HYENG-14108
- Remote sensing identification and model-based prediction of harmful algal blooms in inland waters: Current insights and future perspectives W. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wroa.2025.100369
- Generalizable deep learning forecasting of harmful algal blooms using transfer learning across river systems J. Park et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2025.103481
- A comparative analysis of data-driven modeling approaches to forecast cyanobacteria algal blooms in eutrophic lake discharge canals H. Nguyen et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124834
- Application of an integrated catchment-lake model approach for simulating effects of climate change on lake inputs and biogeochemistry I. Jiménez-Navarro et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163946
- Long-term prediction of algal chlorophyll based on empirical models and the machine learning approach in relation to trophic variation in Juam Reservoir, Korea S. Jin et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e31643
- Recent advances in algal bloom detection and prediction technology using machine learning J. Park et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173546
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 28 May 2026
Short summary
The risks brought by the proliferation of algal blooms motivate the improvement of bloom forecasting tools, but algal blooms are complexly controlled and difficult to predict. Given rapid growth of monitoring data and advances in computation, machine learning offers an alternative prediction methodology. This study tested various machine learning workflows in a dimictic mesotrophic lake and gave promising predictions of the seasonal variations and the timing of algal blooms.
The risks brought by the proliferation of algal blooms motivate the improvement of bloom...